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Q: factors affect 3G deployment ( No Answer,   0 Comments )
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Subject: factors affect 3G deployment
Category: Business and Money > Consulting
Asked by: crushman-ga
List Price: $10.00
Posted: 05 Dec 2002 20:47 PST
Expires: 13 Dec 2002 13:47 PST
Question ID: 120153
Dear researchers:

I would like to know any factors that may(or probably will) affect 3G
deployment, either quantifiable or non-quantifiable, either market
based or non-market based. Please also provide brief description about
this variable and  the reasoning why/how this factor can affect 3G
deployment and data (or link) on this variable for every country in
the world.
Those variables listed below have already considered, so no effort
needs to be made on those.

GDP (quantifiable)
Cellular teledensity (quantifiable)
Threat from alternative technology (non-quantifiable)
Number of 3G licensees within a country (quantifiable)
Whether Telecom Regulatory authority has already been seperated from
the telecom monopoly (quantifiable)
Licensing fees (quantifiable)
Population density in the overall country (quantifiable)
Licensing method (quantifiable)

Request for Question Clarification by lot-ga on 06 Dec 2002 05:44 PST
Hello crushman-ga
For the benefit of researchers, can you clarify 'for every country in
the world' - do you mean that to be a separate analysis for every
country in the world (about 192)?
Kind regards
lot-ga

Clarification of Question by crushman-ga on 06 Dec 2002 07:37 PST
Thanks for asking.

What I meant is a factor that can apply to most countries. 
For example, every country has GDP.
For a country that has already awarded 3G licenses, the number of
licensees will be valid in this case.
Any factor will do as long as you can find data to match certain
categories.
GDP => all countries 
number of Licesnees => all countries that have awarded licenses. 

Thanks

Clarification of Question by crushman-ga on 06 Dec 2002 07:38 PST
I am sorry that I forget mentioning that "the more, the better", "not
just one factor".

Thanks
Answer  
There is no answer at this time.

The following answer was rejected by the asker (they received a refund for the question).
Subject: Re: factors affect 3G deployment
Answered By: lot-ga on 06 Dec 2002 14:08 PST
 
Hello crushman-ga ,

Many thanks for the clarification.
Below are some factors that I could find, which has hopefully
satisfied your 'the more the better' part, and can applied to most
countries,

excerpt
"... THE TOP TEN OBSTACLES TO 3G WIRELESS TECHNOLOGY
- Stable standards
Regional variations in 3G wireless standards have overcome the
original intent of a single global standard. However, the shakedown
inherent in the introduction of new technology means that fine-tuning
will be necessary. Thus, programmability is essential in 3G
basestations and handsets.

- Increased DSP performance
3G services require an increased data rate, which imposes increased
demands on digital signal processors (DSPs) and hardware blocks
implementing signal-processing functions such as decoding and
decompression. In addition, it will be important to differentiate
traffic types such as real-time voice from bursty packets in order to
handle quality of service (QoS) constraints.

- Software sophistication
The error tolerance possible in simple voice traffic will be lowered
for safety-critical applications such as emergency location.
Increasing use of wireless will demand better utilization of available
bandwidth through new encoding. Incremental improvement of algorithms
will require software-upgradable handsets.

- Lower power consumption
3G processing will require large increases in power unless operating
efficiencies, through advanced manufacturing processes, reduced
operating voltage, and hardware-based co-processing offloading DSP
software, are exploited. Varying traffic types will require adaptive
processing capabilities to minimize power usage.

- Advanced power management
For smooth handoff, 3G systems require constant background processing
that would be a large battery drain without advanced power management.
Future power management services must move from the large-scale
control of hardware blocks to fine-tuned control of individual on-chip
peripherals and blocks of memory.

- Increased battery capacity
Battery improvements have not kept pace with silicon process
technology, operating speeds, or other measures of device complexity.
Continued research in materials and charging technology is essential
to allow longer usage, increased functionality, and smaller and
lighter systems.

- 3G operating systems
2G wireless phones are mainly dedicated to a single
application-real-time dedicated-channel voice calls. 3G systems will
add many applications, both real-time and non-real-time. These must be
offered with high reliability and in a layered fashion in emerging
improved operating systems.

- Enhanced radio technology
Many 3G handsets will be compatible with 2G networks in different
frequency bands. 3G will often interoperate with wireless LANs in the
home and office. Handling multiple frequencies and operating standards
without duplicating analogue components leads to increased reliance on
DSP software. In addition, power consumption for RF components must
improve.

- [handset] Cost concerns
Handset cost has been driven down through silicon integration and this
will continue with new processes. Trade-off concerns and technology
optimizations will dictate whether integration will sweep up all
analog, digital, and RF components into a single system-on-a-chip
(SoC) device or an integrated chipset.

- Innovative applications
The increased data rate of 3G wireless can be useful in a number of
ways; for example, the wireless phone may be a gateway for collections
of local systems to the network. Compelling new applications will be
needed to persuade users that the technology offers enough value to
make its adoption justified."
'Obstacles to 3G Wireless and Design Tools and Methods to Overcome
Them'
http://www.cadence.com/whitepapers/wireless_white_paper.html 

Excerpt highlighting the European situation (which can be applicable
globally):

"- Technical problems: Engineers are struggling to achieve the
real-time, seamless handover from 2G to 3G networks that users will
need, because 3G networks will initially only cover a fraction of
Europe’s landscape.

- Handsets: They’re not there yet, they’re expensive, battery life
won’t be great, and they may be bulky—hardly a recipe for a
mass-market take-up.
- Rollout politics: Environmentalists and town planners are objecting
to new radio sites, and some site owners are using 3G upgrades to
raise rents.

- Capex sharing: Operators want to share the cost of new network
equipment, but that’s complicated, and it’s delaying rollouts.

- Standards: Wideband code division multiple access (WCDMA) is
horribly complex, and technical standards are still evolving. A robust
WCDMA standard is not expected before May or June of 2002.
Source: Upside and CSFB"
'Why Is European 3G Delayed?' March 11 2002, upside.com
http://www.upside.com/texis/mvm/story?id=3c8d38641

Excerpt showing particular major U.S. obstacles:
- Legacy problems (which affects a number of countries)
"problems arising from a multitude of already existing 2G networks"

- "availability (or lack thereof) RF spectrum..
.. Shortage of spectrum may seriously undermine 3G implementation in
the United States. The frequency band between 2.520 and 2.670 GHz has
already been identified for 3G. However, this means that the six big
carriers will have an average of somewhere between 25 MHz and 35 MHz
of spectrum. In marked contrast, the big European carriers have about
90 MHz."

- Financial hurdles
sheer cost to ensure national network coverage and costs already
incurred to obtain licenses.
'3G - Around the world and back again' by Raqibul Mostafa, Fakhrul
Alam and Kyung Kyoon Bae, Feb 1, 2002, RF Design
http://rfdesign.com/ar/radio_around_world_back/

- Real world transfer speeds and available bandwidth
"Another problem, Iadarola [ Frost industry analyst ] said, is the
slower speed of networks, once they are taken out of the lab. That
promise of a T1 line in a handheld device can turn into the speed of a
dialup modem, when put into play."

- Consumer demand and real world needs
"Worst of all, there is uncertainty over whether anyone will want to
pay for 3G services. In the corporate sector, some enterprises will
find it worthwhile to have remote access to company data and to
provide that data to wireless sales forces and other mobile workers

- Price points set too high
... For broad consumer adoption, prices need to be rationalized down,"
Iadarola said. "Not only will the price points have to come down, but
data pricing, in general ,will probably have to change, too. You can't
keep adding new expenses to consumers' monthly statements. Data
pricing may be more costly than Joe Average Consumer is willing to
pay."
'Report: 3G Wireless Lurches Forward' by Brian McDonough, Jun 25 2002,
Wireless NewsFactor
http://www.wirelessnewsfactor.com/perl/story/18373.html

- Limited initial network coverage
Limited coverage to begin with will deter some subscribers who prefer
a more comprehensive network coverage with their existing (cheaper)
network.

- Marketing
The cost and method of convincing and educating the public of the
benefits of 3G to migrate them across.


Search Strategy:
3g deployment obstacles
://www.google.com/search?q=3g+deployment+obstacles&hl=en&lr=&ie=UTF-8&ne
wwindow=1&c2coff=1&start=40&sa=N
UMTS-forum
http://www.umts-forum.org
3g.co.uk
http://www.3g.co.uk
3gportal
http://www.the3Gportal.com
W2 Forum
http://w2forum.com

I hope that helps, if you need any clarification of the answer just
ask.

Kind regards
lot-ga

Request for Answer Clarification by crushman-ga on 06 Dec 2002 14:44 PST
Dear Lot-ga:

Thanks very much on your answers, you must put a lot of effort on this
topic. However, I am really sorry I don't think this is what I want.
As a think-you, and respect to your effort, you can still get this 10
dollars.

I guess what I am really looking for are general factors that will (or
possibly) motivate 3G licesees to complete network construction
faster(in this regard, it is assumed that if they want, they can do
it). Sorry I did not clearly state these. Let me give you an example.

Licensing fees -- licensees usually claim that they pay too much to
acquire licenses. Therefore, there is a doubt that license fees are
really the problem. In such a case, lower licensing fees might
motivate licensees to deploy faster. (I don't need any clear evidence
for this arugement, all I need is this idea of "licensing fees" and a
link that provides numerical value for this factor)

I will start anyother question posting, please put your effert over
there again for me, thanks very much

Clarification of Answer by lot-ga on 06 Dec 2002 15:56 PST
Hello crushman-ga,
I must say I'm very sorry that the answer did not fulfill your
requirements due to my interpretation of your question. It never feels
satisfying as a researcher to post an answer which is of little value
to a customer.

You are, in case you are not aware, entitled to a full refund if you
wish to exercise that right.
https://answers.google.com/answers/main?cmd=refundrequest

kind regards
lot-ga

Request for Answer Clarification by crushman-ga on 06 Dec 2002 18:12 PST
Hello Lot-ga: 

In that case, may I combin those two questions and provide you $15 for
this question?


Thanks a lot

Clarification of Answer by lot-ga on 06 Dec 2002 19:09 PST
Hello crushman-ga

Sure, no problem, you can combine the questions (so it is open to
other researchers too, as others may be able to provide a better
response).
As I've already taken a look at the second part and I'm not sure I can
dig up the data required.

kind regards
lot-ga
Reason this answer was rejected by crushman-ga:
The researcher is hardworking in finding answers. However, the answers
researched are not what I need. What I need are general factors not
specifically focusing on technical obstcales of 3G deployment.
Moreover, no links are provided for statistics (not news, statistics).

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