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Subject:
IS THE PURPOSE OF THE TAX CUT TO PLAY ROBINHOOD OR TO STIMULATE?
Category: Relationships and Society > Politics Asked by: toughlover-ga List Price: $2.00 |
Posted:
09 Jan 2003 03:28 PST
Expires: 08 Feb 2003 03:28 PST Question ID: 139744 |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: IS THE PURPOSE OF THE TAX CUT TO PLAY ROBINHOOD OR TO STIMULATE?
From: leoj-ga on 12 Jan 2003 20:42 PST |
Not sure if you are trolling or serious. But this is a serious comment. The democratic idea (as opposed to political motivation) behind opposition to republican economic approaches such as giving large tax cuts to the wealthiest portion of the population to help the economy is this: The economy is demand driven not supply driven. More relevantly, there is too little demand stimulus in the economy right now. In order to get the economy moving, putting more money in the hands of people who will spend it is more effective therefore than putting in those who create capital investment. In addition, by definition, the wealthy are completely capable of investing now or at any time if they feel it is appropriate. It is appropriate when there is demand. Republican economic theory, also known as supply side, was made popular by Ronald Reagan. It was the justification for the drastic changes in the tax structure made in the early '80s. Unfortunately, it was rather clearly discredited. Interestingly, President Clinton's policies which reversed the trend of ever increasing budget deficits increased the wealth of the country's wealthiest by an astounding amount. The reason, in large part is two-fold. First, by improving the lot of the lower and middle classes demand was stimulated for products and thus business investment was rewarded. Second, by decreasing the borrowing of the Federal Government pressure on the capital markets was lessened, causing real interest rates to fall. (Real interest rates are the difference between stated rates and the rate of inflation.) Low real interest rates enable business investment much more than does an upper bracket tax cut. In early 2000, the Fed is believed to have upset the situation due to an incorrect belief that inflation was starting to become a potential threat to the economy. This may have precipitated the shakeup in the internet tech area. In any event, it probably worsened a correction that was due to come. The Fed realized their error and began lowering rates. President Bush's election, and the controversy that ensued, caused a great deal of uncertainty. Following this was the tragedy of 9/11/2001, the debacle with Enron and the Bush Doctrine - we do what we want, got a problem with that? - all creating a greatly reduced demand across the board. At the moment, interest rates are literally as low as they can go. The democratic position is based on the softness on the demand side. In order to get the economy back, and jobs created, demand much be spurred. The secondary position is that once the economy rebounds, as it eventually will, the huge reversal of the deficit policy we are not pursuing will hold the economy back and limit our next expansion. It is also important to note that the Democratic party is known as an advocate of the working class. When the economy slows, and jobs are lost, it is the middle and lower working class that is hurt the most. For this reason it is the pain and suffering aspect that gets the most play - we need to help those that are hurting. While this is a logical playing to their constituents, it clouds the solid economic reasons for doing so. Consumers drive the economy. Helping consumers stimulates it. As a final note, look at foreign economies that are in trouble. For the most part what they have in common is limited economic demand and overwhelming national debt. There is usually plenty of wealthy individuals, there is however little investment internal to these countries. It is the unmatched consumer demand of this country that has built our economy. The fact that we have the world's greatest economy by itself would argue that taxing dividends or having an estate tax is not hurting us too badly. Just one person's thoughts... |
Subject:
Re: IS THE PURPOSE OF THE TAX CUT TO PLAY ROBINHOOD OR TO STIMULATE?
From: toughlover-ga on 13 Jan 2003 16:27 PST |
Great response Count LeoJ, I know what you are doing, but I just could not find a word to describe it. Then the dictionary came to my rescue. The word is sophistry. However I would ascribe a god-natured label until I experience your true stripes. I was impressed by your elequence and knowledge of economics, but again I had to consult my word bank to judiciously qualify your presentment. The word that seem to fit is, verisimilitude. That is becaues your utterances are not entirely incorrect. Let us re-visit the question for the crux of my contention: to stimulate or to re-distribute. Even if "we" are convinced that the GOP's approach won't work, we Democrats should leave them alone to "their own distruction". Your demand-driven argument supports the re-distribution side of my question. But forced re-distribution is not democratic, it seems to be communism. I see that communism works for a while, because its short term boost encourages the benificisary-masses to vote for that Political Party. As we also observe, the Communist System fails eventually because incentive is moved from the producers to the consumers. From the man who turned his ten talents into a thousand, to the man who ate all his ten talents. As a Toughlover, I acknowledge that we Democrats tend to give a man a fish, while the GOP tend to try to teach that man how to fish. I observe that it is incongruous for we Democrats to try to obstruct the GOP from "making their own mistakes" (which if true would be heaven for us) on the grounds that we are sticking up for the well-being of the nation, when we also obstructed the Home-Land Bill? There can be no question, of the urgency, which was ignored despite the fact that job-rights is useless if our new president become Ben Laden, while we haggle over workers rights. Ok, let's examine your angle. If I read you correctly, you are saying, If we could set the ulterior motive aside, "there are merits to them there Shrils"? Ok, being a Toughlover, I must try to see it from your angle. The issue is, supply and demand. I agree with you that demand often precede supply, however, wisdom holds that if we give supply a push then wait for the reaction, to then equalize the demand, we end up with the see-saw (sine-wave) effect. This results in price rise and inflation while the supply is trying to catch up to the demand. You should recognize that supply/demand can be a catch 22 also. Sometimes supply has to precede demand. As we have seen, Cell Phones were litterally supplied for free to get people aquainted with the security virtues of the device. Infact the desk telephone was not demanded while Ma Bell kept it in short supply, but as soon as all the competitors over-supplied it, everybody then demanded one in every room. The above, suggest that the wise man would stimulate both the supply and demand together (give one man a fish & teach another how to fish). This latter approach allows the producers to use their incentive to over-produce existing products or produce new ones. Either way this is less likely to engender price rise and inflation. Come on LeoJ, hit me again, I am still wiggling. As barry Faber would say. |
Subject:
Re: IS THE PURPOSE OF THE TAX CUT TO PLAY ROBINHOOD OR TO STIMULATE?
From: toughlover-ga on 16 Jan 2003 14:44 PST |
Where are you LeoJ? I promise that if you convince me against my will, I will not be of the same opinion still. Only fools loose arguments without gaining the winner's views. You know the saying "one did not loose a son, one gains a daughter-in-law"? Or did I achieve confutation? |
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