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Q: Computer fitting of stock-price chart trends ( Answered,   0 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Computer fitting of stock-price chart trends
Category: Business and Money
Asked by: ooshaaku-ga
List Price: $100.00
Posted: 30 Jan 2003 14:05 PST
Expires: 01 Mar 2003 14:05 PST
Question ID: 155403
I'd like any links to commercial software or acedemic research into
how one fits trendlines, support and resistance lines automatically to
stock price charts.

Request for Question Clarification by websearcher-ga on 30 Jan 2003 17:06 PST
Hello ooshaaku:

I have been able to find you several examples of commercial software
that computer trendlines, support lines and resistance lines
automatically.

However, I am unclear on what it is exactly that you want from the
"acedemic research" part of this question...

Are you looking for algorithms that would be used to compute these
types of analysis? Or, are you looking for ersearch into the value of
or reason for using these particular indicators? Or is it something
else altogether?

Thanks! 

websearcher-ga

Clarification of Question by ooshaaku-ga on 31 Jan 2003 01:01 PST
Thanks websearcher:

yeah its my fault - a badly worded question!  I'm after the algorithims only.
Answer  
Subject: Re: Computer fitting of stock-price chart trends
Answered By: websearcher-ga on 31 Jan 2003 16:31 PST
 
Hi ooshaaku:

Thanks for the clarification. It was very difficult to find algorithms
and other computational material for trendlines, support lines and
resistance lines, because they have been traditionally treated in a
much more "subjective" manner than other strictly data-based stock
indicators. The following page talks about this:

Trendlines, Moving Average Signals
URL: http://www.stockcharts.com/commentary/mailbag/mailbag20010103.html
Quote: "As with much in technical analysis, drawing trendlines
involves a good bit of art mixed in with some science."

There is no one accepted method for choosing the key factors used in
computing these three indicators, so everyone's lines end up looking
different. However, there are some academic and commercial
papers/pages out there that speak to the issue of how best to
automatically compute these indicators. I have listed them below, with
a brief summary of what *I* got out of them.


Trendlines
**********

* Do Price Trends Exist in Speculative Markets? A Case Study
URL: http://www.departments.bucknell.edu/management/apfa/Hamburg%20Papers/Sodahl%20Paper.pdf
Description: Although the data appendices are missing (and I couldn't
locate them), the theory and formulas in this paper are very
interesting (if complex). A good read.

* Enhancing The Raff Regression Channel 
URL: http://www.working-money.com/Documentation/FEEDbk_docs/Archive/1198/Abstracts_new/McKinnon/McKin9811.html
Description: An excerpt from a larger paper that shows use of the
William's %R indicator to help set trendlines.

* Computing Curved Trendlines by Arthur Merrill
URL: http://store.traders.com/-v06-c08-comput-pdf.html
Description: Takes a different approach to trendlines, by fitting them
with curves. Full paper (with formulas) costs $3.95.

*Metastock Formulas: These formulas use a "programming interface"
called Metastock, which can be found at:

http://www.equis.com/

However, even if you do not want to use this language, you may be able
to glean some ideas out of the following algorithms:

URL: http://www.guppytraders.com/Metastock%20Formulas/metastock%20formula%202.htm
Description: There is an interesting formula here called "Metastock
Automatic Trendline Formula" - near the middle of the page. Do a
search for "trendline" to get there quickly.

URL: http://www.guppytraders.com/Metastock%20Formulas/metastock%20formula%2013.htm
Another formula here called "Instantaneous Trendline & Sinewave
Indicator as described by John Ehlers" deserves some consideration.
Near top of page.

URL: http://www.bertigianluca.it/finanza/metastock_formulas/metastock_formulas_index.htm
Several formulas here as well, including 4 up trendline formulas and 4
down trendline formulas.


Support and Resistance Lines
****************************

* Pivot Lines:
URL: http://www.crontech.com/swp/formula_library.html#PivotLines
Details: Some simple formulas for 1st and 2nd resistance and support
lines.

* Stuff on Pivot/Support/Resistance 
URL: http://www.mtrader.com/ta/Stuff_onPivot.htm
Description: A very nice page overall. 

* Support for Resistance: Technical Analysis and Intraday Exchange
Rates
URL: http://www.ny.frb.org/rmaghome/econ_pol/600osle.pdf
Description: Excellent paper with simple formulas. 

* Metastock Formulas: These formulas use a "programming interface"
called Metastock, which can be found at:

http://www.equis.com/

However, even if you do not want to use this language, you may be able
to glean some ideas out of the following algorithms:

URL: http://www.bertigianluca.it/finanza/metastock_formulas/metastock_formulas_index.htm

Go to the above page and use the left-hand frame to go to:

Page 4:
Rather involved algorithm here from a respected publication - "1998
May TASC Trader's Tip - Automatic Support and Resistance"

Page 5:
Shorter algorithm called "Fibonacci Trader- Support & Resistance" near
bottom of page

Page 10:
Very brief formulas called "SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE"

Page 15: 
Many, many formulas for both resistance and support line on this page!


I'm not sure what (if anything) further you need at this point. Do you
still want a list of software applications that compute these
indicators (without telling you any of their formulas)? Is there
certain area of this topic you'd like me to follow? I'm happy to do
further research for you on this topic once you let me know how you
liked the information I've found and what direction you'd like to go
from here. (Use the Clarification Request feature to contact me.)

Thanks. 

websearcher-ga


Search Strategy (on Google):

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calculating OR computing support resistance stock 
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Request for Answer Clarification by ooshaaku-ga on 01 Feb 2003 00:55 PST
Hi thanks......  Yes, I'd like the list of software applications that
compute these indicators (without telling you any of their formulas)?
I'll get back to you on further searches when I've had a good look at
the stuff we've got.

Request for Answer Clarification by ooshaaku-ga on 01 Feb 2003 11:10 PST
Thanks for what you have done.... I am really interested in the
algorithms or the logic of how to create algorithms so if there is
anything else you can find I would appreciate it.

Clarification of Answer by websearcher-ga on 01 Feb 2003 12:08 PST
Hi ooshaaku:

Thanks for your clarifications. I'll be working on this over the weekend. :-)

Thanks for your patience. 

websearcher-ga

Clarification of Answer by websearcher-ga on 01 Feb 2003 13:17 PST
Hi ooshaaku: 

Here are the software products (in no particular order) that I have
found that boast automatic charting of trendlines and/or support and
resistance lines. Of course, I have tried none of them personally so I
cannot vouch for their accuracy, usability, or reliability. Buyer
beware!

Pitstock Charting Software
URLs: 
http://www.pitstock.com/
http://www.pitstock.com/products/index.html
Notes: Appears to be in Beta right now. Become a Beta tester at
http://www.pitstock.com/products/download.html

Recognia Inc./ETRADE Canada
URLS:
http://www.recognia.com/index.html
http://www.recognia.com/reference/tech_trend.htm
Notes: While not a stand-alone software product, apparently you can
get access through an account with ETRADE.

SystemTrader
URLs:
http://www.marketsonline.com/software/systemtrader.htm
Notes: Apparently has its own programming language as well to
personalize the system!

Investrio Mentor Center 
URLS: 
http://www.wallstreetmentors.net/
Notes: Comes with a lot of other trading educational material.

Webotron Stock Analyser
URLs: 
http://www.web-o-tron.com/
Notes: Apparently coming soon!

MetaStock (Plugins)
URLs:
http://www.metastockcanada.com/plugins.htm
http://www.metastockcanada.com/dynamic_trading_tools_info.htm
Notes: Buy the base system (which we learned earlier can be
programmed), and this plugin can compute trendlines and support and
resistance lines.

GANNTRADER 3 
URLs:
http://www.wdgann.com/TradingCourses/ganntrader3.htm
Notes: Seems to support a lot of different types of trendlines. 

Personal Analyst
URLs:
http://www.trendsoft.com/ (click on link to left)
Notes: Other interesting tools listed at left as well. 

Fibonacci Cluster Software
URLs:
http://www.feargreed.com/cluster.htm
Notes: Concentrates on support and resistance lines

PFScan
URLs: 
http://www.pfscan.com/

ProTradingSystems
URLs:
http://www.protradingsystems.com/software.html
Notes: Free trial!

Hope this helps. If I find any further research links, I'll be sure to
post them in an additional clarification.

websearcher-ga 

Additional Search Strategy (on Google) 

stock trendlines software
stock support resistance software
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