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Q: Engineering Statistics Problem ( No Answer,   2 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Engineering Statistics Problem
Category: Business and Money
Asked by: wjs-ga
List Price: $5.00
Posted: 03 Feb 2003 14:34 PST
Expires: 04 Feb 2003 10:06 PST
Question ID: 156910
The phone lines to an airline reservation system are occupied 40% of
the time.
Assume that the events that the lines are occupied on successive calls
are indepent.Assume that 10 calls are placed to the airline.
(a)What is the probability for exeactly 3 calls the lines are occupied
(b)What is the probability that for at least 1 call the lines are
occupied
(c)What is the expected number of calls which the lines are occupoed
Answer  
There is no answer at this time.

Comments  
Subject: Re: Engineering Statistics Problem
From: racecar-ga on 03 Feb 2003 15:53 PST
 
(a) the number of different ways exactly 3 calls find occupied lines
is

10!/(3!*(10-3)!), or 120.  

The probability of each of these occuring is .4^3 * .6^7, or .00179

So the answer is 120*.00179 = .215, or 21.5% chance.

(b) The probability that the lines are occupied for at least one call
is 1 minus the probability that the lines are occupied for none of the
calls.  That probability is .6^10, so the answer is 1-.6^10 = .994, or
99.4% chance.

(c) The expected number is just 40% of 10, or 4.
Subject: Re: Engineering Statistics Problem
From: neilzero-ga on 04 Feb 2003 02:10 PST
 
racecar may have the correct answer, but in the real world, the calls
do not come at random intervals, but are modified by plane arrival and
departure scheduals, news, ads etc, so at times there may be a dozen
people trying unsuccessfully to reach the reservation desk, and only
one will be talking typically, most of the time.   Neil

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