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Subject:
Database of how long do corporations exist
Category: Business and Money > Economics Asked by: pacoid-ga List Price: $50.00 |
Posted:
17 May 2002 14:07 PDT
Expires: 17 May 2003 14:07 PDT Question ID: 16791 |
Where can I find a database about the expected "lifetime" of a corporation? I.e., vital statistics on a national or international level of large firms going out of business, correlated with how long they'd been in business. I need enough solid, reliable data to run some statistical analysis, preferrably reaching back into a reasonably long history (19th century). | |
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Subject:
Re: Database of how long do corporations exist
Answered By: remoran-ga on 25 May 2002 17:21 PDT |
This is my first shot at something I thought would not be a real difficult assignment but now I see why it's worth $50.00 I did not see any freebies concerning average corporate lifetime but "McKinsey & Company estimates that by the end of the year 2020 the average lifetime of a corporation on the S&P will have been shortened to about 10 years." http://www.mckinsey.com/knowledge/articles/MJ_jack_welch_cd.asp To generate data, www.bizstats.com has a wealth of statical information on US businesses of all sizes with industry sector, profits, debt to equity ratio etc. etc. This would give you the raw data to build a database on. It's pretty amazing. As for analysis on this data, the Z-Score business failure predictor has gained widespread acceptance. One site that shows how this works is http://www.css.edu/USERS/dswenson/web/Z-SCORE.HTM. Another is http://www.creditworthy.com/topics/zscore.html frm which this following quote comes from. "This There have been many other bankruptcy predictors developed and published. However, .none has been so thoroughly tested and broadly accepted as the Altman Z-Score. The Altman Z-Score variables influencing the financial strength of a firm are: CA = CURRENT ASSETS TA = TOTAL ASSETS SL = NET SALES IN = INTEREST TL = TOTAL LIABILITY CL = CURRENT LIABILITIES VE = MARKET VALUE OF EQUITY ET = EARNINGS BEFORE TAXES RE= RETAINED EARNINGS " Another site that allows you to plug in info is http://www.creditguru.com/CalcAltZ.shtml This is pretty cool and it too is free. HTH Bob |
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Subject:
Re: Database of how long do corporations exist
From: nutshell-ga on 20 May 2002 13:54 PDT |
Pacoid-ga: You may find this artile intresting and useful: http://www.mckinsey.com/knowledge/articles/MJ_jack_welch_cd.asp nutshell-ga |
Subject:
Re: Database of how long do corporations exist
From: pacoid-ga on 20 May 2002 15:05 PDT |
Very nice. The estimator from McKinsey was tracking at 65 years (for lifetime on SP500) and is projected to drop to a decade or so.... That hits close to my query, but one would need to have a sample population to develop a PDF for expected lifetime. Thank you! |
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