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Q: PDA sales stats ( Answered 4 out of 5 stars,   1 Comment )
Question  
Subject: PDA sales stats
Category: Computers > Wireless and Mobile
Asked by: iswhatis-ga
List Price: $50.00
Posted: 20 Mar 2003 11:50 PST
Expires: 19 Apr 2003 12:50 PDT
Question ID: 178785
How many PDAs were sold last year world-wide, in terms of both dollars
and number of units?  What are the available forecasts for this year
and future years?  If possible, distinguish whether these numbers
include new PDA/phone combos like the Handspring Treo.

Tip for each of the following:
- ($10) market share of each of the top five companies
- ($10) If PDA/phone combos are not included in the above numbers,
provide those numbers as well.

I'd be interested in any feedback on whether you feel this question
was fairly priced.
Thanks!
-Roy
Answer  
Subject: Re: PDA sales stats
Answered By: bobbie7-ga on 20 Mar 2003 14:40 PST
Rated:4 out of 5 stars
 
Hello Roy,

Thank you for your question.

I assembled statistics and data on PDA sales 2002 and forecasts both
in unit sales and dollars. These numbers do not include PDA/phone
combos like the Handspring Trio.

I have also included the market share for the top PDA companies.

The PDA/phone combo data that I was able to locate is provided at the
end of my answer.

******************************

PDA Sales Slip, but Palm Still Leads
Tom Krazit, IDG News Service
January 27, 2003

Hardware vendors shipped 12.1 million PDAs and other handhelds in
2002, down 9.1 percent from 2001, says Dataquest, a unit of Gartner,


PC World: News
http://www.pcworld.com/news/article/0,aid,109027,00.asp


******************************

From the Gartner Pressroom:

According to Dataquest Inc. worldwide shipments of PDAs totaled 12.1
million units in 2002.

“The PDA industry suffered through a difficult year as worldwide
shipments totaled 12.1 million units in 2002, a 9.1 percent decline
from 2001 results, according to preliminary results from Dataquest
Inc., a unit of Gartner, Inc.”


PDAs Statistics and Market Share: 

Note: Does not include smart phones such as Handspring Treo 300.

Vendor            2002 Shipments     2002 Market Share (%) 

Palm              4,438,730          36.8 
Hewlett-Packard   1,628,729          13.5 
Sony              1,332,666          11.0 
Handspring          698,228           5.8 
Toshiba             450,298           3.7 
Casio               396,890           3.3 
RIM                 272,450           2.3 
Nokia               267,310           2.2 
Hi-Tech Wealth      257,378           2.1 
Sharp               226,300           1.9 
Others             2,097,396         17.4 
Total Market      12,066,375          100 



Worldwide PDA Unit Shipments Forecast 
(Thousands of Units) 
2002    12,055 
2003    13,363 
2004    15,658 
Source: Gartner Dataquest (February 2003)


Source: Gartner Dataquest (January 2003)
http://www.dataquest.com/press_gartner/quickstats/personal.html


******************************

PDA Market Report: Global Sales, Usage and Trends
Gartner Dataquest’s breakdown of PDA versus mobile phone sales
Worldwide Mobile Phone, PC and PDA Shipments,
Year (in millions of units) 
        PDAs    PC       Mobile Phone
2000    10.9    134.3    412.7
2001    12.3    128.1    506.5
2002    16.0    129.3    586.2
2003    23.1    149.7    650.8
2004    31.6    167.2    704.4
2005    39.2    181.5    739.2

Source: Gartner Dataquest, 2001
http://www.info-edge.com/samples/EM-2058sam.pdf


******************************

According to Joris Evers from IDG News Service - November 12, 2002

Vendor                  Market Share
Palm                      33.8 % 
Sony                      14.4 %
Toshiba                   4.3 %
Casio Computer            4.1 %

PC World: News
http://www.pcworld.com/news/article/0,aid,106869,00.asp


******************************

According to Cindy Wolf, an Analyst with In-Stat/MDR:

“PDAs are forecasted to have a healthy 18.3% Compound Annual Growth
Rate (CAGR) over the 2002-2007 period, with the highest growth rate
anticipated for 2003.”

In-Stat/MDR also found that:

“The ability to access the Internet from a PDA is being increasingly
integrated into these devices. About 15% of PDAs offered this
functionality in 2002, and this percentage is expected to grow to 75%
by 2007.”

“A variety of products offering on-chip memory, improved power
consumption and support for greater functionality will become
available.”
“Wireless and communications functionalities will increase this year
on PDAs, especially on high-end devices.”

There is a graph of Worldwide PDA Unit Shipments 2001-2007 that you
may view at the following URL:
http://www.instat.com/charts/2003/IN030575ID_ch.gif

Source
Instat: Press Release February 2003
http://www.instat.com/press.asp?Sku=IN030575ID&ID=552


******************************

Stat/MDR has found that:

“The three major customer segments for PDAs are consumer, mobile
professionals, enterprise.

The global long-term market forecast for PDAs is solid, with annual
growth through 2005 in the double-digit range, peaking in about 2004
at 30%, and then tapering off in 2005 as the market matures.

The current OS leader among PDAs is clearly Palm followed by Pocket PC
and Windows CE hold.”

This report estimates compound annual growth from 2001 through 2005 at
25%.

There is a graph of forecasts of PDA shipments 2000-2005 at the
following website:

Instat: Market Alerts
http://www.instat.com/newmk.asp?ID=74


******************************

Dollar Values

According to Gartner the worldwide PDA market is forecast to grow 7.1
percent to $4.1 billion in 2002.

“Although the PDA market will most likely reach $4.1 billion in 2002,
the opportunity can reasonably be expected to range from a
conservative $3.8 billion to an optimistic $4.3 billion.

The 2003 market is expected to see unit shipment growth of 20.2
percent, but the dollar value of those units should increase by only
7.0 percent over 2002 because of increased price competition and
falling ASPs.”


Gartner’s 2003 PDA Forecast Scenarios

Worldwide PDA Revenue Forecast (Millions of Dollars)
  
  
                    1Q02   2Q02   3Q02    4Q02    2002 
Best Case          1,075   934     945    1,350   4,304 
Most Likely Case   1,075   934     788    1,272   4,069 
Worst Case         1,075   934     693    1,080   3,782 
  
                    1Q03   2Q03   3Q03    4Q03    2003 
Best Case          1,126  1,148   1,155   1,402   4,830 
Most Likely Case   1,056    952   1,018   1,328   4,354 
Worst Case           884    896     935   1,127   3,841 

Source: Gartner Dataquest (August 2002)
http://gartner2002.hec.ca/research/109000/109075/109075.html#Table%201


******************************

New Components, Form Factors, and Pricing to Jumpstart Lagging PDA
Market. This article includes a graph of worldwide PDA Retail Revenue
2001-2006
http://www.instat.com/press.asp?ID=364&sku=IN020003ID


******************************

The review of the report WORLDWIDE PDA FORECAST 1998-2008 by
eTForecasts provides excellent information, statistics and graphs:

Worldwide PDA Forecast 1998-1008 
Table 1.3 includes:
-PDA Unit Sales  
-Unit Growth (%)  
-PDA AUP ($) 
-PDA Revenue ($M) 
-Revenue Growth (%)   
-PDA/PC Sales (%) 
-PDA/PC Revenue (%) 
For copyright reasons I cannot reproduce the complete table here but
if you open the following link and scroll down the page you will see
the complete table.
http://www.etforecasts.com/products/ES_pdas.htm
   

Sales and Forecasts

“Worldwide PDA sales topped 15M units in 2001 and are projected to
reach nearly 61M devices in 2008 for a compound annual growth rate of
26.5%. PDA unit sales will grow from 9% of PC sales in 2000 to nearly
28% of PC sales in 2008. Worldwide PDA revenue will grow from $4.3B in
2000 to nearly $19B in 2008. Compared to the PC market, PDA revenue
will increase from 1.7% of worldwide PC revenue in 2000 to 5.3% in
2008.”

Worldwide PDA Product Segments 

“The strong future growth of Phone-PDAs is based on recent success in
Europe, where Phone-PDAs have reached a market share of about 30% of
total PDA sales. The positive reaction and reviews of Handspring's
Treo is another reason for a growth forecast.”

“Worldwide PDA product mix is shown in the next figure. Unit sales are
in millions. Pen PDAs are the market leader with worldwide unit sales
of 12.2M in 2001 with growth projected to 31.3M devices in 2008.”

“Keyboard PDA unit sales reached 2.5M devices in 2001 and is
forecasted to grow to 10.3M units in 2008. Phone-PDAs will grew from
less than 0.3M units in 2000 to over 19M units in 2008. Cumulative
sales of pen PDAs reached nearly 30M units in 2001 and will top 177M
devices in 2008. Cumulative sales of Phone-PDAs will zoom from 0.3M in
2000 to 60M in 2008.”

You may view the graph of the above data at this direct link:
http://www.etforecasts.com/products/pda2.gif

Source: eTForecasts 
http://www.etforecasts.com/products/ES_pdas.htm


******************************

“Camera-enabled PDAs will not be so widely adopted, claim researchers,
accounting for just 6 percent of all PDA sales worldwide by 2007.”
http://www.e-insite.net/index.asp?layout=article&articleid=CA254284


******************************


Search Criteria:

Global sales of PDAs units millions 
PDA market share 
PDA sales statistics
PDA sales dollars
PDA Total dollars sales million
Worldwide PDA market dollars
Phone/PDA sales millions +units
Worldwide PDA-phones sales dollars millions


I hope you find this helpful and if any part of my answer is unclear,
please don't hesitate to ask for clarification.  I'll be happy to be
of further assistance.


Best Regards,
Bobbie7-ga
iswhatis-ga rated this answer:4 out of 5 stars and gave an additional tip of: $20.00
Nice job!  Thanks for your help.

Comments  
Subject: Re: PDA sales stats
From: bobbie7-ga on 20 Mar 2003 16:09 PST
 
Roy, 
Thanks for the tip!
I'm glad to have helped.
--Bobbie7

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