Hello francism-ga,
My search returned the following results:
CD & DVD Replication Worldwide 2001-2003
(Millions of Units)
CD-Audio
2001 4,774
2002 4,709
2003 4,680
CD-ROM
2001 3,429
2002 3,275
2003 3,110
CD-Video
2001 1,095
2002 1,101
2003 1,046
DVD-Video
2001 1,080
2002 1,740
2003 2,415
DVD-ROM
2001 170
2002 298
2003 438
DVD-Audio
2001 6
2002 25
2003 60
Total worldwide CD & DVD Replication
2001 10,554
2002 11,148
2003 11,749
IRMA's Worldwide Market Intelligence Services
https://www.recordingmedia.org/news/stat-replication_worldwide.html
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CD & DVD Replication North America 2001-2003
(Millions of Units)
CD-Audio
2001 1,653
2002 1,610
2003 1,570
CD-ROM
2001 1,545
2002 1,460
2003 1,330
DVD-Video
2001 636
2002 960
2003 1,225
DVD-ROM
2001 57
2002 110
2003 175
DVD-Audio
2001 2
2002 12
2003 25
Total North American CD & DVD Replication
2001 3,893
2002 4,152
2003 4,325
IRMA's Worldwide Market Intelligence Services
https://www.recordingmedia.org/news/stat-replication_na.html
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CD-R Demand 2001-2003
(Millions of Units)
CD-R worldwide
2001 4,170
2002 5,225
2003 5,775
CD-R North America
2001 1,565
2002 2,050
2003 2,250
(Demand = sales to wholesalers, retailer, direct marketers, etc.)
IRMA's Worldwide Market Intelligence Services
https://www.recordingmedia.org/news/stat-cd-r_demand.html
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Projections
Due to format difficulties I am not able to post the data here,
however, but I am providing you with the direct link and page number
for each statistic.
Page 10:
World DVD Production in millions of discs 1997-2006
World CD Production in millions of discs 1997-2006
Page 11:
DVD Hardware Penetration: USA
Page 12
DVD Player Penetration 2001-2006 for USA Japan Europe
Page 18
Market Forecast for CD-R 1999-2005
Page 20
Market Forecast for DVD ± R Media 2000-2005 (million discs)
Market Forecast for DVD ± RW/RAM Media 2000-2005 (million discs)
SINGULUS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP
http://www.singulus.de/pdf/present/05052003.pdf
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DVD Piracy in the U.S. Becomes an Industry by Dom Serafini
“The number of illegal CDs in circulation in the world in 2001 was
estimated at 950 million, but only 20 million of these were
confiscated. It is also estimated that 130 million blank DVD-Rs were
sold worldwide in 2002.“
Video Age Internacional
http://www.videoageinternational.com/2003/articles/March/piracy.htm
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Historical Numbers
“This year optical media will break the mark of 10 billion units
replicated on a worldwide basis… with a healthy 9% increase over
1999's results and a 10.3 billion unit total.”
“... market production of CD and DVD amounted to 9.2 billion units
replicated in 1999, representing a 9% increase over the previous
year.“
“Last year was an extraordinary one for CD-ROM with its replication
growth increasing 18% to 3.6 billion units from 3.0 billion in 1998.”
“CD-R blank media reached 600-million units worldwide in 1998, and we
had forecast that demand would reach 1.3 billion units by the year
2000. That turned out to be very conservative, since CD-R worldwide
demand was actually 1.5 billion units in 1999 and now 4 billion is the
new target in 2002.“
“Strong growth in DVD-Video players is also expected, with an estimate
of at least 175 million households worldwide having one or more
DVD-Video players or DVD-PC drives.”
Source: IRMA
https://www.recordingmedia.org/news/speech-9-20press-2000.html
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From a speech by Charles Van Horn, President, International Recording
Media Association (IRMA 2002)
“More than 3.1 billion CD-audio and CD-Rom units are forecast for
North America this year, providing nearly 1.1 billion dollars in
revenue to replicators. “
“DVD-video replication - with 630 million unit sales expected this
year in North America.”
“In 2001, some 440 million DVD-video units were reported to be
replicated.”
“The Consumer Electronics Association expects 12.7 million DVD players
to be sold this year, a 49.5 percent gain over 2001. This year, we
expect another 30 million DVD-ROM drives to be sold.”
Source: IRMA
https://www.recordingmedia.org/news/speech-repna-2002.html
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From a speech given by Charles Van Horn at 2002 Technology &
Manufacturing Conference:
“IRMA's market intelligence service estimates that more than 3.8
billion CDs and DVDs were replicated in 2001 in North America.”
“Downloading of songs will continue to negatively impact CD-Audio
album sales.”
“CD-Audio players are in more than 80% of households-that's more than
200 million CD-Audio players.”
“Annual sales of CD-Audio players and portable players declined in
2001, but at less than 5% per year.”
“DVD-Audio players are projected to have attracted only a limited
number of early adopters and audiophiles. Broad market acceptance is
not expected to occur until after 2005.”
“Inclusion of CD-Audio players as standard equipment in North America
in at least 30% of all new automobiles over the next five years and
the large "after market" for CD-Audio kits for automobiles assures
continued growth for the CD-Audio format.”
“For 2002, CD replication in North America is expected to total 3.070
billion units, with CD-Audio registering sales of 1.610 billion units,
and CD-ROM taking the balance of sales.”
Source: IRMA
http://www.recordingmedia.org/news/speecht&m2002.html
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Market News Express:
“Looking at the figures, unit volume of CD Rom went from 800 million
in 2000 to 2 billion in 2002 - with sales expected to reach about 2.3
billion in 2003.”
“Citing MPD Technical World figures, 2003 is showing strong upward
sales for DVD-RW drives, with January 2003 seeing 422,786 units
shifted, and a very conservative projection of 2.1 million shipments
into the US market in 2003.”
Hong Kong Trade Development Council
http://www.tdctrade.com/mne/it/info069.htm
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This recent article “Does CD Still Have a Place in a DVD World” by
Ronald Hanafin (2003) addresses DVD drive forecasts.
“According to DVD Entertainment Group reports, the one-billionth DVD
was shipped to retail by mid-2002 and 40 million households would have
DVD units by the end of 2002."
"Now that high-end home PCs include recordable DVD drives, IDC
forecasts that drive sales will be strong for the next five years and
will reach 50 million units a year by 2006. Pointing to the expanding
recordable DVD production capacity and the dramatic drop in end user
prices, Peddie is confident that more than 250 million disks will be
sold annually by 2004.”
“While the growing acceptance of DVD appears to dictate the rapid
demise of CD technology, SMD’s Freeman and IDC’s Wolfgang Schlichting
are quick to point out that nearly 70 million CD-RW drives shipped
last year and the installed base is over 130 million units worldwide.
Both firms estimate that by 2005, more than 400 million drives will be
in use in personal and business computers.”
Enterprise Networking Magazine
http://www.enterprisenetworkingmagazine.com/monthly/2003/01/dvd.shtml
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From a February 13, 2003 BusinessWeek article:
“At the end of 2002, 35% of U.S. homes had a DVD player, up from zero
just three years ago.”
“According to Nielsen VideoScan figures published in the DVD insider
newsletter, DVD sales for the week ending Jan. 26 were 4.4 million, up
1 million, or 23%, over last year. Sales over the last 12 months
totaled 22.1 million, up 6.4 million, or 29%, over the previous year.”
BusinessWeek Online
http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/feb2003/tc20030213_9095_tc078.htm
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CNN Business
July 10, 2003
“More than one billion pirated CDs were sold for the first time ever
last year, according to the International Federation of the
Phonographic Industry.”
“The total pirate music market is worth an estimated $4.6 billion last
year, up 7 percent from 2001, it said.”
CNN Business
http://edition.cnn.com/2003/BUSINESS/07/10/music.piracy/
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Some interesting numbers:
1983: 80,000 audio CDs sold in US
1986: 50 million audio CDs sold in US
1990: 288 million audio CDs sold in US
“1983 - only 30,000 players and 80,000 discs were sold in the United
States. But in just three years those numbers jumped to 3 million
players and 50 million discs. By 1990, sales reached 9.2 million
players and 288 million discs; 28 percent of U.S. homes had a CD
player. In less than 10 years, CDs had become a well-established
technology in North America and proved to be one of the fastest
growing industries of all time.”
US Business Review Online
http://www.usbusiness-review.com/0205/06.html
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Berkley Research Project:
“In 1999, there were about 4.7 million audio CDs and 3.6 million
CD-ROMs replicated worldwide, according to the International Recording
Media Association (IRMA). In addition, in 1999 194 million DVD-Video
units, 12 million DVD-ROM units, and 2 million DVD-Audio units were
replicated.”
“A total of 1.583 billion recordable CDs (CD-Rs) were sold around the
world in 1999, according to Santa Clara Consulting Group.”
(..)
“Since the format was launched in 1997, more than 1.5 billion DVDs
have been replicated worldwide, almost 1 billion in North America
alone.”
Regents of the University of California
http://www.sims.berkeley.edu/research/projects/how-much-info/optical.html
==========================================================
According to Charles Van Horn, President of the International
Recording Media Association (IRMA 2002):
“Earlier this month it was announced that in just five years DVD
player sales passed the 43 million mark worldwide. And IRMA projects
the number of DVDs replicated in North America will surpass the
one-billion mark later this year, marking the fastest time in which a
recording media format went from introduction to one-billion units per
year.”
(..)
“The product celebrated the millennial year of 2000 with 8.5 million
players, followed by an estimated 12.6 million players in 2001, and a
projected 14.95 million sales by the end of this year.”
“DVD-video will have the largest portion of this pie, with 3.6 billion
units in 2006. The industry produced 849 million DVD-video units last
year, will break the one billion mark this year, and climb near two
billion by 2003.”
“Total worldwide optical recordable media market was 250 million units
in 1996, went up to 4.8 billion in 2001, and will drop slightly to
four and a half billion by 2006.”
(..)
“The total market in 1996 was 18 billion units, grew to 22.7 billion
by 2001, and is estimated to decline slightly to 20.5 billion by
2006.”
Source: IRMA
https://www.recordingmedia.org/news/speechdvdeurope2002.html
==========================================================
From a 2001 IRMA Press Release:
“The Consumer Electronics Association anticipates a 2001 with
estimated DVD player sales of 12.5 million units in the U.S. alone, up
from 8.2 million in 2000. By the end of this year, household
penetration for DVD is expected to be 20 percent.”
“CD players will enjoy unit sales of nearly 60 million units this
year, adding some $5.5 billion in industry sales.”
Source: IRMA http://www.recordingmedia.org/news/speechRecMedia2001.html
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IRMA Statistics -2002
2003 - 1.225 billion DVD-Video units being replicated.
“Our research shows DVD-Video players will be in more than 40% of
North American homes in 2003 and close to 70% five years from now.”
2002 - “CD-Audio replication in North America is expected to end up at
1.6 billion units, virtually flat with 2001, which in turn was down 5%
from CD-Audio replication output in 2000.”
“CD-Audio players are in more than 80% of households.That's more than
200 million CD-Audio players waiting to be fed CD software.”
“CD-Audio players as standard equipment in North America in at least
30% of all new automobiles over the next five years and the large
"after market" for CD-Audio kits for automobiles assures continued
growth for the CD-Audio format.”
Source: IRMA - 2002
http://www.recordingmedia.org/news/speech-mktgsum-2002.html
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Trends and Forecasts
“The forecast foresees a compound annual growth rate of 58 percent
from 2001 through 2006 for DVD-video replication.”
“North America is expected to have the largest, but steadily
declining, share of the worldwide market, moving from 57 percent in
2000, to 35 percent in 2006 as other parts of the world increase their
demand for DVD-videos.”
“China: 275 million DVDs by 2004, surpassing Japan's expected 240
million in that same year.”
“Our 2001 report also forecasts that 440 million DVDs will be
replicated in North America; 205 million in Europe; 110 million in
Japan; and 40 million in China.”
- 8.5 million DVD-video players sold a record in the U.S. 2000.
- 18.2 million DVD-video players sold globally in 2000.
- 474 million units worldwide market for DVD-video discs 2000 up 144
percent from 1999.
Source: IRMA 2001
http://www.recordingmedia.org/cvh_speech/cvh_repasia2001.html
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“According to figures compiled by the DVD Entertainment Group based on
data from the Consumer Electronics Association (CEA), retailers and
manufacturers, 16.7 million DVD players were sold to consumers in 2001
representing 1.7 times more than last year. In addition, there are
currently more than 54 million DVD playback devices including set top
players, DVD-ROM drives and game machines.”
Source: IRMA
http://www.recordingmedia.org/news/rmonews.html
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Statistics & Predictions
“DVD players sold through the US consumers have reached nearly 39
million, with the format currently in 30 million households (adjusting
for homes owning two or more DVD players).”
“When you include the growing number of PCs with DVD-ROM drives and
game consoles with DVD capability, nearly 50% of all US homes will
have the DVD format by year end.”
“According to Adams Media Research, DVD is on an annual 10 million
household growth pattern. At this rate, there will be 70 million US
households by 2006.”
OPTICAL DISC SYSTEMS: 2002
http://www.opticaldisc-systems.com/2002SepOct/MattersOfInterest5.htm
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"There are 46 million PC/CD-ROM owning households in the United
States."
http://www.macrovision.com/solutions/software/cdrom/images/Games_CD-ROM_Study.PDF
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“The industry has an installed base of more than one billion CD
players (275 million CD-ROM drives and 800 million audio-CD players).
Nearly three billion CD-Recordable and CD-RW media are expected to
reach consumers in the year 2000.“
CD Media World
http://www.cdmediaworld.com/hardware/cdrom/news/9911/philips_cd-rw_products.shtml
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Charles Van Horn,
President of the International Recording Media Association (IRMA),
February 12, 2002
“The Consumer Electronics Association (CEA) expects 12.7 million DVD
players to be sold this year, a 49.5 percent gain over 2001.”
“DVD-ROM drives installed in PCs accounted for all such drives until
late 2000, when Sony's playstation2 came on and produced nearly
1-million DVD-ROM drives”.
”Then, in 2001, game consoles with DVD-ROM drives numbered 5.5
million, with an overall installed base of 23.2 million.”
“This year, we expect another 30 million DVD-ROM drives to be sold.”
Source: IRMA
http://www.recordingmedia.org/news/speechrepna2002.html
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According Jim Taylor's DVD-FAQ, "in 2001 the ratio of installed
DVD-ROM drives to DVD-Video devices in the US was about 3.5 to 1.
Assuming a flat-line growth projection in both platforms (or
categories of platforms), by now there have probably been at least 170
million DVD-ROM drives sold, for a total base of devices capable of
reading DVD numbering around 218 million. This number was derived by
multiplying the CEA figures for DVD player sales, multiplied by 3.5.”
Epublishing Info: 2003
http://www.epublishing-info.com/blog/2003/05/08.html
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Here is a table of DVD Player Sales History (since format
introduction)
http://www.thedigitalbits.com/articles/cemadvdsales.html
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2001
12.7 million DVD-Video players shipped in the U.S. (Installed base of
26,629,000.)
Over 45 million DVD-ROM drives in the U.S.
Over 90 million DVD-ROM drives worldwide.
UK: 3 million installed base
2002
17 million DVD-Video players shipped in the U.S. (Installed base of
43,718,000 )
Over 75 million DVD-ROM drives in the U.S.
Over 140 million DVD-ROM drives worldwide.
“For comparison, there were about 700 million audio CD players and 160
million CD-ROM drives worldwide in 1997. 1.2 billion CD-ROMs were
shipped worldwide in 1997 from a base of about 46,000 different
titles.”
http://www.dvddemystified.com/dvdfaq.html#1.9
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From an Infotech Research 2003 Press Release:
“The installed base of optical drives in home PCs in the US grew
faster than expected in the current weak economic recovery, at a rate
of over 15% in 2002, to 88.4 million units. The installed base of
CD-ROM, CD-R/RW, DVD-ROM, DVD-R/RW and combi drives in 2001 was 76.4
million. InfoTech projections are for a slightly lower growth rate in
the current year, but still at the double digit rate of 12% to broaden
the optical drive installed base to 99.4 million this year, and
exceeding 100 million early next year.”
Source: Infotech
http://www.infotechresearch.com/press/PR12903.htm
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Installed Base – 600 million CD-ROM drives worldwide
From PCWorld:
“CD-R discs can be read by almost the entire installed base of 600
million CD-ROM drives worldwide, as well as by most current home audio
and DVD players. CD-RW discs are less compatible with commercial
audio-CD players and older CD-ROM drives than CD-R discs are.”
http://www.pcworld.com/reviews/article/0,aid,58426,00.asp
CD, DV: Applications, Not Standards, Are the Issue
Verbatim Corporation
“While CD-ROM drives in PCs have been replaced with CD-RW drives in
even low-end computers, there is still an installed base of nearly 600
million CD drives and 400 million CD players. This compares to an
installed base of more than 200 million DVD players, which also play
CD media.”
“Today there are more than 130 million CD burners in use and an
estimated 80 million will be added in the coming year. Strategic
Marketing Decisions estimates that by 2005 more than 400 million CD-RW
drives will be installed, compared to less than 50 million DVD
burners, which also write CD media.”
Digital Lifestyles 2002
http://www.digital-lifestyles.com/docs/Verbatim_DigitalMedia.pdf
http://www.digital-lifestyles.com/cat/digitalmedia/wp.cfm?wpid=1025
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From a Yankee Group PowerPoint 2003 Presentation
CD player penetration: 72%
CD burners: 14%
Slide 5 illustrates a graph of U.S. Sales of Packaged Audio Media
1970-2002
Source: Yankee Group
http://www.yankeegroup.com/public/events/conferences/ccs2003/presentations/CCS-Jonespresentation.pdf
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In addition I located a fee based report that may be of your interest:
WORLDWIDE OPTICAL MEDIA MARKET INTELLIGENCE SERVICE
The Most Accurate Information on the Current Status and Future of
Optical Media
http://www.recordingmedia.org/MIS/optical.html
Brochure and Order Form
http://www.recordingmedia.org/MIS/optical-brochure.pdf
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Search terms used in diverse combinations:
Optical media, sales, U.S., global, worldwide, billion OR million
cd rom drives OR players, "cd player", penetration, CD-ROM, DVD-Video,
DVD-ROM, DVD-Audio, forecast,
Best Regards,
Bobbie7-ga |
