Hello jswearingen,
From a recent Computer Weekly article dated March 2003:
According to Forrester Research founder and chief executive officer
George Colony CEO, today there are about 500 million devices are
connected to the internet, but by the end of the decade there would be
billions of connected devices, including cars, phones and many other
electronic devices.
Computer Weekly: March 2003
http://www.cw360.com/Article120025.htm
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From Electronic Data Systems Corporation
By 2010, devices connected to the Internet will reach 35 billion
(nearly 6 devices per person on the planet).
-Cerf, Vinton, "Cerf's Up: Social, Economic and Regulatory Issues:
Internet in the Next Five to Ten Years." 2000 WorldCom, Inc.
By 2020, so many appliances, vehicles, and buildings will be online
that it is likely there will be more Internet devices than people
online at any given moment.
-Cerf, Vinton "Visions of the 21st Century: What Will Replace the
Internet." TIME.com (June 19, 2000).
Electronic Data Systems Corporation
http://www.eds.com/news/home_page_digital_economy_srcs.shtml
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From an interview of Vint Cerf, Founder and former Chairman of the
Board of the Internet Society which took place during the World
Telecom Internet Days at World Telecom:
How do you see the Internet developing over the next ten years?
I see it increasing in its total capacity and penetration. Today we
think there are maybe 200 million people using the Net, which is a
pretty small number compared to the world's population. I'm not sure
how quickly we will reach the billion mark in terms of users, but it
could be somewhere between 2004 and 2006. I also estimate that there
will be about a billion devices on the Net by 2006 - 2007. A lot of
these devices will be appliances rather than conventional PCs and
laptops. You will see many appliances like the European GSM appliances
with built-in Web capability. There will also be increasing innovation
in terms of applications that are being supported.
Source: Connected.org - Alan McCluskey
http://www.connected.org/is/vint.html
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Internet in the next five to ten years by Vint Cerf:
Anyone who claims or even suggests to know for certain what will
happen to the Internet in the future is guilty of hubris or subject to
delusions. I won't make that claim! However, there are trends that can
be discerned and extrapolated.
(..)
Projections of Internet growth suggest that there will be 900
million servers among a total of 2.5 billion total devices on the
Internet by 2006 - the latter number including about a billion and a
half Internet-enabled mobile telephones. By 2010, half the world's
population may be able to access the Internet, if present rates of
growth continue unabated. By that time, some estimates of connected
devices of all kinds reach 35 billion (nearly 6 devices per person on
the planet!). That this may not be completely insane is illustrated by
the fact that in 2000, a person with a laptop, personal digital
assistant and a cell phone may already have three devices on the
Internet. When one starts adding household and office appliances
(e.g., facsimile machines, printers, refrigerators, televisions and
video cassette recorders), it is not hard to see how the numbers might
add up. Of course, the averages will be skewed to much higher numbers
in the most networked parts of the world (North America, Europe,
Australia, Japan, parts of India and the Pacific Rim) and smaller
numbers in the less networked parts
I highly recommend that you read the article in its entirety at the
following link:
Source: MCI
http://global.mci.com/de//resources/cerfs_up/issues/internet_in5to10.xml
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From the Q2 2003 Intel Investor Fact Sheet:
Intel believes that by 2010, 1.5 billion broadband PCs will be in use
around the globe, along with some 2.5 billion connected handheld
computing/communications devices with performance equivalent to that
of the IntelŪ PentiumŪ 4 processor at speeds of up to 4 GHz.
Intel: Investor Fact Sheet
http://www.intel.com/intel/finance/investorfacts/feature2.htm
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Business Trends for Connected Devices
Business and technology analysts have forecasted strong market
segment growth in connected, consumer devices.
- Dataquest has estimated cellular phone sales will surpass 1 billion
units by 2004.
- IDC has forecast that information appliance shipments will reach 89
million by 2004.
- Forrester Research has estimated that roughly 80 percent of new
vehicles will have built in telematics capabilities by 2006.
- The Gartner Group has predicted that by 2006, three-quarters of all
U.S. households will be wired for Internet access.
Intel Website from Google Cache
http://216.239.39.104/search?q=cache:zZiUyoIRWNsJ:www.intel.com/labs/diglife/smart.htm+site:www.intel.com+billion+devices+connected+to+the+internet&hl=es&ie=UTF-8
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According to Intel CEO Craig Barrett:
By 2006, there should be one billion Internet users and two billion
Internet-connected devices.
The Register: February 2003
http://theregister.co.uk/content/7/29378.html
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From a PCWorld article by Grant Gross, IDG News Service:
IT research firm IDC estimates that by 2005, there will be 400
million Internet-connected set-top boxes worldwide, 2 billion
Internet-enabled mobile devices, and 1 billion users of instant
messaging.
PCWorld: January 2003
http://www.pcworld.com/news/article/0,aid,109095,00.asp
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IPv6 Elite Panel
Addressing the IPv6 Internet
Paul Wilson
APNIC
http://www.apnic.net/community/presentations/docs/other/elite-panel-final.pdf
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Search Criteria:
"Devices connected to the Internet billion
"Million devices are connected to the internet"
Billion devices connected to the internet
Connected devices million OR billion
Million OR billion Internet-connected devices
I hope this helps. If anything is unclear or if a link does not
function I'll be glad to offer further assistance.
Best Regards,
Bobbie7-ga |