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Q: Impact on global economy of a worst case SARS-like scenario ( No Answer,   1 Comment )
Question  
Subject: Impact on global economy of a worst case SARS-like scenario
Category: Business and Money > Economics
Asked by: wim58-ga
List Price: $38.00
Posted: 14 Aug 2003 08:25 PDT
Expires: 13 Sep 2003 08:25 PDT
Question ID: 244707
I am researching the impact of SARS on the global economy and
businesses.   One area I am interested in finding more information on
is a worst case scenario where a SARS like virus, or series of virus
(whether natural or terrorist initiated) infects our most developed
nations, bringing the large economic centers/cities of the world to a
halt.

The SARS experience has taught us there is a need for organizations to
develop a health-related emergencies policy.  Businesses need to be
aware of and plan for potential health-related emergencies.  Some
implications for business include:
 - loss of reliable supply chain and customer base,
 - potential quarantine (product, facility, employee),
 - business disruptions,
 - potential for long-term effects on reputation, and
 - inability to perform contractual and service obligations.

In all cases, an organization’s ability to respond in a timely and
effective manner is dependent upon having substantive business
continuity plans in place.  This includes emergency response, crisis
management, and business recovery.  Before a business can put these
plans in place, it must understand the potential implications of such
a worst case scenario.

So, Here are some aspects of this scenario that I am interested in. 
What would be the impact on the global and regional economies of such
a worst case scenario?  Would borders close to all travel, imports and
exports?  How could a global business survive without access to air
travel?  What can businesses do to prepare for such a worst case
scenario?  How would technology be used to soften the blow of such a
worst case scenario?

I am looking for any content that discusses such a worst case scenario
from the perspective of the implications to businesses and the global
economy.  I am not so much interested in the political
ramifications...except to the extent that they might impact business.
Answer  
There is no answer at this time.

Comments  
Subject: Re: Impact on global economy of a worst case SARS-like scenario
From: neilzero-ga on 14 Aug 2003 12:43 PDT
 
The usual concensis is even an extra 1% of the population seriously
infected at any given moment is unlikely. At 90% most activities would
be down by 90% or more, as most of the healthy 10% would abandon their
post over concern for loved ones ect. Since much of the global economy
is based on colateral that does not exist and other lies half truths,
and false inferences, recovery might take decades following 90%
infected for even one day.   Neil

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