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Subject:
Basic statisics questions
Category: Science > Math Asked by: senseijamie-ga List Price: $5.00 |
Posted:
13 Jun 2002 19:49 PDT
Expires: 20 Jun 2002 19:49 PDT Question ID: 25528 |
Could someone please answer this hypothetical question and provide the formulas that you used? I never got the opportunity to study statisics and these basic questions have bothered me for years. A blindfolded batter is swings at a pitch. He has a 20% chance of hitting that ball. Questions: If the pitcher throws 5 balls, what is the chance that the batter will hit at least one of those balls? and what is the chance that he will hit all 5? |
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Subject:
Re: Basic statisics questions
Answered By: davidsar-ga on 13 Jun 2002 20:11 PDT Rated: |
Good question! These "basic statistics" questions always seem simple 'til you start thinking them through. But here goes. The second part of your question is actually the easier, so I'll tackle that first. For each pitch, the blindfolded batter has a (rather uncanny) chance to hit the ball of 20%. For two pitches, his chances of hitting both are .20 x .20 or .04, which is the same as saying a 4% chance. For five pitches, it's: .20 x .20 x .20 x .20 x .20 = .00032 or .032% The second (actually the first) part of your question requires a reversal of this same method. The odds of the batter missing any given pitch is .80, so the odds that he (or she, to be fair) would miss all five pitches is: .80 x .80 x .80 x .80 x .80 = .32768 or 32.768%. So the odds that at least one pitch gets hit is 100% - 32.768% which gives us 67.232%. That is, the odds of hitting at least one pitch is a little better than 67%, or put another way, about 2 out 3. Thanks for getting me to dust off the statistical cobwebs. |
senseijamie-ga
rated this answer:
Thanks for the quick and clearly stated answer. Much appreciated! :-) |
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Subject:
Re: Basic statisics questions
From: gcanyon-ga on 13 Jun 2002 23:06 PDT |
Just a quick note -- this is more accurately a question of probability, rather than statistics. Now on to the Monty Hall question! ;-) |
Subject:
Re: Basic statisics questions
From: mvguy-ga on 14 Jun 2002 08:08 PDT |
Oh, yes, the Monty Hall question. It's **so** counterintuitive (not the question, the answer). |
Subject:
Re: Basic statisics questions
From: newgenefama-ga on 17 Jun 2002 22:07 PDT |
run some simulations you will find it is easier to understand |
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