1. The market rate of interest is equal to the real rate of interest
plus the inflation rate plus the product of the real rate of interest
and the inflation rate.
For the two-year security, the average expected inflation is (2% +
4%)/2 = 3%.
For the three-year security, the average expected inflation is (2% +
4% + 4%)/3 = 3 1/3 percent.
So, the yield on the two-year security is equal to 3% + 3% + 3% * 3%
or 6.09%, and the yield on the three-year security is equal to 3% +
3.33% + 3% * 3.33% or 6.433%.
2. The market rate of interest is equal to the risk-free rate of
interest plus the risk premium. Treasury bonds are by definition
risk-free, so the risk-free rate of interest is 6%. Given that the
liquidity premium on the corporate bond is 0.5%, the remaining
difference between the corporate bond's yield and the treasury bond's
yield is the measure of the default risk (there is no relative
inflation risk because both securities have the same duration), which
is 1.5%.
3. Expectations theory holds that (1 + r1) (1 + E(1r2) = (1 + r2) ^ 2
where r1 is the yield of the one-year security, E(1r2) is the expected
yield of the one-year security one year from now, and r2 is the
current yield of the two-year security.
So, r2 = Square Root [(1.05) (1.06)] - 1 = 5.5%.
4. Using the formula from problem number 1, we find that the expected
market rate given a risk-free rate of 3% and an expected inflation of
3% is 0.03 + 0.03 + 0.03 * 0.03 or 6.09%. Using the formula from
problem number 2, we find that the maturity risk premium equals 6.2%
minus 6.09% or 0.11%.
Source: "Principles of Corporate Finance" Fourth Edition by Brealey
and Myers, McGraw-Hill Inc., 1991
Sincerely,
Wonko |