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Subject:
When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
Category: Business and Money > Economics Asked by: googqs-ga List Price: $4.00 |
Posted:
22 Oct 2003 19:30 PDT
Expires: 21 Nov 2003 18:30 PST Question ID: 268876 |
Can someone please find me a good site that discusses and answers the following questions - When/why do we print more money? (not to replace old one, but ADD more dollars to circulation) - What effects does that have on the economy of the country - What effects does that have on the worldwide economy |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
From: robertskelton-ga on 23 Oct 2003 00:16 PDT |
Here's some links that look at what might happen if all those overseas US$ came home: 'AXIS of WEASEL' WAR, OIL AND the DOLLAR - Russian News Network http://www.russiannewsnetwork.com/iraqcom03.html Global: Bubble Trouble http://www.morganstanley.com/GEFdata/digests/20030827-wed.html Commanding Heights : United States Money http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/commandingheights/lo/countries/us/us_money.html Taylor On US Markets and Gold http://www.gold-eagle.com/gold_digest_03/taylor090803.html |
Subject:
Re: When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
From: googqs-ga on 23 Oct 2003 00:55 PDT |
Neat, yes that is the great concern, what about this large current account deficit,budget deficit and national debt, and when is it going to come and bite us back. Thanks for the links :) However what I am looking for is what economic indicator do fiscal and monetary policy look for when printing money? What tells them 'ding ding time to print money?". What prevents them from simply printing new money every month to pay the bills? What economic indicators keeps this in check? e.g. What would happen to a nation if it simply kept printing money and the world wasn't using its currency as a standard? And then the same question, but with the US dollar in focus what is preventing the feds from printing money left right and centre? Who monitors the M4 reports and to what end? So the simple question is, what is the economic theory behind the factor(s) that trigger the printing of additional money. Thanks! |
Subject:
Re: When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
From: creditanalyst-ga on 02 Nov 2003 16:27 PST |
Ok, firstly, the notion that the US Dollar is a world standard currency isn't relevant to the question. The short answer to your question "What economic indicators does the government (or a government) use when assessing the propsect of using money printing as an economic instrument, and not just a means of replacing old notes?" is none and never. The usage of money printing as a way of increasing the money supply and stimulating the economy fell out of usage after it was shown that this is a highly inflationary strategy to take. The long answer is a little more complicated. Many economic models use "the money supply" as an input to the model, and if these models show marked gains from printing money, then the government may very well partake in this. It is also possible to get a measure of the total notes and coins in circulation, known as M1. But other measures of 'the money supply' are more popular, like M3, Broad Money, etc, and these include various forms of bank credit and deposit facilities. It is also worth doing a search on the credit creation process, which is how banks expand the money supply using deposits and loans, even as the physical notes and coins are fixed. It is possible that the government would use measures like "notes for destruction" and "population growth" to ensure that the money suplpy remains relatively static. I would like you to note that no 1st world nation is engaging in the systematic printing of money. This practice is widely recognised as being the most destructive of all economic instruments. Post WWII Germany had an inflation rate on the order of thousands of a percent per month (I am not sure how this was measured, given the lack of economic indicators prior to the great depression and WWII). Nethertheless, to answer your question as to WHY the printing of money is so bad The printing of money increases the supply of money that consumers can use to make purchases. However, the actual supply of goods for sale does not increase, which leads to a price rise. This inflation 'hit' that occurs with a sudden flood of money into the economy closely matches the rise in money supply that caused it (%age for %age). But inflation, especially prolonged high inflation, causes people to desire holding money less. After all, the value of money is declining by a rate equal to the inflation rate. This causes people to purchase anything, so they can reduce their money holdings. This surge in the purchase of consumer commodities causes prises to rise further. This cycle is a hyperinflation cycle. This hyperinflation cycle causes the exchange rate to fall dramatically. This depreciation causes imports to virtually stop and exports to grow rapidly, so we have a distortion in the Current and Capital accounts. The Capital Accounts will work in the reverse direction. Since we have negative real interest rates, capital will flow out of the nation, or a withdrawl of foreign investment and an outflow of domestic foreign investment. (since the domestic real interest rate will be below international real interest rates). It isn't a pretty picture all around, I'd say, and this is why the practice of printing money really isn't in vogue in economic literature, and probably never will be. |
Subject:
Re: When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
From: googqs-ga on 04 Nov 2003 22:50 PST |
Great answer, thank you, now how do I get google to give you the $4? |
Subject:
Re: When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
From: slawek-ga on 05 Nov 2003 11:17 PST |
Healthy economy dictates that the amount of money in circulation is equal to the amount of Gold in the country's vaults. Simply priting money causes little more then inflation. If a country acquires more riches from outside, more money can be printed... |
Subject:
Re: When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
From: jeremyj2e-ga on 20 Dec 2003 11:11 PST |
The government does in fact "print" money, it works through a very simple process, although there are a few permutations. Very regulary the Federal Reserve Bank purchases government securities from private individuals and corporations in the open market. The dollars they use to purchase these securities are created out of thin air. The fed can also sell bonds into the market which has the affect of taking dollars out of the economy. The essential economic indicator the Federal Reserve Bank *currently* uses are the inflation figures. As long as Consumer Prices are rising under 3 percent or so they will continue to grow the supply of money at a modest rate. Other central banks arounf the world use different indicators. To answer one of your questions specifically "What stops them from printing money to pay the bills?"; well basically whatever they think they can get away with. There is a circuit breaker however. It takes two parties to initiate money printing in modern governments. The first is the government itself, it must issue debt in the form of bonds. The second is the central bank, it must buy buy those bonds or a portion thereof. This seperation of powers means that money printing schemes are much more difficult to pull off. But make no mistake: central bank purchases of government debt is "printing" money. Hopefully this comment gives some insight even if it is a bit cursory and disjointed. |
Subject:
Re: When do we print money and what effects does it have on the economy?
From: jeremyj2e-ga on 21 Dec 2003 00:12 PST |
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/Z1/Current/z1r-3.pdf Here is a source to demonstrate my earlier comment. In 2002 the "Monetary Authority"(Table F.1 ,Line 36)lent the markets 77.7 billion dollars. The majority if not all of this lending would have taken place through the purchase of government bonds. The Monetary Autority refers to the Federal Reserve Board. So in essence the FRB printed 77.7 billion dollars in money. Ostensibly the US government is responsible for paying back the FRB. Howver as long as the FRB is willig to create new money this doesn't mean to much, but it is a "check and balance". A 1920's style hyperinflation (Germany) is probably not possible in the current system. Central banks can always be "nationalized" though. |
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