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Q: Looking for data on number of wireless access points ( Answered 5 out of 5 stars,   1 Comment )
Question  
Subject: Looking for data on number of wireless access points
Category: Computers > Wireless and Mobile
Asked by: tuxpenguin-ga
List Price: $40.00
Posted: 20 Nov 2003 21:47 PST
Expires: 20 Dec 2003 21:47 PST
Question ID: 278819
I am looking for data (perhaps either a research report or business
report) on the number of wireless access points (802.11b, 802.11a or
g) that exist for this year, and what the anticipated growth rate over
next several years for new access points are.  (5 yrs is nice but any
data will help).

Thanks!
Answer  
Subject: Re: Looking for data on number of wireless access points
Answered By: jbf777-ga on 20 Nov 2003 22:33 PST
Rated:5 out of 5 stars
 
Hello!

Important note: If you choose to rate this answer, please do so after
asking for any necessary clarification.  Thanks for your
understanding.

I have found a few resources that talk about the current number and
projected figures for access points.  Please see the following links:

45,000 Hot Spots Worldwide by Year's End
http://wifinetnews.com/archives/002376.html
"Pyramid Research estimates 45,000 hot spots will be deployed
worldwide by the end of 2003: They also say there were only 20,000 at
the end of 2002, and predict over 100,000 by early 2005. This year's
number is certainly not a prediction, but rather a count of what's out
there with some trending figured in. Of course, the U.S. isn't at the
top of the heap." --> see more at link

Welcome to the Wi-Fi revolution
http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/07/08/biz.trav.wifi.revolution/
"According to the research firm Gartner, there are about 71,000 such
hotspots worldwide, with up to a third in Asia, mostly in Korea. Yet
the majority are still in the United States."

Directory Gives the 411 on Hotspots
http://www.wi-fiplanet.com/news/article.php/2244751
Hotspots have seen tremendous growth over the last three years.
According to research firm In-Stat/MDR, the number of commercial
hotspots worldwide will grow from 12,235 locations in 2002 to 145,417
locations worldwide in 2007.

Wi-fi hotspots set to grow
http://www.techworld.com/news/index.cfm?fuseaction=displaynews&NewsID=230
"The number of wireless LAN (WLAN) hot spots worldwide will more than
double by 2005, but the services are unlikely to reach "critical mass"
until three to five years from now, according to a Gartner analyst. 
The report forecasts there will be 71,079 hot spots worldwide this
year, up from just 14,752 in 2002 and 1,214 in 2001. The number of hot
spots will grow to 151,768 in 2005." --> see more at link

McDonald's signs on for Wi-Fi in San Francisco area, Singapore
http://www.computerworld.com/mobiletopics/mobile/story/0,10801,82839,00.html
The Yankee Group in Boston predicts that there will be slightly more
than 12,000 Wi-Fi hot spots in the U.S. by the end of this year and
72,000 by 2007. Worldwide, Gartner Inc. in Stamford, Conn. puts the
total number of hot spots at slightly more than 50,000 by year's end
and at 151,000 by 2005. --> see more at link

WiFi hotspots top 45,000
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/69/33523.html
At the end of last year there were fewer than 20,000 hotspots dotted
around the world. At the end of 2003 figure there will be in excess of
45,000, Pyramid says.. The pace of deployment has quickened in the
last three months, according to the research firm, which now forecasts
the deployment of more than 100,000 hotspots by early 2005. --> see
more at link

Prospects for paid wi-fi hotspot service not bright
http://www.inq7.net/inf/2003/aug/06/inf_1-1.htm
The study, however, noted that there would be a total of 238,000
Bluetooth and wi-fi hotspots worldwide by 2007. --> see more at link



Selected search strategy:
  "hot spots worldwide" 2003 wi-fi
  wi-fi news
  "in 2003"
  Total number wi-fi hotspots

Request for Answer Clarification by tuxpenguin-ga on 24 Nov 2003 00:15 PST
Hi,

I have data already on the # of hotspots but I am looking for the
number of 802.11b wireless access points, e.g. both the commercial
access points and the linksys and netgear boxes that are sold at Best
Buy and Circuit City, for example, that are sold.  This number should
be much higher than the # of hotspots.

I was wondering if there were any published reports, perhaps either
available on forrester, garnter, or some other business site that
estimates the # of access points sold.  Either a US and/or a worldwide
number will help.

Thanks!

Clarification of Answer by jbf777-ga on 24 Nov 2003 09:00 PST
Hello,

According to a rep from BBW Exchange,

(http://www.bbwexchange.com/researchreports/bweprimary/default.asp)

An "access point" is the exact same thing as a "hotspot."  Don't quite
know what you're after.  Are you wanting to know the total amount of
wireless equipment that was sold?  To be fair, that is a completely
different question from the original posting.

jbf

Clarification of Answer by jbf777-ga on 24 Nov 2003 09:06 PST
(BBW is one of the bigger resources on the topic).

I will be glad to look around for you, however, when I get a better
understanding of what you're after.

Request for Answer Clarification by tuxpenguin-ga on 26 Nov 2003 08:26 PST
Hi,

Access points are the actual hardware used to enable hotspots. 
Hotspots may consist of several access points to enable access.  In a
sense, hotspots consists of access points but they are only a subset
of access points.

Linksys, Netgear, Microsoft, HP, Lucent/Orinoco, etc. all make access
points.  Some of these access points go into making hotspots at
starbucks, but they also go into people's homes, into businesses, into
schools, etc.  I believe the # of access points that will be sold this
year number in the millions (and not the thousands)

Note that my question wasn't "what's the number of hotspots (which are
a subset of the access points)" but "what's the number of access
points that are sold ."  Since hotspots are a subset of the access
point market, your answer is a good start).  I'll draw an analogy: 
access points are like cars, hotspots are like BMWs.  BMWs are a
subset of cars and could be interpreted as the "same thing," but not
all cars are BMWs.

I guess the confusion may surrond what the term access point means,
and while it encompasses hotspots, it's more than that. There must be
some sort of report from a wireless conference (Comdex? CES?) or from
a news article that has this information or at least some sort of
estimate.  I don't need exact numbers, but just an estimate of how
many wireless access points that will be sold in the us.

Thanks!

Clarification of Answer by jbf777-ga on 26 Nov 2003 09:32 PST
Hi again -

Yes, definitely a semantic issue, as it seems not everyone is using
the same definitions. :)  When I talked to a rep from a major wireless
website, he said that access points and hotspots are identical, and
made no distinction between subsets and supersets.  Since you didn't
use the word "sold" in your original question (you said "exist"), I
had no way of knowing you're talking about a superset of hotspots.. as
in "equipment/software sold" (until the clarification).

There's a gentleman at a research group that I will be calling on
Monday (he's on vacation).  In the meantime, do these links help at
all?

http://www.techweb.com/wire/story/TWB20031024S0011
"With 300,000 to 400,000 Wi-Fi access points sold every month, Kastner
says it's just a question of time before urban users of the wireless
technology feel the pain."
 
http://www.computerweekly.com/Article117249.htm
# Two to three million access points sold for 2002
# Number of public hotspots 15,000-20,000

Request for Answer Clarification by tuxpenguin-ga on 26 Nov 2003 16:57 PST
Hi,

Yes I think we are on the right track now.  I apologize for being
vague in my question; I didn't realize it will cause confusion.  The
data is helpful, and I'm just trying to get a credible number for # of
access points sold (or exist) every year.

I will add a tip for your extra effort upon completion.

Thanks!

Clarification of Answer by jbf777-ga on 01 Dec 2003 13:15 PST
Hey tuxpenguin -

I'm still awaiting call-backs, but there may literally not be freely
accessible data yet for 2003.  Would you be interested in purchasing a
"data excerpt" or "data slice" from an organization?

jbf777

Clarification of Answer by jbf777-ga on 02 Dec 2003 09:47 PST
I've heard back from Peter Kestner at Aberdeen Group (aberdeen.com). 
Here are his numbers:

Wi-fi access points for 2003 - estimate of 2.4 million, give or take
10%.  No projected estimates.

-

2002 - 16 million wireless products -- defined as wireless-enabled
laptops, wireless enabled PDA's, and laptop wireless cards (5 out of 6
are consumer)

2003 - 24 million wireless products

2004 - 30 million wireless products

2005 - 37 million wireless products

-

To get very hard numbers, http://www.npd.com/intelect.html offers them for a fee.

I realize there aren't any real projections for the actual access
points, but please let me know if this will suffice.
tuxpenguin-ga rated this answer:5 out of 5 stars and gave an additional tip of: $10.00
Thanks for all the followup!

Comments  
Subject: Re: Looking for data on number of wireless access points
From: jbf777-ga on 02 Dec 2003 11:58 PST
 
tuxpenguin -

Thanks for the rating and tip!  Please let me know if you have any questions.

jbf

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