Hello Dime365,
For #1 (choosing four socks out of ten)
Let's do the sequence of choices to explain the answer. I'll call the
pairs 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 and the socks left (L) or right (R). So the
socks in the drawer are:
1R 1L
2R 2L
3R 3L
4R 4L
5R 5L
Now choose a sock. Let's say you get 3R. You will have one sock at
this point and no pair with probability 1.
The only way to get a pair after selecting the second sock is to get
3L, a probability of 1*(1/9). You don't have a pair 8/9ths of the
time. Cumulative probability of a pair after choosing two socks is
1/9.
Assuming you don't have a pair, let's say you got 2L as the second
sock. Probability of this kind of outcome is 8/9. Now choose the third
sock; there are two possibilities (out of eight) of getting a pair (3L
and 2R). So the probability of getting a match with the third sock is
(8/9)*(2/8) or 2/9. Cumulative probability of a pair after choosing
three socks is 1/9+2/9 = 3/9 (or 1/3).
Assuming you don't have a pair, let's say you got 5R as the third
sock. Probability of this kind of outcome is 6/9 (or 2/3). Now choose
the fourth sock; there are three possibilities (out of seven) of
getting a pair (3L, 2R, and 5L). So the probability of getting a match
with the fourth sock is (2/3)*(3/7) or 2/7. Cumulative probability of
a pair after choosing four socks is 1/3+2/7; multiply the first
fraction by 7/7 and the second by 3/3 to get a common denominator or
7/21+6/21; the sum of that is 13/21 (roughly 61.905%).
In doing this answer, I walked through the sequence of steps of sock selection and
- computed the probability of choosing a pair at each step
- computed the cumulative probability of having a pair at each step
This was repeated for each selection until I had the correct answer.
This is a sequence of multiple events. For a brief overview of
multiple events, see
http://www.800score.com/gre-guidec8bview1b.html
for the calculation for the probability of the "and" and "or" events.
For #2 (choosing 2r socks, 2r>n).
Perhaps this is a trick question, but the probability there is no
matching pair is ZERO. Let's do a simple example.
If n=3 (total 6 socks), and r=2 (so 2r=4); let's call the socks
GR GL
RR RL
BR BL
to represent the colors red, green, and blue and left/right socks. If
you happened to pick three socks that did not match (e.g., GR, RR,
BR), by picking the fourth, you HAVE to get a matching pair. It does
not matter the size of "n" and "r" (as long as 2r>n). Another phrase
for this situation is certain probability.
There are a number of good sites that explain probability. I found a
few good ones using phrases such as
probability pair of socks
probability formula
probability independent formula
probability dependent formula
Let me know if you need a further explanation of the answer to your
question. I would be glad to respond to a clarification request.
--Maniac |