Clarification of Answer by
xemion-ga
on
30 Jun 2002 22:51 PDT
I've done some extensive research for the information you requested.
The problem, as you noted, is that this information is hard to find or
not available at all. Research companies such as Webnoize (
http://news.com.com/2100-1023-276487.html ) and Clip2 (
http://www.clip2.com ) have suspended operations.
I still believe that the best indicators of the popularity of a
file-sharing program are the Download.com statistics. These are the
most accurate and most widespread statistics available. There are
not any good statistics available for the number of mp3 downloads per
program. However, the next best statistic is one you mentioned
previously and that is "users".
Redshift Research ( http://www.redshiftresearch.com ) is the current
leading research company on P2P services according to the searches I
have conducted. A former Webnoize employee founded the company in
early 2002. Here are some current statistics from Redshift press
releases:
"The Kazaa network, owned by Australia-based Sharman Networks, had an
average of 1.4 million users typically logged on to the system during
April. This is a rise of 69% from February, when 830,000 users were
normally using the network.
While Kazaa has risen, the Morpheus system once the worlds largest
P2P network has been in decline. In early March, Morpheus launched
new software based on the Gnutella file-sharing protocol. In February,
prior to the switch, Morpheus had an average of 1.08 million users. By
April, the Gnutella network including Morpheus along with other
Gnutella-based systems like Limewire and Bearshare typically had
only 280,000 users. "
http://www.redshiftresearch.com/pressrelease3.asp - May 1, 2002
"On average, 353,000 users were logged on to the Gnutella network
during the weekend of March 2-3, up 288% from an average of 91,000 on
Friday, March 1. The jump in usage followed the launch of a Morpheus
Preview Edition gnutella-based client late on Friday. This move is a
further boost for the Gnutella network, which had already seen growth
from an average of only 19,000 simultaneous users in December"
http://www.redshiftresearch.com/pressrelease1.asp - March 4, 2002
You can see the trends just by comparing these two articles these two
articles. Redshift has a research paper out that would answer many of
your questions; unfortunately, the cost of this paper is $595. You
can view more information on the paper at
http://www.redshiftresearch.com/research2.asp. I also suggest
visiting Redshift's homepage at http://www.redshiftresearch.com.
Another excellent website is Slyck.com ( http://www.slyck.com ).
Their website has the current statistics for all the top P2P services
(look at the right hand side of the website). As you can see,
Redshift's statistics are already outdated. This is because Redshift
provides more in-depth information into their statistics and the
trends behind them.
Slyck.com, however, does not provide information on where they obtain
this statistics. This highlights the biggest problem in your search
for information, reliability. Anybody can throw numbers on a page and
call them facts. That said Slyck.com's statistics appear to by viewed
as reliable from my searches. They match the current trends of the
market. You can monitor the trends simply by viewing the news
articles on Slyck.coms site. Their statistics also match up with
Download.com' s statistics.
Here are some other surveys, polls and statistics that you may or may
not find of interest:
CNET.com's Buzz Meter (based on search data from February 26 to March
4):
http://www.cnet.com/techtrends/0-6014-8-8998884-1.html?txt
Usability and privacy - a study of Kazaa P2P file-sharing:
http://www.hpl.hp.com/shl/papers/kazaa/KazaaUsability.pdf
Making money on free music (interesting, but used old statistics):
http://cyberatlas.internet.com/big_picture/applications/article/0,,1301_1365161,00.html
My search strategy included the below terms as well as many variations
of these terms:
Gnutella kazaa morpheus downloads
Webnoize cnet
mp3 download statistics p2p
I hope these links and information are of use to you. The links
provided in the comment section are also interesting and I suggest
checking them out as well. Thanks for waiting on me to return from my
trip!
xemion-ga