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Q: international business ( Answered,   1 Comment )
Question  
Subject: international business
Category: Business and Money > Economics
Asked by: sillypott-ga
List Price: $40.00
Posted: 18 Mar 2004 03:45 PST
Expires: 17 Apr 2004 04:45 PDT
Question ID: 317908
I would like to do a compare and contrast study of Mexico and
Argentina in terms of their levels of emergence of their economies. I
am looking for a brief history of their economies and any comparitive
research that has already been done.  Statistical information and
other primary data will be essential Using this information I would
then like to explain and compare their levels of performance.
Answer  
Subject: Re: international business
Answered By: omnivorous-ga on 18 Mar 2004 11:08 PST
 
Sillypott --

The good news is that there are reams of comparative economic
information available about both countries, so it's more a matter of
sorting out what you'd like to concentrate on.  Lots has been written
about both countries' economic progress and dozens of studies have
been done on the single issue of Mexico and the North American Free
Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

INTRODUCTION
-----------------------

A good place to start for an overview is in the economic section of
the CIA Factbook, which gives a broad outline of 20th Century issues
for each country:
Central Intelligence Agency
CIA Factbook -- Argentina (Dec. 18, 2003)
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/

The CIA factbook makes note of the Peronist history of the country,
which was critical in shaping the government's strong economic control
of business and unions.  Then a
military junta took power in 1976, leading to the Falkland War with
England.  Following it, democracy returned in 1983.

The overall issues of external debt and recent inflation are also
treated -- and it provides recent economic grow and per capita GNP
numbers.


Central Intelligence Agency
CIA Factbook -- Mexico (Dec. 18, 2003)
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/


The CIA almanac does the same thing for Mexico, noting the importance
of the victory of former Coca-Cola executive Vicente Fox in 2000. 
Free trade agreements with North American and Central American
neighbors have been important in the country's growth.  It has a per
capita GNP about 10% lower than that of Argentina.


MORE DETAILS
-----------------------

In 1995, three economists -- with the support of an international
group of economic think tanks including the Fraser Institute in Canada
and the Cato Institute in the U.S. -- published the first volume of
"Economic Freedom of the World."

It covered the periods 1975-1995 and has subsequently been updated. 
It looks for measurable components of an economy in the areas of
personal choice, protection of private property and freedom of
exchange.  It's highly recommended, as it notes that "no country with
a persistently high economic freedom rating during the two decades
failed to achieve a high level of income."
Fraser Institute
"Economic Freedom of the World, 1975-1995" (Gwartney, Lawson, Block)
http://oldfraser.lexi.net/publications/books/econ_free95/

The 1995 report in its paper form notes the following on the two
countries.  The online version seems to be missing these comments. 
Note that it may be worth getting the printed reports, if you have
access to a complete business library or even a good public library:

ARGENTINA: 

The country moved more rapidly than any other country except New
Zealand towards a free economy in the period 1975-1985, though it's
still ranked as a 6.3 in the 1993-1995 period, placing it #26 among
103 countries for which there's data.  However, in 1975 and 1985 the
county was in the bottom 10 due to trade restrictions, hyperinflation,
taxes and government regulation.

In the late 1980s exchange rate controls were eliminated and the peso
anchored to the U.S. dollar as the country tried to emulate the
economic success shown by Chicago school economists in neighboring
Chile.  As an example, tax rates dropped from 62% in 1985 to 30% in
1994.  And inflation dropped from 2000% in 1990 to 25% in 1992, then
to 4% in 1994.

One important factor for all South American countries (including
Argentina) was the 1994 Mexican monetary crisis, which tightened
credit terms and raised interest rates.  A complete description of the
event and the Clinton Administration response is here:
North-South Center
"As Mexico Imploded: Action and Inaction in the United States"
(Weintraub, July, 1997)
http://www.miami.edu/nsc/publications/pub-ap-pdf/28AP.pdf

MEXICO:

The Gwartney, Lawson, Block analysis of Mexico in 1995 places Mexican
per capital GDP at $6,260 vs. $6,025 for Argentina (1994 numbers). 
The country was ranked 45th, with a 1993-1995 score of 5.8.

Written immediately after the 1994 peso crisis, they note that "Mexico
would do well to follow the path of Argentina and tie its currency
(and monetary policy) to the dollar or a basket of stable currencies. 
Without this stable money, Mexico will fail to achieve its full
potential."

For more recent analyses, see:



Fraser Institute
Economic Freedom of the World, 2003 Report
http://www.freetheworld.com/release.html

And  links to earlier reports:
http://www.freetheworld.com/book.html

There is an excellent bibliography for further research on pages 22-23:
http://www.freetheworld.com/2003/1EFW2003ch1.pdf


THE WORLD BANK
---------------------------

The World Bank is an excellent resource for detailed infrastructure
information and analyses on economies.
World Bank
Mexico
http://lnweb18.worldbank.org/external/lac/lac.nsf/d5c7ea5f4536e705852567d6006b50ff/45f0f54a7e98f5aa852567ed00478f47?OpenDocument

Argentina
http://lnweb18.worldbank.org/external/lac/lac.nsf/33340524da5477d5852567d6006ab9ba/ce7038ba5210af16852567dd005e597d?OpenDocument


UP-TO-DATE NEWS
-----------------------------

Both news and analyses can be gleaned using Google's News service.  A
simple search strategy at http://news.google.com using the following
terms will give you lots of current material:
Argentina + economy
Mexico + economy



Google search strategy:
"CIA Factbook"
"Economic Freedom of the World"
"Mexican monetary crisis" + 1994
"World Bank"

Best regards,

Omnivorous-GA

Request for Answer Clarification by sillypott-ga on 18 Mar 2004 15:43 PST
Thankyou for the quick response.  A lot of the links contain some
solid material that will be of great help.  I was just wondering
however if you know of any research or work that discusses
particularly their economic growth in terms of emergence,or anything
that puts the two against each other.  Finally the figures the world
bank give are great (GNP/capita etc) but do you know where one can
find a complete series, i.e. year by year.

Thanks again for your consideration.

Clarification of Answer by omnivorous-ga on 18 Mar 2004 17:58 PST
Sillypott --

Let me look for some comparative studies on Friday and report back.

The "Economic History of the World" numbers are a pretty good time
series, though for brevity they survey every 5 years (multiple reports
would give you every year).  For a longer time series, I might suggest
Encyclopedia Britannica; for the 1990s a series of almanacs may be the
best way to get each year.  The almanacs will use data from one of
three sources:
*  The World Bank (also known as the International Bank for
Reconstruction & Development)
*  CIA
*  Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD:
   http://www.oecd.org/infobycountry/0,2646,en_2649_201185_1_70240_1_1_1,00.html
   http://www.oecd.org/infobycountry/0,2646,en_2649_201185_1_70651_1_1_1,00.html

Best regards,

Omnivorous-GA

Clarification of Answer by omnivorous-ga on 19 Mar 2004 08:40 PST
Sillypott --

Here are some comparative articles mentioning Mexico and Argentina
both.  A number of them deal with the fallout of the 1994 peso
devaluation, which hit debt-laden Argentina quickly.  Luckily it
provides some immediate contrast between the situations of the two
countries:
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
"The Mexican Economy Since the Tequila Crisis," (Gruben, November, 2000)
www.dallasfed.org/research/indepth/2000/id0010.pdf

American Farm Bureau
"Free Trade in the Americas" (Skorburg, November, 2002)
http://www.fb.com/issues/analysis/Econ_Analysis_FTA-2.pdf

This Indian article does some interesting comparisons and contrasts,
though there's little about Ghosh and Chandrasekhar to help establish
their credibility:
FreeIndiaMedia.com
"Neoliberalism, Investment and Growth in Latin America" (Ghosh and
Chandrasekhar, undated)
http://www.freeindiamedia.com/economy/12_jan_04_economy.htm


Also, I should have thought of The Economist, the British financial
weekly magazine, as an excellent resource for international reporting
earlier.  Note that these pages have premium content, but that there
is SUBSTANTIAL news and analysis on the free pages:
The Economist
Argentina
http://www.economist.com/countries/Argentina/

Mexico
http://www.economist.com/countries/Mexico/

This article from The Banker is pessimistic but gives an up-to-date
analysis of the decisions facing the Argentine government:
Looksmart
"Americas: Argentina - Crumbling Away Behind A Facade Of Optimism,"
(The Banker, Jan. 1, 2004)
http://www.findarticles.com/cf_dls/m3259/2004_Jan_1/112209319/p1/article.jhtml

Finally, the OECD's "Frequently Requested Statistics" include annual
GDP and GDP per capital measures (among others) for the recent years. 
While it may not be as complete as you'd like, the information is
up-to-date and generally covers the past 5 years:
OECD
"Frequently Requested Statistics"
http://www.oecd.org/document/15/0,2340,en_2649_201185_1873295_1_1_1_1,00.html


Google search strategy:
Mexico + Argentina + economy + comparisons
"contrast between" + Mexico + Argentina + economy

Best regards,

Omnivorous-GA

Clarification of Answer by omnivorous-ga on 20 Mar 2004 03:40 PST
Sillypott --

In researching an issue on Friedrich von Hayek, a Nobel Prize winning
economist, I ran across this very recent critique of Argentinian
economic policies.  The critique comes from the Mises Institute, a
monetarist reesarch group at Auburn University:
Ludwig von Mises Institute
"Argentina's Paper-Money Mire" (Nulle, March 19, 2004)
http://www.mises.org/fullstory.asp?control=1472

Best regards,

Omnivorous-GA
Comments  
Subject: Re: international business
From: omnivorous-ga on 18 Mar 2004 03:56 PST
 
Sillypot --

An excellent resource in looking at these two countries (or any other
two) is the annual "Economic Freedom of the World," which includes key
financial measures back to 1975.  It's actually quite lively reading,
especially for those with some sense of finance/economics.

The 2004 report is out.  Here is the 2003 report online at the Fraser Institute:
http://www.freetheworld.com/release.html

Best regards,

Omnivorous-GA

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