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Subject:
How do you take your winnings?
Category: Business and Money > Finance Asked by: missmallprincess-ga List Price: $5.00 |
Posted:
27 Apr 2004 08:49 PDT
Expires: 27 May 2004 08:49 PDT Question ID: 336990 |
Congratulations: you have just won the PowerBall lottery. You have four choices about how to take the prize; two choices come from the state and two from a private firm. For each choice, the first payment comes today. State choices: a. $105 million now (it was a big PowerBall prize) b. $195 million paid out as $7.8 million per year for 25 years Private firm choices: c. $120 million paid out as $40 million per year for 3 years d. $9 million a year forever (after you die, the payout will go to your beneficiaries, their beneficiaries, etc.) A. If your opportunity cost of funds is 9% per year, which of the four choices would you prefer? B. What discount rate would make you indifferent between a) and b)? C. What discount rate would make you indifferent between c) and d)? |
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Subject:
Re: How do you take your winnings?
Answered By: omnivorous-ga on 27 Apr 2004 10:17 PDT Rated: |
Missmallprincess -- Ah, what a pleasant problem to start a Tuesday morning! First, I'd buy the sailboat . . . whoops, I'm off-topic! Microsoft Excel is a wonderful tool to run these calculations, particularly for questions B and C. The NPV function calculates the present value of future income streams; I've also used the Present Value (or PV) function to calculate an annuity. What you'll find with an annuity is that after about 200 years, the present value of an income stream approaches a limit -- though the example that I've used below has 500 years in it. This spreadsheet should be viewable in your browser, even if you don't have Excel: http://www.mooneyevents.com/Powerball.xls You can see the present values in the first 4 rows of column B. Note that each has an immediate payment (year 0), plus 24 additional -- to total 25 years of payments. And the same was done for the two private firm choices. Note that in a Present Value calculation, the number is negative because you're RECEIVING rather than making the payment. --- To answer B and C, I've taken the same calculations and altered interest rates until we get something close enough for "indifference" in the NPV of payments. For A/B it turns out to be a discount rate of 6.077% (download this Excel file to your own system and you can manipulate the percentages in the NPV formula). Indifference between C/D happens at a discount rate of about 8.88%. Best regards, Omnivorous-GA |
missmallprincess-ga
rated this answer:
and gave an additional tip of:
$1.00
Thank you very much for your speedy responce. You answers were wonderful. I loved that you made a spreadsheet rather than just gave me numbers. I hope that you will answer more of my questions in the future. I will post more on Thursday! |
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Subject:
Re: How do you take your winnings?
From: probonopublico-ga on 27 Apr 2004 10:27 PDT |
In real life, it is not just a matter of math. You must also consider your age & all other circumstances. Different people could quite sensibly choose different options. |
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