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Q: pervasive computing ( Answered,   0 Comments )
Question  
Subject: pervasive computing
Category: Computers > Wireless and Mobile
Asked by: wanttoknowmore-ga
List Price: $75.00
Posted: 17 Aug 2004 06:23 PDT
Expires: 16 Sep 2004 06:23 PDT
Question ID: 388924
I want to have some idea about the scope of pervasive computing as of
now.  For example, how many cell phones, pagers, laptops, PDA's,
wireless access points are there worldwide today?  Any information
about how they are distributed worldwide (e.g., US, Europe, etc.)
would be very helpful.
Answer  
Subject: Re: pervasive computing
Answered By: bobbie7-ga on 17 Aug 2004 14:58 PDT
 
Hello wanttoknowmore,

I've organized a digest of links to articles, reports and statistics
related to what you listed in your question. I am providing a brief
except from each one with relevant information.


There are an estimated 1.5 billion Mobile phone users worldwide. 

?A recent study by EMC finds that there are now 1.5 billion mobile
phone users worldwide, and, though the rate of increase is tapering
off, they estimate that the number will reach 2 billion as soon as
July 2006. Though many European countries have already reached the
saturation point, new markets such as China and Brazil promise to be
enthusiastic adopters of mobile phones for many years to come.?

New Mobile Computing
http://www.newmobilecomputing.com/story.php?news_id=4124


===================================================

Mobile Subscriber Numbers Exceed 1.5 Billion

Largest five markets: Dec 2003 (source: EMC) 

Country Subscribers (millions) 
China 257.5 
USA 157.3 
Japan 79.8 
Germany 62.3 
Italy 55.5 

Largest five markets: forecast Dec 2009 (source: EMC)
Country Subscribers (millions) 
China 547.3 
USA 223.9 
India 116.6 
Brazil 106.1 
Japan 103.2 

See world subscription numbers from 1998-2009 here:
http://www.3g.co.uk/PR/June2004/7947.htm


===================================================


The CIA Fact book provides a comprehensive listing of the total number
of mobile cellular telephones in use by country.

Here is the direct link to the listing:
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/fields/2151.html


===================================================

Nationmaster provides data for the top 100 mobile cellular countries
here: http://www.nationmaster.com/graph-T/med_tel_mob_cel


===================================================


Worldwide Penetration of Handheld Devices Through 2005
 
Country            1999          2005 
 
Asia               125 million   310 million 
 
Germany            22 million     62 million 
 
UK                 21 million     45 million 
 
France             17 million     45 million 
 
Netherlands         7 million     12 million 
 
Belgium             3 million      7 million 
 
Austria             3 million      6 million 
 
US                1.7 million      24 million 

Source: Datamonitor

epaynews.com
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#6


===================================================


epaynews.com provides a wealth of statistics here:
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html 

For example:

- Global Internet and Wireless Users, 2001, 2004 and 2007
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#44

- Handheld Market Share In The US And Europe, 2000
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#41

- North American & Global Wireless Web Users, 2000-2005
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#30

- Mobile Phone Penetration in Europe, 1995 - 2005
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#24

- Regional Percentages For Cell Phone Use, 1998-2003
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#18

- Global Users of 3G Wireless Data in 2011 by Region
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#13

Total Number of Cellular Subscriptions in Europe (in millions)
http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/mcommstats.html#7


===================================================


?The world's largest mobile handset maker, Nokia, expects the global
number of mobile phone users to hit two billion by 2007, from the
current 1.5 billion.?

http://www.moremobile.co.uk/mobile-phone-news/mobile-devices-news/article.asp?a=526


===================================================


 ?The Asia-Pacific region was by far the largest cellular market, with
329 million subscribers (44% of these in China). Next was western
Europe with 285 million wireless users, then North America (138
million), Latin America (87 million), Eastern Europe (50 million), and
the Middle East (36 million) and Africa (27 million).?

?As the billionth user point approached, the market experienced a
sharp slowdown in growth with only Africa and eastern Europe recording
rates of more than 50% in 2001, with 58.54% and 78.7%, respectively.
Western Europe and North America were at the bottom of the pile with
growth rates of 17.09% and 18.05% respectively, preceded by the Middle
East (33.15%), Latin America (37.27%) and Asia-Pacific (39.05%).?

Cellular News: May 2002
http://www.cellular-news.com/story/6650.shtml


===================================================

An article dated November 24, 2003 states that there are more mobiles
than fixed phones in China.

?China's official news agency, People's Daily has reported that there
are now more mobile phone users than there are landline phones in the
country, according to Cellular News. "The country now has 259.638
million cell phones compared to 255.139 million landlines.?

http://www.textually.org/textually/archives/002380.htm


===================================================


Worldwide mobile phone penetration to hit 24% by 2005

?Mobile phone penetration will reach 24% worldwide by 2005, up from
8.1% in 1999. Western Europe held the greatest market share in 2001
with 25.4%. North America was next with 16%, followed by China at
15.9%, Latin America with 11.7% and Japan with 11.4%.?

?More than 407 million mobile phone units were shipped worldwide in 2001.?

Darwin Magazine 
http://www2.darwinmag.com/learn/numbers/number_detail.cfm?METRIC=306


===================================================


Laptops

Gartner Group estimates that there are 80 million laptops and tablets
in use today and that 36 million more will be shipped in 2003.

?Following closely behind laptops, other mobile devices including PDAs
and smartphones are emerging rapidly within organizations ? IDC
estimates that the total number of mobile devices is expected to grow
to 275 million by 2005. A large volume of information exists on
laptops and is often synchronized and stored on PDAs and smartphones.?

Credant Technologies: Feb. 2003
http://www.credant.com/news/viewnews.php?nid=27


===================================================


UK ? 5 Million Laptops

?CCC's research estimates that 90 per cent of the 5 million laptops
which the International Data Corporation have calculated to be in
circulation in the UK are not properly insured because they are not
covered when they are taken off the business premises.?

IT Wales: March 17, 2003
http://www.itwales.com/999273.htm


===================================================


?Laptop penetration in the Pakistan is around one percent of the total
market, which means if 5,000 PCs are sold in a month, then 500 laptops
would be sold, while the ratio for the region is at around 22 percent,
which indicated big room for sales and new investments in the field.?

Daily Times
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=story_13-11-2003_pg5_13


===================================================


Laptop penetration isn?t as great in Europe as it is in the United States.

TechWorld
http://www.techworld.com/news/index.cfm?fuseaction=displaynews&newsid=576


==================================================


India: Laptops

? Laptop sales are just 2% of the annual PC sales, between 2 million
and 3 million, and the number of laptops is just 1% of the 10 million
PCs in India.?

Business World India
http://www.businessworldindia.com/feb0904/thatsit.asp


===================================================

Switzerland

?In Switzerland there are already more than 1.2 million laptops in
use. Swisscom Mobile expects to have around 10,000 Mobile Unlimited
customers by spring 2005.?

Swiiss.com
http://www.swisscom.com/NR/rdonlyres/29E740FB-A4A5-4029-AF09-3B3F1BE3D5D3/0/MobileUnlimitedFAQ_en.pdf


===================================================


Data on Laptops in Education
http://www.nssea.org/content/EdTech/FastFacts/laptop.htm


===================================================

Wireless Technology - PDAs

?The number of people using wireless data technology is expected to
surge from about 170 million subscribers worldwide in 2000, to more
than 1.3 billion by 2004.?

?More than 1.5 billion handsets, PDAs, and Internet appliances will be
equipped with wireless capabilities by the end of 2004, according to
technology market research firm Cahners In-Stat.?

Jupitermedia Corporation
http://www.nua.com/surveys/index.cgi?f=VS&art_id=905356036&rel=true


===================================================


?There are over 115 million laptops and PDAs currently in use in the
United States (outpacing desktop PCs).
There are over 160 million cellular phone subscribers in the United
States (CTIA - 5/2004), and over 1.3 billion throughout the world
(IDC- 2004).?

Flarion
http://www.flarion.com/viewpoint/market.asp


===================================================


According to the Canadian Wireless Telecommunications Association:

 ?Canadians currently use more than 16 million wireless devices on a
daily basis, including 13.5 million wireless phones, more than 1.8
million pagers, 1 million mobile radios and 10,000 mobile satellite
phones. ?

Canadian Wireless Telecommunications Association (CWTA). 
Wireless Facts - March 2003
http://www.cwta.ca/CWTA%20Site/english/industryfacts.html


===================================================


According to Gartner/Dataquest there were about 25 million wireless
Internet devices in use in 2002.

?That number is expected to grow to over 80 million by 2006. Wireless
LAN coverage also is growing: Gartner estimates that there were fewer
than 10 million hotspots (areas of live coverage) worldwide in 2002,
and it projects there will be close to 120 million by 2007.?

CoSine Unveils Next-Gen Silicon
http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=33633&print=true


===================================================
 
?The market for Internet access devices is expected to grow at an
overall annual rate of 28.2 percent between 2001 and 2006.?

?According to a new forecast from In-Stat/MDR, growth is expected to
rise to over 790 million units in 2006, up from 226 million units in
2001.?

Jupitermedia Corporation
http://www.nua.com/surveys/index.cgi?f=VS&art_id=905358699&rel=true

===================================================


Worldwide: PDA Sales (#K)
2004   23,854	 
2006   38,320	
2008   58,509

USA: PDA Sales (#K)
2004    8,090	 
2006   11,730	
2008   17,170

W. Europe: PDA Sales (#K)
2004    5,040	
2006    7,890	
2008   11,400


Computer Industry Almanac: 2003
http://www.c-i-a.com/pr0603.htm


===================================================


Windows-based PDAs in the first half of 2003 grew 32% over the
previous year to 1.95 million, according to Gartner.


?Of the over 431 million mobile terminals sold last year, only three
million were smart phones, according to data from Gartner. These
numbers include products that compete with Microsoft. Mobile terminals
include mobile phones, smart phones and wireless-enabled PDAs.?

?By 2007, however, Gartner expects about 525 million mobile terminals
to be sold, 84 million of which will be smart phones.?

?Last year, 12.1 million PDAs were sold. Gartner expects virtually no
growth for the market overall until 2004. However, Microsoft has been
closing in on rival PalmSource.?


ComputerWeekly
http://www.computerweekly.com/articles/article.asp?liArticleID=126245&liFlavourID=1&sp=1



===================================================

Taiwan and global PDA market data:

?With the recovery of the PDA (personal digital assistant) market, OEM
makers in the line in Taiwan are expected to deliver a total of 6.1
million units in 2003, the non-profit Institute for Information
Industry (III) said recently.

Ranking III officials said that Taiwan delivered 4.11 million PDAs in
2002, representing a 30% share of the world market. The island's PDA
makers are expected to deliver 6.1 million units this year, up 50%
from 2002 and representing a world market share of 37%.

The world's PDA market grew only 9.5% in 2002 due to the sluggish
economy, a new low in recent years. The world market is expected to
have absorbed 13.82 million units in 2002, but sales are expected to
stand at 16.41 million in 2003, up 18.7% from 2002, according to III
statistics.?

Cens Electronics
http://www.cens.com/cens/report/electronics/news-17.html


===================================================

PDA MARKET OUTLOOK 

PDA Shipments Dropped More Than 9% Last Year, to 12.2 Million Sales;
Palm retains market lead.

News Issue #2003 - February 2003
Source: Gartner's Dataquest Via Antone Gonsalves, TechWeb News 

Read the full text of this article here:
http://www.mobileinfo.com/News_2003/Issue04/PDA_outlook.htm


===================================================

European PDA Market

Q4 2003 may have been a boom time for the European PDA market, but it
was an even bigger period for smartphones.

?According to new figures from market researcher Canalys, 2.24 million
smartphones shipped in Europe, the Middle East and Africa during the
quarter, compared to 1.23 million PDAs.?

?Palm in second place behind HP in the PDA market, and ranks them
three and two in the overall handheld device market, respectively.
Ahead of both sits Nokia, which shipped 1.74 million devices last
quarter to HP's 406,420 and Palm's 307,100.?

The Register
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2004/01/26/smartphones_outsell_pdas/


===================================================

From Forbes:

?Of the 29 million PDAs running some version of the Palm OS, 21
million come from Palm, while the rest come from Sony.?

Forbes.com
http://www.forbes.com/technology/2003/05/28/cx_ah_0528tentech.html


===================================================


The next few years are predicted to see phenomenal growth in the
number of Internet-enabled devices.

?According to primary IDC research, the number of business wireless
Internet users in the United States alone will grow from 2.6 million
in 2000 to more than 49 million in 2005.?

(..)

?There are a large variety of devices that fit under the broad
classification of wireless mobile. At one extreme pagers and phones
capable of sending and receiving text messages provide a primitive
level of wireless mobile capability. At the higher end, advanced
wireless PDAs, such as the Pocket PC, with full computing capabilities
replace many of the functions of traditional PCs.?

?There is substantial market research covering these types of devices,
all indicating strong growth. ?

For example:


- 84 million people in the United States will plug into wireless
Internet by 2005 (IDC)

- 35 million handheld devices by 2003 (IDC) 

- 350 million "Smart" phones and handheld Internet devices by 2003 (Datacomm) 

- 1.1 billion wireless subscribers by 2003 (IDC) 

- 200 million PDAs, of which 80% will be wireless, by 2003 (Gartner)?


Tarantella
http://www.tarantella.com/wireless/


===================================================

Factoids

?By 2007 nearly 350 million mobile phones and 18 million PDAs will be
manufactured with Bluetooth capabilities (In-Stat/MDR 2003).?

?The mobile device market has experienced tremendous growth. By 2005,
IDC projects there will be more than 230 million laptops and data
centric handhelds, ranging from PDAs to mobile phones (IDC, 2001).?

HP
http://www.hpdevelopersolutions.com/mobile/Mobile_Printing_Trends.pdf


===================================================


Pagers

There will be over 90 million pagers in the USA alone by the year 2003
a 28% growth rate from today. Ernst & Young
http://www.baldeagleconsulting.com/PDF/2000-fall-winter.pdf


===================================================


According to widely published wireless industry statistics, over 300
million pagers are in use.
http://www.tmcnet.com/articles/ccsmag/0700/0700news.htm


===================================================

From Integrated Data Corp: 

?Pagers are popular with users because they are low cost, small, easy
to use, and have long battery life.  There are approximately 175
million paging subscribers worldwide, and over 50 million paging
subscribers in the U.S.?

Integrated Data Corp: White Paper 
http://www.integrateddatacorp.com/C3_Tech/FM%20Subcarrier%20White%20Paper.htm


===================================================

Historic Data:

?By 1980, there were 3.2 million pager users worldwide. Pagers had a
limited range, and were used in on-site situations, i.e. medical
workers within a hospital. By 1990, wide-area paging had been invented
and over 22 million pagers were in use. By 1994, there were over 61
million pagers in use and pagers became popular for personal use.?
http://inventors.about.com/library/inventors/blpager.htm


===================================================

60 million pagers in use worldwide

?As we are daily reminded, pagers are here to stay. Recent estimates
suggest that there are now over 60 million pagers in use worldwide.?

St James's Hospital, Dublin, Republic of Ireland 
http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/327/7417/719


===================================================


?Analysts such as Darryl Sterling at The Yankee Group estimate that,
out of more than 45 million pagers in use today, approximately 61,000
are smart pagers. Sterling predicts the number of smart-pager
subscribers will jump to about 8.8 million by 2003.?
http://www.computerworld.com/news/1998/story/0,11280,32187,00.html



===================================================

Hotspots

CMP Media provides statistics regarding wireless hotspots.:

?From 2005 to 2007, the build-out will pick up again in the US,
reaching 530,000 hotspots, as Wi-Fi enabled notebook PCs gain in
number. In Europe, there should be almost 800,000 by 2007. In Asia,
where some public places are still offering free access, there will be
more than 1 million hotspots by then. An optimistic estimate has Asia
littered with more than 4 million hot spots by that year.?

CMP Media
http://www.embedded.com/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=10700124


===================================================


WIFI Hotspots

In the United States there will be a steady growth in hotspots and by
2007 there will be some 530,000 hotspots in the U.S.

?In Europe almost 800,000 hotspots will be installed by 2007, while in
Asia, by even the most pessimistic estimates, there will be over 1
million hotspots by 2007. A more optimistic estimate places that
figure at almost 4 million by that year.?

?The report estimates the mean for hotspots in the U.S. to be about
190 sessions per year, with a disproportionate share going to business
hotels and major airports. In 2007, the report predicts some 4 billion
sessions for the U.S. The U.S. usage revenue for 2007 is projected to
be $8 billion, or about $15,000 per hotspot.?

May 27, 2003 
http://www.fwdconcepts.com/Pages/press45.htm


===================================================

From  CEO Networking?s Top Ten Business Trends: Predictions for 2004

Wi-Fi gets bigger.
  
?Free wireless hotspots will increase substantially. travellers could
expect half a million hotspots in 2004?

FSB
http://www.north-east-business-park.co.uk/fsb/fizzbizz/jan04/Predictions_2004/predictions_2004.html


===================================================


?The growth of 802.11- or Wi-Fi-enabled devices is one reason for this
trend. America has 3,000 public hotspots today, but 4 million hotspots
is a certainty within five years.?

Internet Creep By Alan Meckler: January 10, 2003
http://www.internetnews.com/commentary/print.php/1568061


===================================================

Despite the slowdown in the global economy, the demand for mobile
connectivity "anytime, anywhere" has attracted many new WLAN hotspot
players.

"The European hotspot market increased by 327% over the last year from
269 locations at the end of 2001 to around 1,150 locations at the end
of 2002."

?Sweden and Finland, said IDC, "are particularly advanced in hotspots,
but in Norway and Denmark the number is expected to start growing
rapidly by the beginning of 2003.?

?The research company forecasts a 2001?2006 compound annual growth
rate of 42% for WLAN NIC unit sales in the Nordic region, with an
installed base of more than 2.5 million NICs by the end of 2006.?

News Wireless Net
http://www.newswireless.net/articles/030207-idc.html


===================================================


The Computer Industry Almanac provides a wealth of information
regarding the computer industry. An extensive list is available here:
http://www.c-i-a.com/pr_info.htm
Click on the link to read each one.


Search criteria:
Mobile phones
Cell phones 
Mobile market
Wireless technology
PC penetration 
Laptop penetration 
PDA usage
Million pagers
Hotspots worldwide


I hope you find this information useful!


Best regards,
Bobbie7

Request for Answer Clarification by wanttoknowmore-ga on 17 Aug 2004 15:29 PDT
In addition, I would like to know how many sensors are being deployed
worldwide, including cameras and other sensors for temperature,
vibration, sound, light, etc.  I'm willing to pay an aiitional $25 for
this answer.

Clarification of Answer by bobbie7-ga on 17 Aug 2004 15:41 PDT
Dear Wanttoknowmore,

I'd be glad to help you, but information regarding sensors is out of
my area of expertise. In order to receive the attention it deserves, I
suggest that you post this request as a new question, giving
additional researchers the opportunity to provide an expert answer to
your query.

Sincerely,
Bobbie7.
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