Hello.
This is the article that you're looking for:
The Wall Street Journal
No Contests: House Incumbents Tap Census, Software to Get a Lock on
Seats ---
by John Harwood
June 19, 2002
I have looked at the article and it does indeed state: "Out of 435
House districts, political handicapper Charlie Cook rates only 11 as
'toss-up' contests that either side could just as easily win. At this
time 10 years ago, he rated four times as many that way."
The article is quite long and I can't reprint it here because of
copyright restrictions.
Since the article is only three weeks old, you should have no trouble
finding it at your local public library. Your library might also have
free access to electronic databases that include back issues of the
Wall Street Journal.
Alternatively, you could subscribe to the Online edition of the WSJ.
According to their web page, online subscribers have access to
articles from the past 30 days.
http://online.wsj.com/help/0,4441,003-1,00.html
For registration information, visit:
http://online.wsj.com/public/us
You might also take a look at an older article from the Wall Street
Journal (November 7, 2001) that claimed that 30 of the 435 seats were
competitive. That article is reprinted on the web site of the Center
for Voting and Democracy:
http://www.fairvote.org/op_eds/wsj110701.htm
search strategy: wall street journal, redistricting
I hope this helps. Good luck with your research. |