Jamesh --
The answer to this question shows a much more dramatic impact on
travel than I'd imagined: first by the car and later by the airplane.
It shows people traveling 100x more today than in 1900 -- though we
haven't calculated horse-miles or walking miles.
---
There are 3 databases that help answer this question:
1. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, which has detailed statistics
on passenger-miles for plane, trains, cars, trucks, transit and even
ferry boats from 1960 to 2001:
http://www.bts.gov/publications/national_transportation_statistics/2003/html/table_01_37.html
2. U.S. population statistics, from the Bureau of the Census (see
pages 7,8) and the Statistical Abstract published annually:
http://www.census.gov/prod/2001pubs/statab/sec01.pdf
3. The final piece -- transportation numbers for earlier than 1960 --
is in the Bicentennial Edition of "Historical Statistics of the United
States, Colonial Times to 1970," published by the Bureau of the Census
in 1975. It's apparently NOT available online, though any
well-resourced public library has a copy of it.
In order to make these numbers digestable, I've put a summary of them
in a spreadsheet, with the numbers for every 10 years from 1900 to
2000. This way you can run your own calculations, over and above my
summary numbers. You can find the spreadsheet here -- and your
browser should be able to view the Excel file even if you don't have
the Microsoft spreadsheet:
http://www.mooneyevents.com/travel.xls
A couple of notes on the data:
* we've used total travel for all trucks and cars (and motorcycles,
when they're added)
* average mileage on passenger vehicles went down about 20% during
World War II but was pretty steady from 1945 to 1970, with about 9,800
miles per year being put on the average car.
* early Census numbers are in "vehicle miles" and later numbers in
"passenger-miles" -- because there's an average of more than one
person per vehicle the numbers after 1960 are higher in the Bureau of
Transportation Statistics numbers.
* in 1980 and onward, I've aggregated light rail and heavy rail
commuter numbers for "Transit"
Should there be any problem viewing the spreadsheet, please let me
know via a Clarification Request and we'll repost the numbers in text
format here.
Best regards,
Omnivorous-GA |