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Subject:
Likelihood of card
Category: Science > Math Asked by: rndgroup-ga List Price: $10.00 |
Posted:
09 Oct 2004 21:43 PDT
Expires: 08 Nov 2004 20:43 PST Question ID: 412682 |
I always play in Casino, in theory i wonder how can i tell if a deck of card is shuffled randomly to be "as reasonable as possible"? Any Maths/Estimation prob behind? I wish to know the details behind the scene please. Thanks | |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: Likelihood of card
From: mathtalk-ga on 09 Oct 2004 22:31 PDT |
One aspect of such a question is the observability of the shuffled decks. In some games one is not able to see all the cards dealt, or to be able to reconstruct the order in which specific cards are dealt. If one is dealing with a game (perhaps blackjack?) where it is possible to reconstruct all or a substantial part of the initial ordering of a shuffled deck, then it's possible to apply any of a variety of tests of randomness to the observed order. One test that comes to mind is a "runs" test, e.g. how long is the maximum run of increasing or decreasing card values in the order dealt. Knuth (Art of Computer Science, vol. 2: Semi-numerical algorithms) discusses the problem of testing for randomness (and its importance in judging routines designed to produce random sequences), and the runs test is included in this discussion. The subject of this question (Likelihood of card) suggests another sort of test, a frequency test (how often will a particular card appear). For games in which the observation of dealt cards is "censored", one can easily imagine ways that such a limitation affects the observed frequency of cards. Example: A poker game in which "folding" a hand results in the cards held remaining concealed is apt to decrease the frequency of low-value cards appearing. regards, mathtalk-ga |
Subject:
Re: Likelihood of card
From: efn-ga on 09 Oct 2004 22:44 PDT |
For a standard 52-card deck, seven shuffles are generally reckoned to be enough. http://www.bridgeguys.com/SGlossary/ShuffleofCards.html Or maybe six or five, depending on how you measure randomness. http://flatrock.org.nz/topics/art_of_playing_cards/how_to_win_at_poker.htm |
Subject:
Re: Likelihood of card
From: rndgroup-ga on 10 Oct 2004 05:58 PDT |
Thanks for quick answers both of you :) In http://flatrock.org.nz/topics/art_of_playing_cards/how_to_win_at_poker.htm (1)The researchers simulated it on a computer--> Any shuffle emulator on Internet? (2)They found that, according to their definition of the "information" remaining about the order of the cards, the randomness accumulates steadily right from the first shuffle, and is virtually complete by the 6th. Even four shuffles does a fair job of reducing the "information content" of the pack.-->So they only track the position of cards? For example i got 4 cards, 12345, if i mixed them up and then i get 54321, it's defined as most randomized? but it's still straight! I wanna now the details or maths of it, i.e. why 7 times in most of the websites referred Thanks! |
Subject:
Re: Likelihood of card
From: rndgroup-ga on 10 Oct 2004 07:25 PDT |
Mathtalk, "then it's possible to apply any of a variety of tests of randomness to the observed order."-->What is it? "runs" test-->May I know more how it works? Than ks |
Subject:
Re: Likelihood of card
From: googleexpert-ga on 10 Oct 2004 17:39 PDT |
Hi rndgroup, Yes, there is a card shuffling simulator online at: http://www.math.washington.edu/~chartier/Shuffle/simulation.html based on the paper "Trailing the Dovetail Shuffle to Its Lair" hope that helps. -googleexpert |
Subject:
Re: Likelihood of card
From: rndgroup-ga on 10 Oct 2004 19:18 PDT |
Thanks googleexpert. If got more please feel free to tell me. |
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