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Subject:
world currency
Category: Business and Money > Economics Asked by: timespacette-ga List Price: $2.00 |
Posted:
19 Oct 2004 22:36 PDT
Expires: 18 Nov 2004 21:36 PST Question ID: 417362 |
How does one rate the stability of world currencies? what are considered to be the three most stable currencies in the world? |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 19 Oct 2004 22:38 PDT |
1: The Swiss Franc 2: The Swiss Franc 3: The Swiss Franc Why? Because all the politicians stash their loot there. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: pinkfreud-ga on 19 Oct 2004 22:43 PDT |
This is rather surprising: "What is particularly scary about the dollar is that it has been the third-best-performing currency in the world. Only the Swiss franc and the Dutch guilder (by a very small margin) have held up better." http://news.goldseek.com/DailyReckoning/1079632533.php |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 19 Oct 2004 23:15 PDT |
The Dutch Guilder? Alas, 'tis no more! Clue: Euro. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: pinkfreud-ga on 19 Oct 2004 23:23 PDT |
I am dimly aware of the Euro. I had presumed that we were speaking of currencies through history. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 19 Oct 2004 23:35 PDT |
Hmmmmm What was it that Henry Ford said about History? Remind me! |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: timespacette-ga on 20 Oct 2004 00:21 PDT |
"the only history that is worth a tinker's damn is the history we make today." -- Henry Ford, famous tinkerer But seriously, folks. Why is it that the Swiss franc is considered to be so darn reliable? I think the reason they's that got like to put their money in a Swiss account has more to do with the fact that the information about it is kept top secret. But what actually causes stability in currency? Is it just that if everybody thinks it's so, that makes it so? |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 20 Oct 2004 00:46 PDT |
Hi timespacette-ga Many thanks for reminding me about Henry. Yes, I am sure that the secrecy thing is of paramount importance, together with their reputation for honesty & whatever. It is only a very small country and, as Orson Welles memorably uttered, all it is famous for is its cuckoo clocks. So, stacks of hot money gets secreted away there, away from Tax Collectors, avaricious ex-wives, rival politicians, the ex-King's subjects, etc., etc. And here's the really clever thing ... a LOT of the hot money stays there forever because the rightful owners or the next-of-kin cannot find it when the Grim Reaper visits those secretive Account Holders. Wow ... what a business! I should be so lucky. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: frde-ga on 20 Oct 2004 02:10 PDT |
<quote> Is it just that if everybody thinks it's so, that makes it so? </quote> Like most things related to Economics, I suspect that what happens is a combination of underlying forces and 'self fulfilling expectations'. Because the Swiss have an incredibly stable economy, they are pretty much immune from the crises that allow hysterical FOREX dealers to chase the currency all over the map. This means that they can pretty much control their USD/SFR exchange rate. Although money pours into Switzerland, it does not necessarily pour into Swiss Francs. The Swiss are sophisticated enough to offer USD, GBP, EUR etc bank accounts. Also, if one thinks about it, the Swiss have very little domestic need for the money, and the idea of it sitting in vaults (physical or virtual) is ludicrous. They need to /lend/ the money - and the borrowers are unlikely to want to spend it in Switzerland. I have a vague memory that at one time SFR deposits in Switzerland actually 'earned' a negative rate of interest. A strong incentive for a USA resident to opt for a USD slush fund. Perhaps even a portfolio of long dated USD Treasury Bonds and some sensible shares - all, of course, held by the bank and not subject to iniquitous taxation. The current situation with the USD is extremely interesting, by radically devaluing the USA encourages exports, discourages imports and reduces USD denominated overseas debts against foreign currency reserves. (ie: buy a lot of JPY (Yen) devalue (talk the dollar down), and sell them back at a massive profit). In conclusion, the Swiss Franc is not a 'real' currency. Not that I would be averse to a healthy wad of SFR in my inbox. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: frde-ga on 20 Oct 2004 05:49 PDT |
And yes, I think Henry Ford said : 'History is bunk' Personally I doubt that he was accurate. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: smirkingman-ga on 20 Oct 2004 08:53 PDT |
I'm sorry, but I work in a private bank in Geneva, Switzerland and several of the statements made in these comments made my hair curl. The Swiss Franc is a stable currency primarily because 1/ It's a neutral country with an army convincing enough to maintain its neutrality 2/ The swiss are, by and large, agrarian and extremely conservative; they watch and wait, and learn from others' mistakes 3/ The swiss are by nature hard-working, discrete and meticulous These factors have made Switzerland (and in particular Geneva, the home of Calvin) an ideal place to provide banking services. Having done so successfully for over 200 years, the swiss have earnt a reputation. Mis-conception: Money in Switzerland is ill-gotten. Switzerland has banking secrecy for legal funds only. The money-laundering laws are by far the tightest in the world, both the authorities and the banks actively seek out dirty money and cooperate with most courts in the world. Both America and England would do well to stop knocking the swiss (for purely commercial reasons) and clean up their own acts first. Fact: Dormant accounts (presumably belonging to the desceased) are investigated continuously and external auditors report on banks' success/failure to restitute funds. Remember that the Swiss banks paid 2'000'000'000 francs (about 1'540'000'000 dollars) to the holocaust victims two years ago; sadly the beneficiaries are still bickering about who will get the money. Fact: Most of the 35% of the entire world's wealth that is managed in Switzerland is invested in bonds, shares and fiduciary deposits. Here is the actual breakdown: shares 37% bonds 34% fiduciaries 18% cash 4% alternative investments 3% derivatives 3% metal 1% Oh, and the Swiss Franc is a *very real* currency, as I pleasantly discover every time I travel abroad >;-) |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 20 Oct 2004 09:09 PDT |
Well, I was speaking of Zurich ... I have never seen any banks in Geneva ... Except the banks of that lake, whatever it is. And is that fountain still splashing? |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: timespacette-ga on 20 Oct 2004 09:43 PDT |
From smirkingman: "The Swiss Franc is a stable currency primarily because 1/ It's a neutral country with an army convincing enough to maintain its neutrality 2/ The swiss are, by and large, agrarian and extremely conservative; they watch and wait, and learn from others' mistakes 3/ The swiss are by nature hard-working, discrete and meticulous" I appreciate your position to engage in this forum; would you qualify the above statement? Having lived in Switzerland myself, I know how hard-working and meticulous the Swiss can be. I once witnessed a farmer spend all afternoon trimming the grass between his fence and the road with a pair of hair scissors . . . but here are my questions: what does having a "convincing army" have to do with a stable currency? I mean, if that is true then why is the USD not at the top of the list? I don't know anything about the Swiss army except they have a thing for knives and every chalet has weapons hanging in their vestibule in ready for immediate mobilization. They are a landlocked country protected by bridges and tunnels only, but in this day and age what good could that possibly do? I'm back to the question of what is it that actually causes stability. You haven't convinced me; I still think it's just because of consensual opinion, and despite what Henry said about history, people ride on that and the Swiss franc continues to have this reputation. But then consensual reality is what the money game is all about, right? |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: frde-ga on 21 Oct 2004 06:33 PDT |
First, Smirkingman I want to assure you that I have nothing personal against the Swiss, and that the following is not an attack on you. Secondly, I would like to ensure that we get our facts straight Thirdly, I neither condemn nor condone the past and present activities of the Swiss. 1/ It's a neutral country with an army convincing enough to maintain its neutrality During the WWII Switzerland manufactured goods for Germany, aircraft bomb sights were one of their exports (if I remember correctly). The American/British had a few 'accidents' and bombed Swiss factories. I have heard that German Panzers went through Switzerland, to Italy I think. Note: the peace loving Swedes made armaments - Bofors springs to mind. The fact that all males have to spend some weeks training, and that they keep weopons at home is pretty irrelevant in these days of high tech warfare, and would have been little more than a minor nuisance in 1939-45 I have also heard that gold was pouring into Switzerland from Germany. Personally I think that the Swiss have been wise remaining non-combatant. 2/ The swiss are, by and large, agrarian and extremely conservative; The Swiss have a fair manufacturing industry, they also import day labour from neighbouring countries. I expect many Swiss are very conservative, but I've also heard that they have rather a drug problem. 3/ The swiss are by nature hard-working, discrete and meticulous Possibly, but the Germans are by nature hard working, and City of London back office staff easily (used to?) out class those of Frankfurt. The Swiss probably are 'discreet' (discrete means something else - be careful there - advice not a dig). The Swiss certainly have earnt a reputation for banking and portfolio management. Calvin might, or might not have approved. That is not really relevant. Personally I reckon that there is an 'evolutionary slot' for a neutral banking centre. Switzerland just happens to fill that slot. Under considerable pressure Swiss banks have disclosed information to, primarily, America. I really do not believe that they tip off the IRS every time an American citizen makes a large deposit. Would you believe that when I make a moderately large deposit in my personal bank account, my bank has to ring me up and ask me about it. You are certainly right that the UK is a good place to hold funds, provided one is not a UK resident. One of the reasons so many US banks opened up in London was because of the laxer banking laws. I provided software to two non-UK banks that were simply in London because they could get away with more. One was considering 're-locating' to the Isle of Man when things got tighter, and another abruptly shut up shop. Unfortunately the UK brought in a bunch of monkeys to 'regulate' things - TSA FSA come to mind. Some of the stuff they made banks do was ludicrous. Personally I think that attempts to 'clean up' the UK banking system have been severely detrimental to the sector. The holocaust pay out was just a form of 'settlement out of court'. Quite a smart move, as you have astutely pointed out, it now has people squabbling with each other. As for the SFR being a 'real' currency, well you pretty much make my point. Following the principle of 'commodity arbitrage' prices should be relatively similar in similar countries. As it is, everything in Switzerland is incredibly expensive to GBP, USD, EUR visitors, while everything for Swiss travellers is dirt cheap when they travel abroad. This is, I believe, a smart move on the part of the Swiss, and as an aside I consider GBP grossly overvalued, which for the UK's shaky economy, is extremely stupid. None of this is meant to knock the Swiss. They have been very astute and pragmatic. Hmmm ... with the exception of SwissAir. I am not sure how they managed to keep their economy and society so well managed, but suspect that it is something to do with the Cantonal system, which probably prevents a bunch of muppets in central Government playing dodgem cars with our 'environment'. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 21 Oct 2004 06:56 PDT |
Shrewd observations, frde! In WWI, Switzerland used to import barbed wire from Germany, take off the tell-tale tags and export it to France. Very smart! And don't forget the BIS (Bank of International Settlements) which ticked away very happily through WW2 with all sides sitting around for friendly chats. Clever people! |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: omnivorous-ga on 21 Oct 2004 07:28 PDT |
Timespacette -- The Fraser Institute (Canada) started measuring aspects of economic freedom components in 1996 in the first edition of "Economic Freedom of the World, 1975-1995." It treated 4 major aspects of every economy: 1. money and inflation (money supply growth, inflation variance, ownership of foreign currency, ability to own offshore bank accounts) 2. government operations 3. transfer payments & conscription 4. international sector Though current versions of the report has changed criteria, paying much more attention to legal structures, it is still very similar: http://www.freetheworld.com/release.html The 1996 first edition notes that "the strengths of the Swiss economy are a very stable monetary regime buttressed with the liberty to user alternative currencies (note the near perfect rating in the monetary area)." The reports are also very good for a medium-term, with data going back to 1975. Best regards, Omnivorous-GA |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 21 Oct 2004 08:45 PDT |
I recall that, at one stage during WW2, Adolf made plans for invading Switzerland. I used to wonder what stopped him. Maybe he was terrified of the Swiss Army with their multi-purpose knives? Or maybe he was just too much of a gentleman to attack soldiers in skirts? |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: frde-ga on 22 Oct 2004 06:34 PDT |
Soldiers in skirts ? About 35 years ago I was on (I think) the underground in (I think) Geneva, when a bunch of Swiss soldiers got on. Their rifles had plugs in the barrels, but their uniform was reminiscent of the WWII Wehrmacht - especially the helmets. It was pretty darn spooky. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: probonopublico-ga on 22 Oct 2004 08:31 PDT |
Hi, Jerry 'A Bunch' of Swiss soldiers? There are only two of them ... http://www.ontheroadin.com/miscellasneouspictures/Photographs%20of%20Italy/slides/Swiss%20guard%20at%20Vatican.html But I can see why you were scared. All the Best Bryan |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: frde-ga on 23 Oct 2004 03:35 PDT |
Gawd, they look a pair of dorks. I wonder whether they pay them 'humiliation money' - to compensate them for being laughed at. |
Subject:
about stability and army
From: captainlonestar-ga on 26 Nov 2004 07:06 PST |
THE SWISS REPORT ====================================================== Switzerland lies landlocked in Western Europe, ... Even Adolph Hitler's Wehrmacht, which conquered all of Europe in the early months of World War II, chose not to attack Switzerland despite the fact that the small country was in the crossroads of Western Europe. Switzerland is, of course, neutral, but it was not mere respect for its neutrality which kept the Nazi armies and others before it out of the tiny country. It was the determination of the Swiss people to defend their neutrality and the credibility of their means to do so. That determination remains alive today ... Within 48 hours, the Swiss can field an army of more than 600,00 men ... War supplies, medical supplies and food supplies are meticulously stored in more than 100 kilometers of tunnels ... obstacles ... barriers ...demolition devices ... In short, Switzerland is an armed bunker. Yet, there is _no_ standing Army, no ... enormous drain on the Swiss economy ... How the Swiss have achieved this credible deterrent to invasion is the subject of this report. The Swiss security system is unique as well as an example of what a democratic nation can accomplish by applying reason and logic to problems which have been realistically and carefully analyzed. Niccolo Machiavelli, the 15th century Italian student of power, remarked of the Swiss, "They are the most armed -- and most free people in Europe." ... Today Switzerland maintains its neutrality, but practices what it calls solidarity ... SWISS STRATEGIC THINKING "Historical experience shows that if a nation is not able to defend itself and to protect its spiritual and material values, it will become, sooner or later, the target of power. THE MILITIA SYSTEM ... The Swiss have no illusions about their ability to defeat a major military power. They could not have defeated the Nazi army which for a time considered invading Switzerland. They mobilized, however, and made it clear beyond a shadow of a doubt that if the Nazi army invaded, it would be fiercely resisted and that the tunnels and passes into Italy would be destroyed. In a classic example of dissuasion at work, Hitler's general staff recommended against an invasion on the grounds that the costs would be disproportionate to the gains. The Swiss military forces are composed almost entirely of the militia. ... The Swiss militia system is unique and is not comparable to the present Reserve and Guard forces in the United States. The basis for conscription is the constitution, which mandates military service for every Swiss male from age 20 to 50 (55 in the case of officers). There are no exceptions. Conscientious objectors are given a choice between Army non-combat units and jail. Those physically unfit for military duty but employable are required to pay a tax. Women are not included in the compulsory military service system, but small numbers of them are accepted on a volunteer basis for non-combatant positions. A third advantage is that every male, age 20 to 50, who is an elected official or civil servant in the government at all levels is also a member of the Swiss Army. ... A fourth advantage is that Switzerland does not have a high proportion of defense dollars going to personnel costs. ... At the age of 19, young men are given physical and mental tests in preparation for military service. ... At age 20, recruits report for 17 weeks of training. ... At the end of the training cycle, the recruit, now a member of a militia unit with which he will stay in most cases for the duration of his obligation, returns home. He carries with him his rifle, an allotment of ammunition, uniforms, military pack, and CBR mask. He is responsible for the maintenance of this equipment and is inspected annually. Once a year he is also required to qualify with his personal weapon on a rifle range (300 meters!) or face an additional three days of training. Once a year, he will report for three weeks of military training in a rugged field exercise set up as a problem the type of which his particular unit would face. ... The Swiss Army is organized into four Army Corps. ... The Swiss logistics system is a work of genius and is tailored to the requirements of ... These underground facilities not only contain stores of ammunition and other war supplies but also ... They also practice the principle of commonality so that military, civil defense, and police equipment are the same. ... MILITARY DOCTRINE Once mobilized, the Swiss Army would fight as a conventional force. Swiss military doctrine calls for meeting the aggressor at the borders and waging total war. ... The Swiss terrain -- ... This combination of powerful resistance by conventional forces, continued resistance by guerrillas, and ... The armed population is no bluff. Swiss militiamen are not required to turn in their weapons upon completion of their obligation. It is said that every Swiss home contains at least three weapons, ... THE TERRITORIAL SERVICE A unique component of the Swiss Army is the Territorial Service. ... CIVIL DEFENSE Some critics of the Swiss system have expressed the belief that the possession of nuclear weapons has made the strategy of dissuasion obsolete. These are, to be sure, those critics who view nuclear war as an offense for which there is no defense. The Swiss do not agree. Recalling on of their strategic objectives as protection of the civilian population, the Swiss government has realistically assessed that objective in light of nuclear, chemical, and biological warfare. Their answer was to embark on an extensive civil defense program ... Private shelters ... Public shelters are equipped with ... The Swiss have spent, since 1970, 5 billion Swiss francs on civil defense and are currently spending at the rate of 210 million Swiss francs annually. ... Public support for civil defense is widespread. ... SUMMARY Switzerland, a small country with limited resources, has conceptualized, planned, and implemented a rational security policy which provides maximum effect with minimum expenditures. ...To a remarkable degree, the Swiss require private sector participation in the defense effort. ... The Swiss General Defense system provides a high dissuasive value and credibility to this small, neutral country in the heart of Europe. ... Thanks to Civil Defense as well as intricate economic preparedness, there is a high degree of survivability even in a modern war of long duration. ... |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: fnusnuank-ga on 04 Jan 2005 14:05 PST |
I have worked in many private banks over the years. I am English and have lived in Switz. for 13 years. The Swiss Franc is a strong currency because it is underwritten by gold reserves many times the amount of paper printed. All the worlds rich tax avoiders bank there because tax avoidance is not illegal in Switz. plus all the dicatators stashing their cash. The Swiss are amongst the most rascist countries I have lived in, but no worst than most. Their record in the second world war was not good, survival mixed with a happy desire to make loads of money. They were the Nazi's money launders if I understand history correctly. I have seen active service in the British Army, their citizen army is not worth a damn, they would never stand. They hide behind their defences and buy off anyone who threatens. Not a very flattering picture, it has chnaged a lot in the last ten years. |
Subject:
Re: world currency
From: soul326-ga on 18 May 2005 00:38 PDT |
it is australian dollar then the us dollar then the euro |
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