So I done a bit of looking and it looks  pretty good.  We are both
never married, we have never lived together (he lived with 2 different
women in the past, though never engaged before) and we are both older.
 I will be 32 by the wedding date and he will be 46,  My parents are
still together.  His are divorced, he lived with his mother who
divorced twice more.  We are not strongly religious, but plan to bring
it closer to our lives.  (I think with regard ti the research all this
will be relevant).  I am looking for a percent chance.

50/50 .. you will or you won't.

A question about divorce demographics was answered once before:

http://answers.google.com/answers/threadview?id=363986

It has some good info and quality links to more good info.

As far as you and your fiance are personally concerned, the
demographics are slightly in your favor comparred to the average
marriage.  But your specific case is much more complicated than any
demographics or statistics could ever come close to displaying.  So I
suggest that if divorce is a concern of yours (as it well should be)
then you should very seriously think of the step you are about to
take.  "... til death do us part" is not to be taken lightly, if you
do care deeply about yourself, your fiance, and your future kids then
you (and your fiance) need to be certain that it is in fact until
death do you part.

Best wishes for a happy, healthy, divorce-free life!

Jroyann --

If you're interested in taking action on reducing the probability of
divorce, you might consider some sessions that surface issues with
marriage.

A Google search strategy with "marriage encounter" will highlight some
options in various religious flavors.

Best regards,

Omnivorous-GA

If you both seriously commit to the idea that divorce is not an
option--no matter what--you will not end up divorced. It sounds too
simple, perhaps, but is a common thread among those who stay married
for the rest of their lives.

Kriswrite

Live together - try it out

Also, if you think 32 is 'older' you are in for a rude awakening.

I suspect that you are in the 'female hormonal phase' of 28 to 36
where anything that looks like a viable father .. looks good.

It could work, but personally, on what you have said, if they had
'Google Bets' I would place 3:1 against.

Shack up and try it out, but make sure both of you keep a viable exit route.
Trial marriage is the phrase I was searching for.

Actually, living together before you get married *increases* your
chances of getting a divorce...by 80%!  (
http://www.marriagebuilders.com/graphic/mbi5025b_qa.html )

Kriswrite