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Q: Project Evaluation ( Answered 5 out of 5 stars,   1 Comment )
Question  
Subject: Project Evaluation
Category: Business and Money > Finance
Asked by: spockspock-ga
List Price: $25.00
Posted: 30 Oct 2004 19:11 PDT
Expires: 29 Nov 2004 18:11 PST
Question ID: 422318
21. Project Evaluation. Revenues generated by a new fad product are
forecast as follows:
Year	Revenues
1	$40,000
2	$30,000
3	$20,000
4	$10,000
Thereafter	0

Expenses are expected to be 40 percent of revenues, and working
capital required in each year is expected to be 20 percent of revenues
in the following year.  The product requires an immediate investment
of $50,000 in plant and equipment.
a. What is the initial investment in the product? Remember working capital.
b. If the plant and equipment are depreciated over 4 years to a
salvage value of zero using straight-line depreciation, and the firm's
tax rate is 40 percent, what are the project cash flows in each year?
c. If the opportunity cost of capital is 10 percent, what is the project NPV?
d. What is the project IRR?
Answer  
Subject: Re: Project Evaluation
Answered By: livioflores-ga on 30 Oct 2004 22:21 PDT
Rated:5 out of 5 stars
 
Hi spockspock!!

Thank you for asking to Google Answers.
Here is the solution to this problem:

a. 
The initial investment is the sum of the investment in plant and
equipment and the required Working Capital to start the operation, for
this problem it is the 20% of the Year 1 Revenues = 20%*$40,000 =
$8,000). If we call I the initial investment, then:

I = $50,000 + $8,000 = $58,000

                         -----------------------------

b. 
First of all we must define the cash flow (CF) formula:

CF = Net Operating Profit - Taxes - Net Change in Working Capital

We need to calculate other things before we are able to use the cash flow formula:

·Net Operating Profit (NOP):
For each year k (k=1 to 4) we have that the Net Operating Profit is
the difference between the revenues and the expenses of that year k:

NOP_k = R_k - E_k

where:
R_k = are the revenues for the year k
E_k = are the expenses for the year k


·Depreciation (D): (straight-line, 4 years)
D = (Invest in plant and equipment) / 4 = $12,500


·Taxes (T_k)
The taxes for each year k (for k=1 to 4) are:
T_k = T * (NOP_k - D)  

where:
T = is the tax rate (for this problem 0.40)


·Net Change in Working Capital (NchWC_k):
For each year k we have that 
NchWC_k = Current Working Capital - Previous Working Capital =
        = Working Capital_k  - Working Capital_(k-1) 


Now we can write the cash flow formula for each year k (CF_k):

CF_k = NOP_k - T_k - NchWC_k


Now we can do some preliminar calculations:
E_1 = 40,000 * 0.40 = 16,000
E_2 = 30,000 * 0.40 = 12,000
E_3 = 20,000 * 0.40 =  8,000
E_4 = 10,000 * 0.40 =  4,000

NOP_1 = 40,000 - 16,000 = 24,000
NOP_2 = 30,000 - 12,000 = 18,000
NOP_3 = 20,000 - 8,000 = 12,000
NOP_4 = 10,000 - 4,000 = 6,000

T-1 = 0.40*(24,000-12,500) = 4,600
T_2 = 0.40*(18,000-12,500) = 2,200
T_3 = 0.40*(12,000-12,500) = -200
T_4 = 0.40*(6,000-12,500) = -2,600 

NchWC_1 = 0.20*30,000 - 0.20*40,000 = -2,000
NchWC_2 = 0.20*20,000 - 0.20*30,000 = -2,000
NchWC_3 = 0.20*10,000 - 0.20*20,000 = -2,000
NchWC_4 = 0.20*0.00 - 0.20*10,000 = -2,000


Now we can calculate the cash flow for each year:

CF_1 = 24,000 - 4,600 - (-2,000) = $21,400

CF_2 = 18,000 - 2,200 - (-2,000) = $17,800

CF_3 = 12,000 - (-200) - (-2,000) = $14,200

CF_4 = 6,000 - (-2,600) - (-2,000) = $10,600


                         -----------------------------

c. 
We need to recall some definitions:

Present Value (PV) for 4 years is:

         CF1           CF2            CF3            CF4  
PV  = ---------  +  ----------  +  ----------  +  ----------
      (1 + r)^1     (1 + r)^2	  (1 + r)^3      (1 + r)^4  



Net Present Value (NPV):

NPV = PV - I        

Using the calculator we find that:

PV = $52,073.90 

NPV = $52,073.90 - $58,000.00 = 
    = -$5,926.10 ---->>  NEGATIVE!! you will lose money with this 
                                    project.

                         -----------------------------

d.
IRR is the discount rate R that makes the NPV equals to zero, that is
the rate R that satisfies:

PV - I = 0  

or the equivalent

PV = I


        CF1         CF2          CF3          CF4  
PV = --------- + ---------- + ---------- + --------- = I
     (1 + R)^1   (1 + R)^2    (1 + R)^3    (1 + R)^4  


Now you must use a tool to calculate the IRR, the common way is using
the function IRR of Microsoft Excel (or similar) spreadsheet with the
following inputs:
Column A values:         Column B
A1: -58,000              B1: =IRR(A1:A5)
A2: 21,400
A3: 17,800
A4: 14,200
A5: 10,600

IRR =  4.59% ---->>  Less than the opportunity cost of capital!! 
                        you will lose money with this project.


                         -----------------------------

I hope that this helps you. Please feel free to request for a
clarification if you find something obscure or wrong in the answer
before rate this answer. I will gladly respond your requests for
further assistance on this topic.

Regards.
livioflores-ga
spockspock-ga rated this answer:5 out of 5 stars and gave an additional tip of: $5.00
This researcher responds to questions like you wish an instructor
would respond. Although my other questions were knocked off google
because they were "homework" related, this researcher has helped me
understand the questions he/she did answer more than the teacher.  I
have learned much from this researcher's detailed responses.  Thank
you very much.

Comments  
Subject: Re: Project Evaluation
From: sumi15-ga on 22 Nov 2004 16:42 PST
 
I have posted a similar question. Can you help me and walk me through that. Thanks.

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