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Q: Future of traditional, paper maps ( No Answer,   2 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Future of traditional, paper maps
Category: Miscellaneous
Asked by: california1978-ga
List Price: $10.00
Posted: 03 Nov 2004 16:11 PST
Expires: 11 Nov 2004 09:43 PST
Question ID: 424100
When do industry experts expect that traditional paper maps will
become obsolete as they are replaced by online maps and GPS
navigation?  I am interested in folded, paper maps, not decorative
maps for walls or antique maps.

Ideally, I would like to have a specific estimate (ie. sales of folded
paper maps will decrease from X to Y in the next 5 years). If that is
too hard to find, a trend would be useful (ie. what % of people in the
US no longer use paper maps and how is that trending).  Thank you very
much!
Answer  
There is no answer at this time.

Comments  
Subject: Re: Future of traditional, paper maps
From: cvenom-ga on 04 Nov 2004 23:05 PST
 
Paper maps will NEVER become obsolete. All the electronic methods of
navigation will always have to be backed up with paper maps (and a
simple magnetic compass). Satellites can be affected by weather, etc.
Electronic navigation systems require an power source (batteries,etc),
which can fail.

Imagine getting on a long flight that loses all electrical systems,
with no map backup, it would probably end up being your last.
Subject: Re: Future of traditional, paper maps
From: neilzero-ga on 06 Nov 2004 04:08 PST
 
Never is much too long. While I agree there will be a nich for paper
maps for back up purposes for the rest of this century, look for a
very slow decrease. I would say, rapid decrease except, twenty years
ago, 90% of the world's population had poor to negligible map reading
skills. Thanks to computer maps, the number of map readers has likely
doubled and will continue to grow. Some of these people are
discovering the conveniece of paper maps.
 GPS however is costly, complicated, another gadget to carry, charge,
and malfuntion. My guess is 99.99% of the world's population will not
have instant access to GPS at this instant in 2007. By instant, I mean
how many seconds would it take to get GPS information, if you just
woke up in bed? After 2007, a new generation of GPS like devices is
likely to cut into the market for both paper maps and computer maps. 
Neil

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