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Subject:
potential of default on u.s.treasury bonds
Category: Business and Money > Finance Asked by: joegar-ga List Price: $20.00 |
Posted:
30 Nov 2004 09:35 PST
Expires: 30 Dec 2004 09:35 PST Question ID: 436116 |
could the u.s.govt.delay or eventually reschedule or suspend payment of treasury obligations?maybe in effect going into a defacto ch.11 reorganization. |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: potential of default on u.s.treasury bonds
From: frde-ga on 30 Nov 2004 10:15 PST |
Yes But if that happened the US would already be in such chaos that nobody would even notice. |
Subject:
Re: potential of default on u.s.treasury bonds
From: omnivorous-ga on 30 Nov 2004 12:24 PST |
Joegar -- Treasury securities (bills and bonds) are backed by the faith and credit of the government and the assumption has always been that in lieu of default, the government would simply print more money. This, of course, leads to inflation -- but it's all part of the financial structure of a modern economy. Might I suggest the following Google search strategies: "risk free rate" treasury bills "risk free rate" treasury bonds "risk free rate" T-bills Best regards, Omnivorous-GA |
Subject:
Re: potential of default on u.s.treasury bonds
From: d_squared-ga on 17 Dec 2004 02:11 PST |
Yes they could, and they came surprisingly near to doing so in the 1990s when there was a political scuffle over raising the debt ceiling (as I remember it, Rubin borrowed from a government employees' pension fund in order to make a coupon payment). If they did, your assumption that it would be "like Chapter 11" is actually quite optimistic. Unlike the corporate bankruptcy case, there is no bankruptcy code for countries (because you can't just replace the management!). There is, therefore, no settled body of law about how defaulted debts are resolved, considerable potential for conflicts of interest between different classes of creditors and much trouble assured. It is also impossible to sue a sovereign entity in its own courts unless it allows itself to be sued. Have a look at the Russian default to see how messy things can get. On the other hand, it is not particularly likely ... |
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