|
|
Subject:
probability problem
Category: Science > Math Asked by: hamstersproblem-ga List Price: $8.00 |
Posted:
06 Feb 2006 19:34 PST
Expires: 10 Feb 2006 20:31 PST Question ID: 442434 |
Not sure what to do with this statistical question: given that X is normally distributed with a mean of 20 and standard deviation of 4, how would one calculate the probability that the sample mean x exceed 25 based on a sample size of n=64 ? |
|
There is no answer at this time. |
|
Subject:
Re: probability problem
From: collatz-ga on 06 Feb 2006 23:01 PST |
If X~N(20;4) then ^X~N(20;4/sqrt(64)) = N(20;1/2) It follow that P(^X > 25) = P((^X - 20)/(1/2) > (25-20)/(1/2)) = P(Z > 10), where Z~N(0;1) = 1 (according to table) |
Subject:
Re: probability problem
From: svln-ga on 07 Feb 2006 03:41 PST |
Use the normal distribution formula A normal distribution in a variate X with mean mu and variance sigma^2 is a statistic distribution with probability function P(x)==1/(sigma*sqrt(2pi))e^(-(x-mu)^2/(2sigma^2)) Integrate this equation over 25 to infinity Hope this will answer ur question |
Subject:
Re: probability problem
From: rracecarr-ga on 07 Feb 2006 11:30 PST |
The standard deviation of the sample mean is the standard deviation of the distribution divided by the square root of n. So the sample mean is normally distributed with mean 20 and standard deviation 4/sqrt(64) = 0.5. So you are asking how often you will get something greater than 10 standard deviations above the mean of a normal distibution. The practical answer is never. For all intents and purposes, the probability is zero. Maybe someone can tell how different erf(10) is from 1. I think the answer is somewhere in the neighborhood of 10^-30. |
Subject:
Re: probability problem
From: rracecarr-ga on 07 Feb 2006 11:40 PST |
erf(10) = 1 - 4.84E-45 So your probability is 2.42E-45 Winning the lottery 5 times in a row is more likely. |
Subject:
Re: probability problem
From: hamstersproblem-ga on 07 Feb 2006 13:14 PST |
im sorry but i can t make heads or tails out of which answer is correct or helpful... can anyone simplify the above info? |
Subject:
Re: probability problem
From: ansel001-ga on 07 Feb 2006 18:12 PST |
I would go with rracecarr's two posts. The idea is that a sample of 64 has less variance (and therefore a smaller standard deviation) than a sample of one. Therefore the mean of a sample of size 64 will stay closer to the mean of the entire population than a sample of size one. As rracecarr noted, the standard deviation of the sample is sqrt(64) or 8 times smaller than the standard deviation of the distribution. So the standard deviation of the sample is 0.5 instead of 4. The difference between the mean of the population and the sample is 5, which is 5/0.5 = 10 standard deviations. The likelihood of something being 10 standard deviations away from the mean is virtually zero. |
Subject:
Re: probability problem
From: hamstersproblem-ga on 07 Feb 2006 19:35 PST |
ah that really clears things up ... thanks for your help! |
If you feel that you have found inappropriate content, please let us know by emailing us at answers-support@google.com with the question ID listed above. Thank you. |
Search Google Answers for |
Google Home - Answers FAQ - Terms of Service - Privacy Policy |