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Subject:
Arctic warming
Category: Science > Physics Asked by: duffer477-ga List Price: $5.00 |
Posted:
19 Jan 2005 10:07 PST
Expires: 18 Feb 2005 10:07 PST Question ID: 459907 |
Why is Global warming having a stronger effect in the Arctic(+4 degrees) than in more temperate regions(+1 degree)? I am a teacher and would like the latest thoughts on this question. |
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Subject:
Re: Arctic warming
Answered By: elmarto-ga on 19 Jan 2005 11:57 PST |
Hi duffer477, Here is a link to a 2004 report called Arctic Climate Impact Assessment. http://amap.no/acia/ [Download ACIA Overview report, a 14 Mb pdf file] It's an extensive reserach report that covers many aspects of the influence of global warming on the Arctic, including impacts on wildlife, indigenous communities and effects on the rest of the world. In page 20 (page 26 in the pdf) you'll find several reasons why the Arctic is warming faster than other parts of the world. It appears that the main reason is that "...as arctic snow and ice melt, the darker land and ocean surfaces that are revealed absorb more of the sun's energy...". Google search terms arctic "global warming" faster ://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=arctic+%22global+warming%22+faster&spell=1 Best wishes, elmarto |
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Subject:
Re: Arctic warming
From: hedgie-ga on 19 Jan 2005 21:57 PST |
Global climate is a dynamical system which contains several feedback loops, the positive one mentioned above (due to high albedo of snow and ice), as well as several negative ones, like the one in the DaisyWorld model. http://www.gi.alaska.edu/ScienceForum/ASF12/1220.html While they all have effect, to consider just one may be too oversimplified, even for just teaching purposes. What is populary called 'global warming' is really a change of the temperature profiles, change in vertical profile in ocean and atmosphere and time-dependent latitude profile. Climate remains a system far from equilibrium, driven by variable stream of sunlight, with huricanes, streams and water cycle. The question ' why the temerature at time T and location (R l e) is T -- is a complex question - as any weather forecast shows. Best way of understanding causal relationships is to work with a computer model.Small model (to fit a PC) running on a numerical grid , may be great teaching tool. Some do exist. This example may be still too complex to be used in the classroom, but it list a small number of parameters, which define outcomes: (This example here is nor Global Warming but Flood model- it shows feasibility of PC based models. To select a good model would take a full search). "..The assumption made in her research was that the oceans were left warmer than today due to all the heat and energy released in the events of the Flood. She found that wind speeds were about 25% stronger with warmer ocean temperatures than today. More precipitation falls at higher ocean temperatures, with much of it falling in mid to high latitudes and the polar regions. Precipitation exceeded 20 millimeters a day over large portions of the polar regions and along continental boundaries. Ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica could have accumulated in less than 500 years under the simulated conditions.." http://www.icr.org/research/misc/climate_modeling.htm |
Subject:
Re: Arctic warming
From: 2marcus-ga on 20 Jan 2005 10:15 PST |
Another reason why tropical regions are expected to warm less is due to "latent heat" - a large amount of the heat that goes into those regions will actually be used to evaporate water rather than increasing surface temperatures. This is also part of the reason why air surface temperatures over land are expected to warm more quickly than over ocean. (The other half being that the high heat capacity of the ocean will provide inertia to warming) Here is a chart of temperatures changes resulting from various emissions scenarios: http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/fig9-10.htm There are other complicated factors involved: possibly differential changes in cloud cover at different latitudes, or slowing of the thermohaline circulation (eg, the gulf stream that brings warm water north), but the retreating ice feedback will probably be the largest factor, with the latent heat issue being second. -Marcus |
Subject:
Re: Arctic warming - few aducational models
From: hedgie-ga on 21 Jan 2005 22:52 PST |
duffer I did (as a free contribution to education :-) looked for PC adaptable models: NASA Releases Free Global Climate Model Software EdGCM easily scales for use at levels from middle school to graduate school .. http://www.edgcm.org/ Burt Model is one of the many resources for teaching climatology/meteorology available at: http://mist.met.ed.ac.uk/calmet Dave Bice has an excellent Global Energy Balance modeling module here ... page, and has converted it to a JAVA based on-line ... At present it runs only on PC platforms http://serc.carleton.edu/introgeo/models/mathematical/examples/GEBM1.html Here is an interesting Distributed model - which runs on a net of home computers (SETI - style) http://dsc.discovery.com/news/afp/20030908/climate.html SEARCH TERMS: PC based global climate model adding few words: PC based global climate model, temperature profile,... brings more specialised studies hedgie |
Subject:
Re: Arctic warming - computed scenarios
From: hedgie-ga on 29 Jan 2005 22:22 PST |
One more comment - since duffer did not came back, to comment on the comments, I suspect that ideas presented so far are still too complex to be of use to a teacher, busy with many other issues. Is that so, duffer? If, so, here is an easier way: Visualisation of scenarios, computed under different assumptions, which show Temperature profiles at different times, predicted by different models. http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/cgi-bin/ddcvis/gcmcf The grid used: http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/asres/scatter_plots/scatterplots_region.html Research centers cooperating om models http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/scenario_links/model_links.html Scientific research presented here, by IPCC, should be differentiated from efforts of various 'think tanks' and political action and industry lobby groups, which peridocaly flood media with headlines like Warning Of Repeat Of Historic Climate Catastrophe (left lunatic fringe) or .confirm that global warming is humbug. ... .(right lunatic fringe) Global Warming is "The Quadrillion Dollar Question", as Gina Smith had said.. it important for public to understand both the research going on and the media game which surrounds it to mask and spin the results. Hedgie |
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