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Subject:
Derive a Probability Function
Category: Science > Math Asked by: sabawi-ga List Price: $5.00 |
Posted:
22 Jan 2005 07:10 PST
Expires: 21 Feb 2005 07:10 PST Question ID: 461474 |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: Derive a Probability Function
From: mathtalk-ga on 22 Jan 2005 10:43 PST |
It is difficult for me to envision this as a probability problem, at least without further assumptions about "x(t)". Assuming the position function x(t) is given as continuous, the set of points visited during the interval [0,T] is simply: S(T) := [ min(x[0,T]),max(x[0,T]) ] where x[0,T] is an abbreviation for {x(t) : 0 <= t <= T}. I suppose that one can describe the "probability" as 1 for x in S(T) and 0 for x outside of S(T), but this seems a trivial observation. Presumably there are some additional assumptions to be made about x(t) which contribute to an interpretation in terms of probability. For example, we might "replace" x(t) by a random process X(t) and specify that X(t) satisfies a stochastic differential equation. Such problems arise in portfolio management and other "financial analytics" applications, where one wishes to estimate the likelihood of reaching an investment object within a "horizon" of time T. See for example: [Brownian motion -- Wikipedia] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brownian_motion regards, mathtalk-ga |
Subject:
Re: Derive a Probability Function
From: hfshaw-ga on 24 Jan 2005 13:35 PST |
Ditto on what mathtalk has written. In addition, you should be aware that for any continuous probability distribution function (that is, excluding "pathological" cases such as when the pdf is composed of a sum of delta functions), the probability of finding the object at an *exact* position, x, is exactly and precisely zero. Continuous distributions don't work like discrete probability distributions (see, for example <http://www.mathworks.com/access/helpdesk/help/toolbox/stats/prob_di7.html>, or any basic probability text). What you *can* ask (and answer, if you have the distribution) is "what is the probability that x lies between the two values X1 and X2". |
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