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Subject:
Probability
Category: Science > Math Asked by: syberkhanx-ga List Price: $5.00 |
Posted:
31 Jan 2005 15:52 PST
Expires: 02 Mar 2005 15:52 PST Question ID: 466589 |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: Probability
From: mongolia-ga on 31 Jan 2005 16:09 PST |
1- (35/36)**24 35/36 probability that a double six will NOT show when 1 dice is rolled (35/36)**24 probability that double six will never show when dice is rolled 24 times. 1- (35/36)**24 probability that double six will appear at least once. Mongolia |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: pkuanko-ga on 31 Jan 2005 18:25 PST |
Mongolia's answer is correct. In case you're not sure, the ** stands for "raised to the power of", so the answer is 1 - (35/36)^24 = 0.491, roughly about 50%. In other words, there is roughly about 50% chance that you will roll at least one pair of sixes out of 24 rolls. |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: mongolia-ga on 01 Feb 2005 11:57 PST |
pkuanko many thanks for actually evaluating my expression. I tried to use microsoft's bogstandard calculator. However as it does not have a 'power to' I got lazy and gave up. I have though since used Google's calculator which is actually pretty cool. (it even allows you to do calculations with complex numbers Boy I was impressed!!) Merci Mongolia |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: mongolia-ga on 02 Feb 2005 09:58 PST |
hi syberkhanx As pkuanko and myself are not Google researchers we cannot actually 'formally' answer your question as an actual researcher can. As our comments have I believe answered your question then I expect no researcher will attempt to 'answer' your question. Since non reserchers do not get paid this should be a freebie. As someone who uses this service from time to time , sometimes non researchers will provide the answer. Both researchers and non-researchers can provide comments (researcher names are coloured blue and non researchers are coloured black. You may wish to look up question 232837 as a good example of a non-researcher coming up with the correct answer. Many Thanks Mongolia |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: pkuanko-ga on 02 Feb 2005 17:10 PST |
To Syberkhanx: You don't have to do anything. Just let the question expire and you save 5 bucks. I don't think any researcher worth his salt would post an answer after the correct answer has been given in the comments. To Mongolia: You may wish to look up question 466945 as a good example of a researcher coming up with an incorrect answer! |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: pkuanko-ga on 02 Feb 2005 18:17 PST |
To Mongolia: Sorry, the incorrect solution in 466945 didn't come from a reseacher. I thought it did, because after his solution, he asked "Do you accept this as an answer?" and I thought he was going to post his incorrect solution as the answer. Best regards, pkuanko |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: manuka-ga on 08 Feb 2005 01:35 PST |
Note that Microsoft's calculator *does* provide a power key, you just have to switch to the Scientific view. It also has lots of other nice buttons. I use it as my main calculator (after the one in my head). I actually tend to forget that by default it doesn't have all the interesting bits. |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: mongolia-ga on 11 Feb 2005 03:29 PST |
dear manuka you are absolutely right. I just brought up the scientific version and its pretty good. Well you do soemtimes learn something new. Many Thanks Mongolia |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: mattzone-ga on 06 Mar 2005 22:31 PST |
Answer: 1 in 36, the same as the original odds. Why? No matter how many times the dice are rolled, the probability of any particular combination neither increases or decreases because the number of dice sides remains the same. Bonus: The correct answer to 466945 was 33.3 %. Given that 1 out of 100 people would actually contract the disease and get a positive test result, and 2 out of 100 people would receive a false positive test result, the odds of the test result being correct are 1 in 3, or 33.3 %. I don't know if the researchers aren't answering these questions because they are sometimes homework questions, or what. |
Subject:
Re: Probability
From: mongolia-ga on 07 Mar 2005 08:47 PST |
Mattzone I am not sure if you misread the original question or simply do not have an understanding of basic Probability theory. Yes you are of course right in saying that the probability for EACH throw of the dice is 1 in 36 (and yes one throw is unaffected by another) However the question asked what is the probability of getting AT LEAST 1 double six in 24 throws of the dice. I believe the answer PKUANKO and myself came up with (i.e. probability of .491) is correct and furthermore this has been accepted by the original questioner. Regarding your last comment about researchers not answering questions. There are many reasons why a question may not be answered by a Google researcher including the one you allude to (i.e. homework). In this case however I tend to believe that the Google researchers did not answer the question as the relevant comments in effect answered the question. Any official answer could not really have added anything more to the question and so an official answer in this case would have been inappropiate and/or tacky. I also think your comment may have simply confused or clouded the answer to the original question. Regarding your comment about question 466945, I will of course let the participents in this particular question speak for themselves. Many Thanks Mongolia |
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