Baseball2 ?
Early in my finance career, I did virtually the same calculation ? the
difference being that we could depreciate the car or take the lease
payments as straight expense. We decided to lease because the IRR was
so low that it was lower than our corporate cost-of-money.
Okay, with that side story aside, let?s go through the PURCHASE and
LEASE options and their discounted cash flow. BTW, you have set the
problem up correctly ? except for the fact that leases are generally
paid IN ADVANCE ? so year 1 lease is $5,000/1 and year 2 is
$5,000/1.12, etc.
But first let?s do every year?s NPV factor before figuring the
discounted cash flow (DCF) for each option:
NPV FACTOR:
Year 0: 1
Year 1: 1/1.12 = 0.8929
Year 2: 1/(1.12)^2 = 0.7972
Year 3: 1/(1.12)^3 = 0.7118
Year 4: 1/(1.12)^4 = 0.6355
Year 5: 1/(1.12)^5 = 0.5674
DCF of PURCHASE
Year 0: -$25,000
Year 5: +$5,000 * 0.5674 = $2,337
===========================
DCF of PURCHASE = - $22,663
===========================
DCF of LEASE
Year 0: -$5,000
Year 1: -$5,000 * 0.8929 = -$4,465
Year 2: -$5,000 * 0.7972 = -$3,986
Year 3: -$5,000 * 0.7118 = -$3,559
Year 4: -$5,000 * 0.6355 = -$3,178
========================
DCF of LEASE = -$20,188
========================
As in the case of my analysis, the lease has a smaller negative number
and is more attractive. However, note that this example excludes any
tax impact.
Best regards,
Omnivorous-GA |