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Subject:
Even disbursment of birthdays, or no?
Category: Reference, Education and News > General Reference Asked by: idledebonair-ga List Price: $2.00 |
Posted:
24 Sep 2005 03:55 PDT
Expires: 24 Oct 2005 03:55 PDT Question ID: 571951 |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: Even disbursment of birthdays, or no?
From: omnivorous-ga on 24 Sep 2005 04:11 PDT |
Idledebonair -- This is an interesting one, as it's tough to find precise terms for a good search strategy. Here's one Google search strategy that seems to produce good results: "daily birth" statistics The BBC says, "Long dark winter nights result in a high number of summer births, according to new statistics. There is also a peak in September, nine months after Christmas conceptions." But you have to look out for 2 things: 1. as the BBC article notes, with Caesarean or induced labor births the date isn't so much related to date of conception but whether or not the obstetrician is working weekends. 2. There's a common belief that major events lead to increases in the birth rate. Indeed, the BBC story attributes that belief to a midwife. One of the great living urban legends is that after the New York City blackout (1966), births increased dramatically. The NY Times had a role in perpetuating this myth, which statisticians have debunked: Snopes.com http://www.snopes.com/pregnant/blackout.htm I'll be interested to see what other researchers and commenters turn up. Best regards, Omnivorous-GA |
Subject:
Re: Even disbursment of birthdays, or no?
From: idledebonair-ga on 24 Sep 2005 09:38 PDT |
Yes, isn't it a difficult one? I consider myself to be fairly crafty at finding search terms but this one has me stumped. It started as a conversation about why my friend knew so many people with September birthdays(!), but I had reasoned that considering the sheer amount of the people and that there are many people that do not celebrate Christmas (the Chinese come to mind) that statistics must take over. One idea was maybe it was linked to the temperature outside but we thought that the two hemispheres would balance that out. We thought, however, that maybe if people were more likely to copulate during the Spring, for example, there would be two peaks during the year, one for each hemisphere. I am still researching but have yet to find conclusive evidence. |
Subject:
Re: Even disbursment of birthdays, or no?
From: myoarin-ga on 24 Sep 2005 10:18 PDT |
There is also the urban legend -or fact - that nine months after 9/11 there was a surge of births in USA and the explanation that in times of crisis, people feel the urge to propagate. There is a similar one about more males being born during wars. Northern vs southern hemisphere: There are way more people in the north, so that won't balance out. Caesarean births should only make a couple of days difference. Xmas: in Germany, where carnival (mardi gras) is celebrated in some regions with some excesses, it is joked that there is a surge in winter births - and more jokes about the possible fathers. And then there are theories about the best time for kids to be born to survive, if nature (Darwin's theory) has any effect. Should that be in summer, a less strenuous climate for a suckling infant? Fits well with those first cool autumn evenings. Or should the pregnant mother not have to eat for two in the winter and early spring when food was sparse? My kids: one in summer vacation, the other, after New Year's eve. :) |
Subject:
Re: Even disbursment of birthdays, or no?
From: archae0pteryx-ga on 24 Sep 2005 16:20 PDT |
Believe you mean "distribution" (spread), not "disbursement" (payout). |
Subject:
Re: Even disbursment of birthdays, or no?
From: pafalafa-ga on 24 Sep 2005 16:54 PDT |
In 1978, in the US, at least, the distribution was decidedly not even, ranging from a bit more than 7,000 births per day, to a bit less than 11,000. And as one of the comments already noted, peak births were in September: http://math.hope.edu/swanson/statlabs/proj1_sample.html |
Subject:
Re: Even disbursment of birthdays, or no?
From: archae0pteryx-ga on 29 Sep 2005 21:45 PDT |
Maternity nurses report the same thing. It's anecdotal only, but there's something to it: their busiest period of the year is September. "Those holiday parties!" says one, rolling her eyes. Archae0pteryx |
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