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Q: Finding a stock price with other financial information ( Answered 5 out of 5 stars,   0 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Finding a stock price with other financial information
Category: Business and Money > Finance
Asked by: aufordboy-ga
List Price: $50.00
Posted: 19 Oct 2005 11:01 PDT
Expires: 18 Nov 2005 10:01 PST
Question ID: 582188
Company A will not issue any dividends for the next three years.  The
company expects to pay a $0.50 dividend on the 4th year, a $0.75
dividend the 5th, and then increase dividends by 3 percent each year
thereafter.  If the required rate of return in the market for stocks
of this risk is 18%, what is the current price of a share of Company
A's stock?  What is the stock price & how do you find it?
Answer  
Subject: Re: Finding a stock price with other financial information
Answered By: juggler-ga on 19 Oct 2005 12:07 PDT
Rated:5 out of 5 stars
 
Hello.

The theoretical current price, or present value, of the stock is the
combined value of:
(1) the present value of the dividends for the 4th and 5th years; and
(2) the present value of the stream of dividends beginning in the
sixth year.

Let's start with part (1):
The formula we use is Present Value = C4/(1+r)^4 + C5/(1+r)^5
where C4 is the dividend for the 4th year (i.e., $0.50), C5 is the
dividend for the 5th year (i.e., $0.75) and "r" is the required rate
of return (i.e., 18% or 0.18).
Present Value = C4/(1+r)^4 + C5/(1+r)^5
PV = 0.50/(1+.18)^4 + 0.75/(1+.18)^5
PV = 0.25789     +   0.3278 
PV = 0.5857

Now we move on to (2) the present value of the stream of dividends
beginning in the sixth year.

In the 6th year, the dividend will grow 3%, so it will be:
$0.75 * 1.03 =  $0.7725

From that point on, the dividend will continue to grow at 3%.  Thus,
we treat this as a growing perpetuity that begins in the 6th year.

The formula for present value of this delayed growing perpetuity is
PV = [C6 / r - g ] *  [(1 / 1 + r)^(t - 1)]
where C6 is the dividend in the sixth year (i.e., $0.7725), r is the discount
rate (0.18), g is the growth rate (i.e., 3% or .03), and t is the time
period (year 6 here).
PV = [C6 / r - g ] *  [(1 / 1 + r)^(t - 1)]
PV = [0.7725 / 0.18 - .03] * [(1 / 1 + .18)^(6 - 1)]
PV = [0.7725 / 0.15] * [(1 /1.18)^5]
PV =     5.15       * 0.4371 
PV = 2.251

Finally, we must combine the present value of the dividends for the
4th and 5th years (i.e., 0.5857) with the present value of the stream
of dividends beginning in the 6th year (i.e., 2.251).
0.5857 + 2.251 =  2.84

Thus, the theoretical current price, or present value, of the stock is $2.84.

See this powerpoint on Corporate Finance for more information:
http://waltoncollege.uark.edu/lab/CWann/Powerpoint/Chap004.ppt
------
search strategy:
"delayed growing perpetuity"

Thanks.
aufordboy-ga rated this answer:5 out of 5 stars

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