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Subject:
Probability Question
Category: Science > Math Asked by: vik295-ga List Price: $2.00 |
Posted:
16 Nov 2005 09:10 PST
Expires: 16 Dec 2005 09:10 PST Question ID: 593771 |
I am looking for a solution to this problem: A dating service finds that 15% of all couples it matches eventually get married. In the next 50 matches that the service makes, find the probability that at least 6 couples marry. |
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There is no answer at this time. |
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Subject:
Re: Probability Question
From: feldersoft-ga on 16 Nov 2005 10:41 PST |
There a formula for doing this called the Binomial Probability Formula: http://www.mathwords.com/b/binomial_probability_formula.htm The formula looks like: P(x) = nCx * p^x * q^(n-x) n = number of trials x = number of successes among n trials p = probability of success in any one trial q = probability of failure in any one trial (q = 1 - p) nCx = combinations of n items, choose x This gives you P(6 out of 50 get married) = 50C60 * .15^6 * .85^(50-6) The first thing to do is to figure out how many different combinations there are. So you need to know how many different ways there are for 6 couples to be chosen out of 50, or 50 choose 6. There happens to be formula for doing that: http://mathforum.org/dr.math/faq/faq.comb.perm.html So...we get 50!/6!(50-6)!, this works out to be 15890700 So P(6 of 50 get married) = 15890700 * .15^6 * .85^(50-6) P(6 of 50 get married) ~ 14% |
Subject:
Re: Probability Question
From: feldersoft-ga on 16 Nov 2005 10:42 PST |
Woops...that's 50C6 not 50C60...typo...doesn't effect the answer though... |
Subject:
Re: Probability Question
From: guru_ghantal-ga on 16 Nov 2005 10:51 PST |
Most of the previous comment is correct with a minor correction. Since the answer requires to find the probability of atleast 6 marriages, the correct answer would be P(at least 6 marriages) = Sum(P(n)), where n = 6 .. 50 OR = 1 - Sum (P(n)), where n = 0 .. 5 |
Subject:
Re: Probability Question
From: feldersoft-ga on 16 Nov 2005 10:55 PST |
doh! you're right...didn't notice that at least 6 part. |
Subject:
Re: Probability Question
From: guru_ghantal-ga on 16 Nov 2005 11:04 PST |
When you work out the math, the final answer should come out to about 78%. |
Subject:
Re: Probability Question
From: vik295-ga on 16 Nov 2005 11:33 PST |
Thanks Guru-Ghantal and Feldersoft The reason I am asking these is because I am trying to impress a women who is having probability as a paper in school and she thinks that I am very math type person. So be prepared for more questions coming my way, ofcourse, she will submit it to her professor who will be evaluating it. But many thanks guys. Regards |
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