|
|
Subject:
Compounded interest rates for the past sixty years
Category: Miscellaneous Asked by: jillina-ga List Price: $5.00 |
Posted:
01 Dec 2005 20:29 PST
Expires: 31 Dec 2005 20:29 PST Question ID: 600374 |
If I had saved $400 a month in a commerical saving bank, at the the prevaiing compounded interest rates, how much would I have accumulated in 60 years. (1945 to 2005.)? |
|
Subject:
Re: Compounded interest rates for the past sixty years
Answered By: hedgie-ga on 03 Dec 2005 21:19 PST Rated: |
Jillina The hard part of this question is What Was the Interest Rate Then? as discussed at great length e.g. here http://www.eh.net/hmit/interest_rate/intstudy.pdf In less detail: "..U.S. per capita incomes (average incomes per person) are now $40,000, triple their level 60 years ago...now.. the benefits from defeating double-digit inflation are fading. Remember: in 1979, inflation peaked at 13% in the U.S.; now it's 1% to 3%, depending on the measure. The steep decline led to big drops in interest rates and big increases in stock prices (as interest rates fell, money shifted to stocks). Stocks are 12 times their 1982 level. Lower interest rates and higher stock prices encouraged borrowing and spending. But these are one-time stimulants. Mortgage rates in the U.S. can't again fall from 15% (1982) to today's 5.7%..." During the inflation on seventies the value of money changed as shown nicely on the graph on the page 4 of this study: http://www.stanford.edu/~mckinnon/ briefs/salvatoreJEPMKenen.pdf Nominal interest rate tends to be (roughly) a constant added to the inflation and that constant is (roughly) the 'real interst rate', defined here: http://www.treas.gov/offices/economic-policy/ long_term_rates_socialsecurity.pdf which shows "historical interest rates and estimates derived from Treasury inflation-.indexed securities. ... 1950. 1960. 1970. 1980. 1990. 2000 ..." Anyway, judging from the price of your question, you do not really care about such a detailed analysis, so: eyeballing chart 1 on page 4 of the above report we can choose nominal rate to be 5% most of that time. We enter that into one of many calculatorson the web SEARCH TERM:saving interest rate calculator we pick this one http://www.sorted.org.nz/calculators/regular-savings/page2.php and get The calculations below are based on saving $400.00 per month at a real rate of return of 5.00% per annum. These savings amounts are regularly adjusted for inflation. There is an initial savings amount of $0.00. You will have saved $1,735,753.44 after 60 years. Your savings $288,000.00 Net real earnings on savings $1,447,753.44 Total in today's dollars $1,735,753.44 Hedgie |
jillina-ga
rated this answer:
I was very happy with the answer and links. I realize this is not a complicated question, but beyond my capabilities. Unfortunately, I have not save $400 a month for the past sixty years. I've had to live on my income. For you who have answered this: start saving, investing and watch that money grow. |
|
Subject:
Re: Compounded interest rates for the past sixty years
From: myoarin-ga on 04 Dec 2005 10:09 PST |
Jillina-ga, You are absolutely right, it is the money one invests when one is young that is going to make one self-sufficient later in life. In relation to the calculation, it is worth reflecting on the actual possibilitiy of someone in the 1940s being able to save $400 per month. These sites give the average salary in the decades of the 40s, 50s, 60s and 70s: http://kclibrary.nhmccd.edu/decade40.html http://kclibrary.nhmccd.edu/decade50.html http://kclibrary.nhmccd.edu/decade60.html http://kclibrary.nhmccd.edu/decade70.html an increase from $ 1299 in the 40s to $7564 in the 70s. Of course, a lot of this had to do with changing occupations - a decline in the farm population, etc. Interesting is that in the 40s and 60s (probably in the 50s, too) teachers earned above the average - but again, the occupational demographics played a strong role, no doubt. |
Subject:
Re: Compounded interest rates for the past sixty years
From: jillina-ga on 31 Dec 2005 13:39 PST |
Yes, I realize that $400.00 a month would be almost impossible to save in the forties and fifties. I used that figure because I calculated one could probably have saved $500 a month in the sixties, $600 in the seventies and $700 in the eighties and $1,000 in the ninties and 2000's. I tried to use one set of figures to make it easier. I didn't factor in CD's, IRA's, mutual funds and all that other "stuff" because I thought it would make my question far too complicated. (Remember it's a five dollar question.) I do remember when certain funds were paying ten percent interest. I wasn't part of it, because we never had enough to invest. However, as I reflect back, had I handled the finances, we probably would have. Least you think I'm living in poverty, I'm not. I'm handling my pension, social security and my deceased husbnad's penison just fine. However, I am living on income, not savings. I started college at forty and went on to get my Masters Degree. That put me at 46 before I could start getting paid a decent salary. At that time it was $8,000 a year. When I retired, seventeen years later, I was making $46,000. I had to retire earlier than I wanted to to take care of my husband due to his failing health. But that's another story. My question is almost rehtorical. I know living a life full of regrets doesn't bring happiness. Therefore, I don't dwell on the "What if's" and "If only's" My original thought and the ultimate bottom line, to which which you concur, is start early, let the money accrue and than you won't be writing notes like this. You will also be at the least a millionaire and maybe a mullt- millionaire. You are a gret reseacher, I appreciate your efforts and have looked up the links. Thanks, again. |
If you feel that you have found inappropriate content, please let us know by emailing us at answers-support@google.com with the question ID listed above. Thank you. |
Search Google Answers for |
Google Home - Answers FAQ - Terms of Service - Privacy Policy |