Dear marinibug-ga;
Thank you for allowing me to answer your interesting question. With
blooming technology in this areas and increased unpredictability about
world issues that can have a dramatic impact on the urgency of fuel
cell vehicles, it is difficult to say for certain precisely when fuel
cell vehicles will hit the commercial market. What we can do however
is sample what some major manufacturers have said and predicted and
use that information to get a glimpse at some of the tentative target
dates and expectations.
DaimlerChrysler is quoted as having said that its fuel cell are not
likely to be commercially available in quantity until at least 2010.
FUEL CELL CAR COASTS ACROSS U.S.
http://www.wired.com/news/print/0,1294,52877,00.html
Ballard, a Canadian/U.S./German fuel-cell manufacturer, says the same thing:
?The next generation of fuel-cell autos will be tested in 2007/2008 ?
but the first vehicles will not be available for purchase until after
2010?
FUEL-CELL AUTOMOBILES: NOT COMMERCIALLY AVAILABLE UNTIL AFTER 2010
http://www.initiative-brennstoffzelle.de/ibz/live/nachrichten/show.php3?id=105&nodeid=0&art=e
General Motors is also shooting for 2010 while Honda and Toyota are
believed to try to get on the bandwagon somewhat earlier in order to
get a fast foothold on the market:
?GM's models won't be commercially available until 2010 but that's
part of its strategy. Honda and Toyota's game plan, in comparison, is
to take the losses up front in order to jump in front of the fuel cell
race.
On the other hand, the American vehicle manufacturer Vectrix plans to
launch a fuel cell motor scooter in 2006.
FUEL CELL SCOOTER SCHEDULED FOR MARKET LAUNCH IN 2006
http://www.initiative-brennstoffzelle.de/ibz/live/nachrichten/show.php3?id=129&nodeid=0&art=e
More realistically perhaps comes this information from the Alternative
Fuel Cell Vehicle Institute, which is probably the most knowledgeable
and credible source on the subject, which says, ??the reality is that
fuel cell vehicles will not be commercially available until 2020 at
the earliest.?
ALTERNATIVE FUEL CELL VEHICLE INSTITUTE
http://www.afvi.org/
I hope you find that my answer exceeds your expectations. If you have
any questions about my research please post a clarification request
prior to rating the answer. Otherwise I welcome your rating and your
final comments and I look forward to working with you again in the
near future. Thank you for bringing your question to us.
Best regards;
Tutuzdad-ga ? Google Answers Researcher
INFORMATION SOURCES
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Fuel cell
Alternative
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Commercially available |