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Q: Probability - mathematics ( No Answer,   2 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Probability - mathematics
Category: Science > Math
Asked by: toolroom-ga
List Price: $10.00
Posted: 29 Dec 2005 17:02 PST
Expires: 05 Jan 2006 09:27 PST
Question ID: 611115
In a small company 3 workers share 1 tool.  In a large company 300
workers share 100 tools.  If each worker needed to use the tool 15
minutes per hour (or day) how would you calculate the probability that
the tool would be available?  What is the formula to change the
variables (number of employees / number of tools / times of use per
day).  The use is always random, not scheduled.  Would there be more
chance of availability as the number of tools and workers increased?
Answer  
There is no answer at this time.

Comments  
Subject: Re: Probability - mathematics
From: myoarin-ga on 29 Dec 2005 18:17 PST
 
This has got to be homework.  Read the FAQs.
Subject: Re: Probability - mathematics
From: mathtalk-ga on 05 Jan 2006 08:31 PST
 
The general area of mathematics that treats this is queueing theory,
often covered in operations research books and classes.  The
information presented does not entirely allow for a computation, so
with due respect to myoarin-ga's concern, I suspect this is motivated
by either a practical or theoretical interest in the subject.  Similar
problems must be addressed in scheduling of a multiprocessor
computer's CPUs.

There can be different "protocols" when more than one queue (tool) is
involved, but generally speaking if the queues (tools) are shared
among requestors, then a more efficient utilization (less wait time)
obtains.  If the 100 tools are designated each to a group of three
workers, then we have done nothing to improve efficiency over of the 3
workers sharing 1 tool, as indeed we've merely multiplied that
situation a hundredfold.

Many queuing models will treat the case where the "service time", here
designated as 15 minutes, is itself a probabilistic and not
deterministic interval.  That is, 15 minutes might be an average value
and not a fixed one.

In the present circumstance that three workers will each need to use
the tool only once during an eight-hour shift, for exactly 15 minutes,
one can take the "arrival times" of the three requests to be randomly
and uniformly distributed in the 8 hour interval.  You can work out
the exact answer for the 3 on 1 case.  Clearly the probability of
"collision" is low but not negligibly small, as the first request
removes up to half an hour from the shift, during which another
request would create a "tool" conflict.


regards, mathtalk-ga

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