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Q: Probability ( No Answer,   4 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Probability
Category: Science > Math
Asked by: mojomabris-ga
List Price: $2.00
Posted: 09 Apr 2006 22:29 PDT
Expires: 09 May 2006 22:29 PDT
Question ID: 717306
in a book, the mean number of errors per chapter is 0.8. What is the
probability that there are less than 2 errors in a particular chapter?

Clarification of Question by mojomabris-ga on 10 Apr 2006 15:53 PDT
well, that's all I was given. to me it looks like the Poisson
distribution formula can be used, I just don't know how. is this
possible?
Answer  
There is no answer at this time.

Comments  
Subject: Re: Probability
From: jack_of_few_trades-ga on 10 Apr 2006 11:38 PDT
 
I don't think there is enough information provided to give a correct answer.

Do you know the standard deviation or variance... # of chapters could
even help if there aren't many.
Subject: Re: Probability
From: ansel001-ga on 10 Apr 2006 14:12 PDT
 
Jack_of_few_trades is correct, you do need more information.  What
type of distribution is it?  The Poisson distribution is often used
for counting things.  If it is the Poisson distribution, the mean and
the variance are the same.
Subject: Re: Probability
From: kottekoe-ga on 10 Apr 2006 18:45 PDT
 
Since no additional information is given, we have to assume that the
errors are randomly distributed. I won't give the solution for this
homework problem, but I'll give a hint. This is identical to the case
of radioactive decay. Suppose the average number of decays from a lump
of uranium is 0.8 in one second, what is the probability of 0 decays
in one second? What is the probability of 1 decay? Add them up.
Subject: Re: Probability
From: ansel001-ga on 12 Apr 2006 16:12 PDT
 
Here is a link to an explanation of the Poisson distribution.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution

It is a discrete distribution.  You can calculate the number of
occurrences expected for a given mean.  Here is the formula for k
occurrences for a given mean ?.

The formula is f(k|?) = [e^(-?)]*(?^k)/k!

The probability of less than two occurrences (errors) is the sum of
the probabilities of zero and one errors.

f(0|0.8) = 0.449329
f(1|0.8) = 0.359463

Sum      = 0.808792

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