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Q: Statistics ( Answered 5 out of 5 stars,   0 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Statistics
Category: Reference, Education and News > Homework Help
Asked by: brkyrhrt99_00-ga
List Price: $5.00
Posted: 04 Oct 2002 11:18 PDT
Expires: 03 Nov 2002 10:18 PST
Question ID: 72511
if Z~N(0,1), compute f(t)=E(e^tZ) and use the result to compute E(Z^4).
Anyone please help.
Answer  
Subject: Re: Statistics
Answered By: rbnn-ga on 04 Oct 2002 12:15 PDT
Rated:5 out of 5 stars
 
Thank you for posing this question. It is an interesting question with
a surprisingly simple and elegant solution.

The function f(t) you define is known as the moment generating
function for a normal
distribution. http://www.plmsc.psu.edu/~www/matsc597/probability/moments/moments.html
.

Once you compute the moment generating function, it turns out you can
easily compute all the moments of a distribution.

The actual computation of the moment generating function for a normal
distribution is performed in the course notes:

http://www.qmw.ac.uk/~ugte133/courses/MATHSTAT/6normgf.pdf . (You will
need a pdf reader to view this URL, which you can get from this URL:
http://www.adobe.com/products/acrobat/readstep.html .

Please see equations 2, 3, and 4 on page 1 of that document.

If you have any questions about their derivation, I would be happy to
answer them. I am not redoing their work here since actually integrals
and quotients can be a little bit hard to read in text.

The answer turns out to be, by the way, 

f(t)= e^( (t^2)/2)

To use this value to compute the expectation of Z^4, we follow the
derivation on the presentation of moment generating functions at:

http://www.plmsc.psu.edu/~www/matsc597/probability/moments/moments.html
and specifically: http://www.plmsc.psu.edu/~www/matsc597/probability/moments/node4.html
.

Recall that 

(*)    e^x= 1 + x + x^2/2! + x^3 /3! ...

Hence, 

f(t) = E(e^(tZ))
     = E( 1 + tZ + t^2/2! Z^2 + ...)

      = E(1) + E(tZ) + E(t^2/2! Z^2 + ...)

(**)  = 1 + tE(Z) + t^2/2! E(Z^2) + t^3/3! E(Z^3) + t^4/4! E(Z^4) +
....


But we know already that 

f(t)= e^( (t^2)/2)
    = 1 + t^2/2 + (t^2/2)^2/2! + ...
    = 1 + t^2/2 + t^4/8 + ...

from the defintion of exponetial (*) above.

We now have two expressions for f(t), the above and that of (**) .

Equating the coefficients of t^4, we see that

E(Z^4) /4! = 1/8

so 

E(Z^4) = 4!/8 = 3 .

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Request for Answer Clarification by brkyrhrt99_00-ga on 05 Oct 2002 08:25 PDT
I am rerally unclear at how you derive at 3.  I understand how you
find the moment generating function.  But from then on I am lost

Clarification of Answer by rbnn-ga on 05 Oct 2002 10:15 PDT
I'd be happy to clarify, but first, I don't know what you mean by the
comment:

"I am rerally unclear at how you derive at 3."


What is 3?

Also, do you mean that you are ok with the derivation that
f(t)=E(e^(t^2)/2) ?

If so, just tell me where things start to get unclear, i.e. which
line.

(By the way when I first saw this proof it also seemed somehow magical
and strange to me; all this machinery that doesn't have anything to do
with E(Z^4) somehow E(Z^4) just falls out.

Request for Answer Clarification by brkyrhrt99_00-ga on 05 Oct 2002 10:52 PDT
this is where I am lost:
(*)    e^x= 1 + x + x^2/2! + x^3 /3! ... 
 
Hence,  
 
f(t) = E(e^(tZ)) 
     = E( 1 + tZ + t^2/2! Z^2 + ...) 
 
      = E(1) + E(tZ) + E(t^2/2! Z^2 + ...) 
 
(**)  = 1 + tE(Z) + t^2/2! E(Z^2) + t^3/3! E(Z^3) + t^4/4! E(Z^4) +
....
 
 
But we know already that  
 
f(t)= e^( (t^2)/2) 
    = 1 + t^2/2 + (t^2/2)^2/2! + ... 
    = 1 + t^2/2 + t^4/8 + ... 
 
from the defintion of exponetial (*) above. 
 
We now have two expressions for f(t), the above and that of (**) . 
 
Equating the coefficients of t^4, we see that 
 
E(Z^4) /4! = 1/8 
 
so  
 
E(Z^4) = 4!/8 = 3 .

Clarification of Answer by rbnn-ga on 05 Oct 2002 13:44 PDT
I will begin by recalling some basic facts about Taylor series.

[Taylor Series fact] Every infinitely differentiable function g(x) can
be written in a Taylor series:

g(x) = a_0 + a_1 x + a_2 x^2 + a_3 x^3 + ... 

where

a_i is constant value equal to the i'th derivative of g, evaluated at
0, divided by i! (i!, of course, is 1 * 2 * 3 *...* i ):

a_0 = g(0)

a_1 = g'(0)/1!

a_2 = g''(0)/2!

a_3 = g'''(0)/3!

...


[Power series fact] If it is also the case that


g(x) = b_0 + b_1 x + b_2 x^2 + b_3 x^3 + ... 

then a_i = b_i everywhere .

The above are some facts from calculus that we will use in the
following.

I will now clarify my original derivation, with new comments in
brackets.

(*)    e^x= 1 + x + x^2/2! + x^3 /3! ...

[This is the taylor series expansion of e^x . It holds because the
i'th derivative of e^x equals e^x; when evaluated at 0, therefore, the
i'th derivative of e^x is therefore equal to e^0 which is 1. It
follows from the formula after "Taylor series fact" above]

Hence, 

f(t) = E(e^(tZ))

[This is the definition of f(t) ]

     = E( 1 + tZ + t^2/2! Z^2 + ...)

[We are simply rewriting e^(tZ) using the formula (*), where "x" is
replaced by "tZ"]

      = E(1) + E(tZ) + E(t^2/2! Z^2) + ...

[We are using the fact that the sum of the expectations of random
variables is equal to the expectation of the sum of these variables]

(**)  = 1 + tE(Z) + t^2/2! E(Z^2) + t^3/3! E(Z^3) + t^4/4! E(Z^4) +
....

[Here, remember that t is a a constant. So we are using that the fact
that, if Y is a random variable, and if a is any constant, then E( aY
) = a E(Y) .]

But we know already that 

f(t)= e^( (t^2)/2) 

[We now have two expressions for f(t). The one in ** and the one we
proved, this one, in the first part of the problem ]

    = 1 + t^2/2 + (t^2/2)^2/2! + ...

[This uses the expression (*) above, with x replaced by t^2/2 .]

[Let's call the following equation (***)]

    = 1 + t^2/2 + t^4/8 + ...

[This just writes out the first few terms. We are only interested in
the coefficient of t^4.]

from the definition of exponetial (*) above.

We now have two expressions for f(t), the above and that of (**) .

[The first expression for f(t) that we found is expression (**) and
the second is expression (***):

(**) f(t)= 1 + tE(Z) + t^2/2! E(Z^2) + t^3/3! E(Z^3) + t^4/4! E(Z^4) +
....
(**) f(t)= 1 + 0t     +t^2/2         + 0t^3          + t^4/8         +
...

]


Equating the coefficients of t^4, we see that

[Recall from "power series fact" above that if two power series equal
the same funtion, the coefficients of each term must be equal. Hence,
the coefficients of t^4 in the two expressions for f(t) above must be
equal. These coefficients are E(Z^4)/4! and 1/8 for (**) and (***)
respectively. Hence: ]

   E(Z^4) /4! = 1/8

so 

   E(Z^4) = 4!/8 = 3 .

[We just multiplied 

[That is since 4!/8 = 4 * 3 * 2 * 1 / 8 = 3]
brkyrhrt99_00-ga rated this answer:5 out of 5 stars
thanks a lot

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