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Q: E-Commerce growth & forecast growth ( Answered 5 out of 5 stars,   0 Comments )
Subject: E-Commerce growth & forecast growth
Category: Business and Money > eCommerce
Asked by: tholzel-ga
List Price: $50.00
Posted: 03 Nov 2004 13:41 PST
Expires: 03 Dec 2004 13:41 PST
Question ID: 424040
Looking for a single measure of the past growth of eCommerce,
referably world-wide, and its forecast growth in dollars.  This
measure could be for eCommerce in genral, or--ideally--internet
shopping.  Say the last five years of total revenue with a forecast of
the next 3-5 years

Request for Question Clarification by pinkfreud-ga on 03 Nov 2004 13:48 PST
Is this the kind of thing you're looking for?

Clarification of Question by tholzel-ga on 03 Nov 2004 14:22 PST
No.  That's just a lot of individual events.  I'm looking for a growth
curve of eCommerce or shopping search engines.  That means the same
parameter over a a period of years, plus a couple of years of

Request for Question Clarification by pafalafa-ga on 04 Nov 2004 08:08 PST
hello tholzel-ga,

Well...I'm finding some past growth information, and I'm finding some
forecast information, but oddly enough, nothing that has both together
in a readily comparable set of numbers.

The numbers probably exist in some of the high-price marketing reports
that are available on e-commerce, but not enough of the data from
these has been made public to piece together long-term trends and
projection information.

Would a few separate reports -- that cover the past few years, current
spending, and future forecasts -- meet your needs?

Let me know.


Clarification of Question by tholzel-ga on 04 Nov 2004 10:30 PST
<<Would a few separate reports -- that cover the past few years, current
spending, and future forecasts -- meet your needs?>>

As long as I can take those figures and come up with a single graph
with a reasonable provinance showing past and projected eCommerce
dollar volume.

Jupiter Media and eMarketer would seem good sources.

Request for Question Clarification by pafalafa-ga on 04 Nov 2004 12:02 PST
Hello again.

Thanks for getting back to me som quickly.  During my research, I came
across something that comes closer than anything else I've seen to
what you are asking for.  Take a look at the graph on this page:,6454,83,00.html's for the US, rather than worldwide, but it has a specific
focus on retail commerce (i.e., business to consumer) and presents the
data in a very straightforward trend line of the sort you're after.

Most of the available data on ecommerce is proprietary, and is tightly
controlled, so that summaries only include a teaser number here and
there to whet the appetite, but very little in the way of
well-documented trends.   The above graph is the rare exception.

Let me know what you think.


Clarification of Question by tholzel-ga on 04 Nov 2004 14:52 PST

Yep.  that'll do just fine.  thanks.

Request for Question Clarification by pafalafa-ga on 04 Nov 2004 15:16 PST

Let me know what else you need as an answer to your question, in
addition to the graph already provided.



Clarification of Question by tholzel-ga on 05 Nov 2004 05:35 PST
Although I already got my  money's worth, if you come across a graph
of the same parameter (or similar) for the whole world (instead of
just the US), that would be very helpful.
Subject: Re: E-Commerce growth & forecast growth
Answered By: pafalafa-ga on 05 Nov 2004 06:55 PST
Rated:5 out of 5 stars

Glad to hear that the information I found is on-target for what you
needed.  Always looking to give our client's their "money's
worth"...and then some.

As for worldwide data, the closest I can come is Figure 14 (near the
bottom of the page) on this page here:

It covers global e-commerce from 2000-2004 (unfortunately, the link
shown for a "text file" of the data is not working).

A similar graph is here:

And finally, here's another (but somewhat earlier) take on the
Forrester data I linked you to the other day, which is worth a look,
since -- along with the graph -- it offers a table with a detailed
breakout by category.

Hope this does the trick, but before rating this answer, just let me
know if there's anything else you need.



search strategy -- Searched Google and Google Images for:

(ecommerce OR e-commerce) forecast
(ecommerce OR e-commerce) (worldwide OR global)

Request for Answer Clarification by tholzel-ga on 12 Nov 2004 06:34 PST
Gee, Pafalafa--you're doing a great job.  How do I ask for you for
subsequent questions?

Request for Answer Clarification by tholzel-ga on 12 Nov 2004 06:41 PST
I aksed the following, but no one has taken it up.  Care to give it a try?
<<This is Part One of five similar requests.  Each request asks the same
five questions.  I offer to pay $10 for each answer, or $50 for all
answers to each Part. Answers need not be completely on target, but
should be close enough to use in my report.

The questions have to do primarily with the retail sales of
?furniture??that is B2C. However B2B sales would also be interesting. 
I am looking for:
1.	The number of furniture retailers in the US, and any other larger
geographic area, e.g., Europe, Australia.
2.	The dollar volume of retail furniture sales in these regions.
3.	The median value of furniture sales.  (This might be calculated if
we have units and dollar volume.)
4.	Furniture sales history for the past 4-5 years, i.e. trend line.
5.	E-Commerce sales of furniture, if any.  $20 bonus if this question
is thoroughly answered.

Other Parts will be asked separately Unless you can take then here all
at once?-let me know), but they are
Part 2: Clothing
Part 3: Appliances
Part 4: Consumer Electronics
Part 5: Automotive

Clarification of Answer by pafalafa-ga on 12 Nov 2004 08:35 PST

Thanks for the very kind rating, and for the vote of confidence about
future questions.

You can direct questions to an individual researcher by including
their name in the subject/and or the text of the question, e.g. "For
pafalafa-ga".  I look forward to seeing any future challenges you
might come up with.

As for the furntirue industry question -- let me be frank.  I've found
these type of market-research questions to be very elusive in my past
attempts at answering them (Google Answers gets quite a number of
queries along these lines).

Most of the information tends to reside in high-priced reports that
are inaccessible to a simple search.  I got lucky on the ecommerce
forecast info, looking for a single item, but I wouldn't expect to be
similarly fortunate with a multi-part question on furniture sales
seeking very specific information.

This is probably the reason that no one's yet tackled the furniture
question for you.

However...I'll take a look, and if something comes up, I'll certainly let you know.

All the best,

tholzel-ga rated this answer:5 out of 5 stars
Perfect.  Right on target.

There are no comments at this time.

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