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Q: Predictions about the Internet and/or ecommerce re businesss-to-business ( Answered,   0 Comments )
Question  
Subject: Predictions about the Internet and/or ecommerce re businesss-to-business
Category: Business and Money > eCommerce
Asked by: industryguy-ga
List Price: $50.00
Posted: 28 Oct 2002 09:12 PST
Expires: 27 Nov 2002 09:12 PST
Question ID: 91049
Is there a website or other source to find predictions by either
research cos or analysts or Internet "gurus" that were made 1-5 years
ago that are today proven to have be way off.  Context is B to B only.
Ie, predications about 'o1 or '02 online transaction volume; great b2b
marketing sites, how the web would be used today by businesses.  I
need the "bad" prediction citations..and, if possible, current info
that shows how wrong they were.
Answer  
Subject: Re: Predictions about the Internet and/or ecommerce re businesss-to-business
Answered By: czh-ga on 17 Nov 2002 07:11 PST
 
Hello industryguy-ga,

You’re in luck. There has been so much hype in the last five years
about the transformation of the world of business with the e-commerce
that the business press has been prolific in issuing predictions.
There is also quite a lot of information available from consulting
groups big and small. In addition, specialized Web sites have emerged
to serve the B2B and e-commerce markets with reporting geared to their
needs and offering research reports and other resources.

The material I’ve found tends to mix terminology and materials for the
specific B2B oriented information you’re looking for. To help make
sense of the large number of links, I’ve categorized them into three
groups.
B2B related information and predictions
General e-commerce information and predictions
Consulting groups and Web resource sites

I’m providing you with a variety of resources to answer your
questions. I hope they’ll meet your needs.
czh

===========================================
B2B RELATED INFORMATION AND PREDICTIONS
===========================================

http://www.fek.su.se/home/bl/B2B/AB2B.PDF
Analyzing B2B eMarkets
Includes case studies

http://www.analysphere.com/26Nov01/accessibility.htm
Caslon Analytics
Survey results show that most participants (primary US businesses with
a $1billion plus turnover) in B2B portals are disappointed with the
results.

http://www.ou.edu/zmud/MIS5403/read2.pdf
B2B eMarket Survey Summary of Findings
11 page report from Accenture Institute for Strategic Change

http://www.gigaweb.com/content_display/popup/1,,PubID=MPR-112001-00003,00.html
(November 19, 2001) Giga Information Group/Booz Allen Hamilton Study:
B2B Exchanges Not Yet Delivering Benefits
Companies Still Hold Hope for Future Savings, Efficiencies

http://www.info-edge.com/samples/GA-0009free.pdf
B2B Exchanges: Future Hopes, Current Doubts
This is the 16 page report discussed in the above articles

http://www.ecommercetimes.com/perl/story/16657.html
March 7, 2002 -- Why B2B Has Been a Bust - So Far
B2B has been hampered by a lack of industry standardization for
technology, and global B2B has been impeded by disparate languages,
taxes and currencies.

http://www-1.ibm.com/services/strategy/files/IBM_Consulting_B2B_netmarkets_The_froth_is_gone_but_opportunities_remain_for_financial_services_firms.pdf
B2B netmarkets: The froth is gone, but opportunities remain for
financial services firms

http://www.newview.com/news/pressroom/inthenews/2002/may/automotivenews.shtml
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY: Online trade exchanges: What went wrong?
Automotive News - April 29, 2002

http://retailindustry.about.com/library/weekly/topics/topicsub_b2c.htm
Articles by Topic: Internet Retailing/B2C E-Commerce
Browse several articles on e-commerce failures

http://www.epaynews.com/statistics/transactions.html
Statistics for Electronic Transactions
This is a collection of statistics from a wide variety of surveys

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/venture/53224_vc04.shtml
Venture Capital: Experts hazard some predictions for 2002 
Friday, January 4, 2002

http://www.ecommercetimes.com/perl/story/6161.html
One Year Ago: Trends and Predictions for 2000
Originally published on December 20, 1999 and brought to you today as
a time capsule.

http://crm-advisor.com/doc/07593
Predictions for 2001 
Seven observations for the coming year. Will they pan out?

http://www.jacc.com/articles/mktg9.htm
Why Business-to-business is big and getting bigger
Marketing Magazine November 20, 2000

http://www.profilesystems.com/NEWSLE~1/ISSUE6~1.HTM
Profile Systems Industry Update Newsletter
B2B E-Commerce Predictions

http://www.advancedmanufacturing.com/predictions.htm
Expert Predictions 
Experts say Web will transform industry
There's no shortage of experts and consultants willing to guess about
how the Internet is going to evolve

http://www.line56.com/articles/default.asp?NewsID=2992
Jupiter: B2B Isn't Dead
Bolstered by key verticals and initiatives, online spending to hit
$5.4 trillion by 2006
September 26, 2001

http://www.imakenews.com/bourland/index000011552.cfm
Wednesday, January 23, 2002
Movement to Paid Content

http://www.nua.ie/surveys/analysis/weekly_editorial/archives/issue1no210a.html
Nua Analysis predictions for 2002

http://www.clickz.com/b2b_mkt/b2b_mkt/article.php/953711
B2B Marketing Predictions for 2002

==================================================
GENERAL E-COMMERCE INFORMATION AND PREDICTIONS
==================================================

http://ecnow.com/predictions.htm
Predictions
Since 1998, ECnow.com has made annual predictions of the top ten
trends in e-commerce

http://ecommerce.about.com/library/weekly/aa123199a.htm
E-Commerce in 1999 Last year's predictions re-visited

http://www.nwfusion.com/news/2002/1112gatescom.html
COMDEX : Keynote crystal-ball gazing often dim
IDG News Service, 11/12/02

http://www.thestandard.com/article/0,1902,22825,00.html
Scorecard for 2000 -- Issue Date: Mar 26 2001
How analysts did forecasting online advertising and e-commerce.

http://archive.salon.com/tech/col/rose/2000/01/07/wrong_predictions/index.html
The wrong stuff  Jan. 7, 2000 
In the future, predictions of the future will be as off-base as
they've been in the past.
http://archive.salon.com/21st/feature/1999/01/04feature.html
10 Predictions for 1999
http://archive.salon.com/tech/feature/2000/01/04/predictions/
COWHIDE COMPUTERS, RUSSIANS IN REDMOND, PET PORTALS EXPLODE ACROSS THE
WEB AND OTHER TECH POSSIBILITIES FOR THE NEW YEAR.

http://news.com.com/2100-1017-250259.html?tag=rn
For 2001, futurists are being a bit on the shy side 
December 28, 2000, 10:00 PM PT

http://techupdate.zdnet.com/techupdate/stories/main/0,14179,2885192,00.html
Ten predictions to shake your world
October 15, 2002
Gartner analysts took out their crystal balls and came up with a list
of ten predictions that will impact enterprise businesses. The
predictions cross over technology, economics, and social boundaries
that will morph during the next eight years.

http://www.marketingviews.com/news.html
news etc from MarketingViews
Browse the archives for last two year’s worth of reporting on trends
and market predictions.

http://www.webdevelopersjournal.com/hubs/edithub.html
PERPEND
Your favorite Web Pundits chunder on in a most biased and opinionated
manner.
Lots of predictions but dates not available on many of them

http://ecnow.com/top10trends2000.htm
Predictions -- 2000's Top 10 Trends
NOTE: The italics represent the accuracy of the predictions as of
12/31/00

http://www.geek.com/features/predictions/jol1999p_response.htm
Chief Geek Joel's Predictions for 1999 - With Joel's responses a year
later

http://techupdate.zdnet.com/techupdate/stories/main/0,14179,2885192,00.html
Ten predictions to shake your world
October 15, 2002
Gartner analysts took out their crystal balls and came up with a list
of ten predictions that will impact enterprise businesses. The
predictions cross over technology, economics, and social boundaries
that will morph during the next eight years.
http://www.winntmag.com/Articles/Index.cfm?ArticleID=4723
1998 Predictions in Review

http://www.ecommercetimes.com/perl/story/6161.html
One Year Ago: Trends and Predictions for 2000


=================================================
CONSULTING GROUPS AND WEB MARKETING RESOURCES
=================================================

http://www.wilsonweb.com/cat/cat.cfm?page=1&subcat=ca_Cases-gen
E-Commerce Research Room -- Subscription required 

http://cyberatlas.internet.com/
Cyber Atlas – Latest marketing research

http://ecnow.com/index.htm
ECnow.com is an e-commerce management consulting company helping
start-up, medium and large enterprises transition its employees,
partners and customers to the Internet age through strategy,
marketing, and a combination of off-the-shelf and customized on-line
and on-ground training.

http://ecmgt.com/
E-Commerce Management e-zine

http://www.forrester.com/home/0,6092,1-0,FF.html
Forrester Research
http://www4.gartner.com/Init
Gartner/Dataquest
http://www.emarketer.com/
Aggregating and Analyzing eBusiness Statistics and Information from
over 1,000 Research Sources Worldwide
http://www.bain.com/bainweb/default.asp
Bain & Company
http://www.mckinsey.com/
McKinsey & Company 
http://www.jupiterresearch.com/xp/jmm/services
Jupiter Research


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